Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FGEN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FibroGen Inc.)
FGEN latest price $23.0000 (5.02%) ($20.8500 - $23.1000) on Wed. Nov. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.5% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $23.0000(5.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FGEN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FGEN advances 14.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FGEN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(35%)    IBB(29%)    IWO(27%)    VT(26%)    XLV(26%)
Factors Impacting FGEN price   FGEN will decline at least -2.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    UNG(-2%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.25% (StdDev 4.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.71(1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.39(2.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.68(16.87%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   47.4%
Market Cap   $2.075b

FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. FGEN price fluctuates within 15.14% (three month std-dev: 4.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.2%(17%) Average negative next day return: -2.22%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.02%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.54%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 6.49%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.34%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2016	18.98	19.68	22.39	22.71	22.57	22.23	23(5.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	47	-120	-2	193	0.39	63%	0.37	52.4	4.5%	0	1.1	81	INF
2	Nov_22_2016	18.91	19.37	22.1	22.49	22.63	22.73	21.9(-4.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	51	50	-5	218	0.83	62%	0.16	51.1	4.46%	0	0.9	73	INF
3	Nov_21_2016	18.88	19.11	21.57	22.67	22.58	22.92	23.05(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	90	11	240	0.33	65%	0.32	52.4	4.43%	0	1.4	76	INF
4	Nov_18_2016	18.82	18.8	20.91	22.4	22.36	22.52	23.1(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	40	7	237	0.49	65%	0.37	51.4	4.43%	0	1.6	76	INF
5	Nov_17_2016	18.75	18.49	20.22	22.29	22.17	22.24	22.5(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	10	7	242	0.44	65%	0.32	53.7	4.42%	0	1.6	74	INF

6	Nov_16_2016	18.69	18.23	19.55	22.02	22.03	22.2	21.9(-3.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	69	60	12	239	0.47	62%	0.32	53.4	4.41%	0	1.5	74	INF
7	Nov_15_2016	18.63	17.99	19	21.64	21.65	22.11	22.8(5.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	89	150	39	238	0.6	62%	0.43	50.7	4.42%	0	2.2	74	INF
8	Nov_14_2016	18.55	17.71	18.37	20.26	20.78	21.87	21.7(-3.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	78	440	44	180	1.03	61%	0.38	32.8	4.38%	0	2.1	72	INF
9	Nov_11_2016	18.48	17.49	17.83	19.15	19.29	21.19	22.55(6.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	79	710	60	134	0.91	62%	0.33	11.7	4.37%	0	3	74	INF
10	Nov_10_2016	18.42	17.22	17.2	17.85	17.95	19.69	21.15(5.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	68	700	66	73	1.5	58%	0.33	-20.7	4.3%	0	3.1	68	INF

11	Nov_9_2016	18.36	17.04	16.68	16.74	16.78	17.38	20(25.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.4	30	260	39	2	3.23	56%	0.22	-66.3	4.3%	0	3.1	62	INF
12	Nov_8_2016	18.32	16.93	16.33	16.03	16.13	16.21	15.9(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	50	-8	-78	0.6	43%	0	-102.6	2.87%	0	-1.1	34	INF
13	Nov_7_2016	18.32	17.1	16.42	16.2	16.26	16.18	16.15(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-20	-2	-78	0.65	43%	0.05	-86.3	2.87%	0	-0.9	31	INF
14	Nov_4_2016	18.31	17.3	16.51	16.28	16.36	16.05	16.05(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-120	-12	-85	0.5	43%	-0.05	-79.5	2.87%	0	-1	33	INF
15	Nov_3_2016	18.32	17.49	16.64	16.41	16.53	16.33	15.6(-5.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-60	-14	-83	0.69	44%	-0.05	-75	2.85%	0	-1.5	28	INF

16	Nov_2_2016	18.33	17.71	16.85	16.57	16.65	16.68	16.45(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	30	-6	-76	0.49	47%	0	-70.5	2.83%	0	-0.9	29	INF
17	Nov_1_2016	18.33	17.92	16.94	16.67	16.7	16.73	16.75(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	20	1	-75	0.43	48%	0	-69.8	2.84%	0	-0.8	31	INF
18	Oct_31_2016	18.33	18.1	17.05	16.68	16.74	16.63	16.55(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-28	-40	-6	-94	0.49	48%	-0.05	-72.2	2.87%	0	-1	20	INF
19	Oct_28_2016	18.34	18.31	17.17	16.78	16.81	16.67	16.7(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-50	-11	-116	0.67	48%	-0.11	-72.6	2.87%	0	-1.1	18	INF
20	Oct_27_2016	18.36	18.5	17.27	16.92	17.01	16.86	16.4(-3.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-50	-14	-133	0.36	48%	-0.11	-74.9	2.87%	0	-1.4	17	INF

21	Oct_26_2016	18.38	18.71	17.45	17.17	17.18	16.96	16.95(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-90	-8	-136	0.44	50%	-0.11	-72.9	2.86%	0	-1.1	19	INF
22	Oct_25_2016	18.4	18.96	17.57	17.25	17.34	17.16	16.8(-1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-52	-60	-16	-160	0.37	50%	-0.16	-67.6	2.87%	0	-1.3	14	INF
23	Oct_24_2016	18.43	19.24	17.84	17.48	17.55	17.41	17.05(-2.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-46	-40	-10	-155	0.4	50%	-0.11	-63.2	2.86%	0	-1.3	19	INF
24	Oct_21_2016	18.45	19.47	18.14	17.62	17.75	17.52	17.4(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-43	-70	-6	-152	0.49	50%	-0.11	-60.4	2.85%	0	-1.2	19	INF
25	Oct_20_2016	18.47	19.71	18.4	17.68	17.82	17.69	17.65(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-30	-10	-157	0.45	53%		-55.5	2.86%	0	-1.2	21	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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