Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FGEN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FibroGen Inc.)
FGEN latest price $24.9500 (5.5%) ($23.8500 - $25.3000) on Wed. Jan. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.69% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $24.9500(5.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FGEN advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FGEN advances 7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FGEN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(35%)    IBB(29%)    IWO(27%)    VT(26%)    XLV(26%)
Factors Impacting FGEN price   FGEN will decline at least -2.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    UNG(-2%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.345% (StdDev 4.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.55(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.01(3.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.39(11.43%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   59.9%
Market Cap   $2.251b

FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. FGEN price fluctuates within 8.04% (three month std-dev: 4.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 4.66%(22%) Average negative next day return: -2.81%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.76%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -4.23%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.3%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.58%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2017	20.43	22.39	24.01	24.55	24.67	24.6	24.95(5.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10	3	98	0.78	68%	0.39	57.8	4.69%	0	1.4	77	0
2	Jan_17_2017	20.35	22.16	23.66	24.34	24.4	24.81	23.65(-7.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	26	130	2	98	0.91	66%	0.44	50.4	4.65%	0	0.8	69	0
3	Jan_13_2017	20.26	22.03	23.46	24.37	24.21	24.73	25.5(3.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	130	18	123	0.79	71%	0.4	47.1	4.52%	0	1.9	85	0
4	Jan_12_2017	20.18	21.76	23.07	23.99	23.84	23.99	24.7(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	30	12	123	0.72	66%	0.35	40.7	4.51%	0	1.8	80	0
5	Jan_11_2017	20.11	21.54	22.69	23.6	23.59	23.68	23.95(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	30	6	113	1.08	64%	0.25	30.5	4.6%	0	1.6	75	0

6	Jan_10_2017	20.06	21.39	22.33	23.39	23.33	23.69	23.9(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	100	14	113	0.38	64%	0.25	25.3	4.63%	0	1.8	75	0
7	Jan_9_2017	20.01	21.29	22.01	22.87	22.96	23.49	23.8(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	170	19	101	0.44	64%	0.25	20.2	4.63%	0	2.1	70	0
8	Jan_6_2017	19.96	21.21	21.58	22.39	22.39	22.97	23.6(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	180	16	76	0.47	62%	0.3	18.7	4.63%	0	2.2	63	0
9	Jan_5_2017	19.9	21.13	21.19	22.02	21.98	22.42	22.75(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	130	16	62	0.42	62%	0.2	10.9	4.63%	0	1.6	64	0
10	Jan_4_2017	19.86	21.1	20.92	21.64	21.63	21.81	22.9(7.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	60	16	46	0.58	62%	0.25	-0.9	4.63%	0	1.9	62	0

11	Jan_3_2017	19.81	21.1	20.62	21.11	21.25	21.54	21.3(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	120	4	17	0.41	59%	0.1	-18.6	4.54%	0	0.3	50	0
12	Dec_30_2016	19.79	21.05	20.52	21.01	21.05	21.46	21.4(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	140	16	7	0.29	59%	0.15	-31.3	4.54%	0	0.4	43	0
13	Dec_29_2016	19.76	21.01	20.48	20.63	20.7	20.96	21.75(4.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	8	100	15	-15	0.4	55%	0.2	-53.3	4.54%	0	0.8	43	0
14	Dec_28_2016	19.72	21.02	20.33	20.24	20.31	20.64	20.85(2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	120	6	-43	0.39	55%	0.1	-62.5	4.61%	0	-0.2	40	0
15	Dec_27_2016	19.7	21.11	20.3	20.09	20.16	20.45	20.25(-2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	110	7	-59	0.29	57%	0	-63.1	4.6%	0	-0.8	33	0

16	Dec_23_2016	19.7	21.23	20.39	20.05	20.05	19.98	20.8(6.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-20	2	-70	0.26	57%	0.05	-61.7	4.57%	0	-0.4	39	0
17	Dec_22_2016	19.69	21.35	20.52	19.98	20.11	19.88	19.5(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-60	-12	-74	0.3	54%	0	-59.4	4.49%	0	-1.6	39	0
18	Dec_21_2016	19.69	21.53	20.81	20.31	20.4	20.12	19.8(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-80	-6	-51	0.32	54%	0.05	-49.8	4.49%	0	-1.5	48	0
19	Dec_20_2016	19.68	21.64	21.06	20.42	20.56	20.34	20.1(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-50	-7	-47	0.29	54%	0	-54.9	4.49%	0	-1.5	40	0
20	Dec_19_2016	19.68	21.79	21.32	20.53	20.62	20.68	20.05(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	30	-7	-45	0.31	56%	0.05	-48.7	4.49%	0	-1.7	36	0

21	Dec_16_2016	19.67	21.95	21.54	20.76	20.77	20.79	20.45(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	10	-7	-39	0.6	56%	0.05	-43	4.55%	0	-1.6	40	0
22	Dec_15_2016	19.66	22.06	21.64	21.14	20.95	20.56	21.15(3.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-160	-11	-41	0.37	58%	0.15	-28.2	4.53%	0	-1	38	0
23	Dec_14_2016	19.63	22.1	21.6	21.42	21.44	20.75	20.35(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-220	-17	-48	0.39	59%	0.1	-10.9	4.54%	0	-2	36	0
24	Dec_13_2016	19.61	22.23	21.79	21.81	21.86	21.34	20.65(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-22	-160	-18	-34	0.3	59%	0.15	41.6	4.55%	0	-2	46	0
25	Dec_12_2016	19.58	22.29	22.01	22.21	22.11	22.12	21.2(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-11	-10	-8	-19	0.37	60%		101	4.55%	0	-1.6	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.