Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FibroGen Inc.)
FGEN latest price $30.9600 (-0.8%) ($30.4800 - $31.4400) on Thu. Dec. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.42% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $30.9600(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FGEN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FGEN advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FGEN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(40%)    IBB(34%)    IWO(30%)    XLV(29%)    IWM(28%)
Factors Impacting FGEN price   FGEN will decline at least -2.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.21% (StdDev 4.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.16(2.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30(3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.97(3.3%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   50.8%
Market Cap   $2.793b

FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. FGEN price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 4.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.6%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.66%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.5%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.66%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.3%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2015	25.75	29.97	30	30.16	30.26	30.76	30.96(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	130	10	8	0.16	51%	0.19	62.2	4.42%	0	1.4	52	0
2	Dec_23_2015	25.7	29.89	29.95	30.09	30.26	30.15	31.21(5.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	7	30	6	8	0.84	51%	0.23	78.3	4.46%	0	2	55	0
3	Dec_22_2015	25.64	29.81	29.71	30.01	30	29.76	29.6(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1	-60	-1	-2	0.33	48%	0.16	99	4.42%	0	-0.4	49	0
4	Dec_21_2015	25.6	29.76	29.81	29.98	30.11	29.85	29.87(2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-50	-1	1	0.27	46%	0.2	101.8	4.41%	0	0.2	51	0
5	Dec_18_2015	25.55	29.65	29.78	29.82	29.97	30.24	29.15(-4.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	80	1	-3	3	46%	0.16	83.2	4.48%	0	-0.6	49	0

6	Dec_17_2015	25.51	29.55	29.9	29.82	29.77	30.37	30.63(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	140	9	1	0.48	48%	0.2	72.7	4.44%	0	1	55	0
7	Dec_16_2015	25.46	29.39	29.82	29.77	29.48	29.71	30.78(4.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	30	12	4	0.46	48%	0.24	79.8	4.48%	0	1.3	57	0
8	Dec_15_2015	25.4	29.25	29.74	29.39	29.39	29.17	29.47(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-50	-5	-11	0.56	48%	0.2	74.8	4.45%	0	0.2	50	0
9	Dec_14_2015	25.35	29.1	29.79	29.64	29.46	29.25	29.09(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-70	-7	1	0.51	48%	0.16	70	4.45%	0	-0	56	0
10	Dec_11_2015	25.31	28.97	29.86	29.73	29.69	29.61	28.87(-5.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-20	-6	13	0.38	48%	0.16	68.3	4.45%	0	-0.1	61	0

11	Dec_10_2015	25.27	28.81	29.96	30.03	29.8	29.67	30.65(6.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-50	1	37	0.38	53%	0.24	64.8	4.39%	0	1.1	72	0
12	Dec_9_2015	25.21	28.55	29.84	29.87	29.87	29.77	28.87(-6.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-20	-7	39	0.5	51%	0.2	54.8	4.41%	0	0.2	61	0
13	Dec_8_2015	25.16	28.46	29.94	30.14	29.87	29.93	30.73(4.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-30	2	60	0.3	58%	0.24	60	4.34%	0	1.3	68	0
14	Dec_7_2015	25.1	28.24	29.71	29.97	30.01	29.97	29.54(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10	-1	62	0.28	58%	0.24	63.7	4.6%	0	0.8	72	0
15	Dec_4_2015	25.04	28.05	29.52	30.01	29.92	30.08	30.37(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	30	3	71	0.42	58%	0.24	68.6	4.62%	0	1.3	78	0

16	Dec_3_2015	24.98	27.8	29.18	29.88	29.79	30.05	29.85(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	50	5	78	0.34	58%	0.24	73.2	4.62%	0	1.2	80	0
17	Dec_2_2015	24.92	27.64	28.95	29.81	29.62	29.76	30.2(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	10	5	88	0.45	58%	0.28	81.3	4.65%	0	1.5	83	0
18	Dec_1_2015	24.85	27.46	28.71	29.71	29.48	29.54	29.88(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10	6	92	0.48	55%	0.24	97.6	4.66%	0	1.5	64	0
19	Nov_30_2015	24.79	27.21	28.36	29.41	29.29	29.47	29.74(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	30	10	86	0.44	55%	0.24	103	4.72%	0	1.6	66	0
20	Nov_27_2015	24.73	26.89	28	28.94	28.83	29.42	29.72(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	130	16	81	0.19	55%	0.28	92.6	4.73%	0	1.7	70	0

21	Nov_25_2015	24.66	26.59	27.56	28.35	28.27	29.11	29.52(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	200	19	68	0.45	55%	0.24	89.2	4.71%	0	1.8	69	0
22	Nov_24_2015	24.6	26.34	27.14	27.95	27.67	28.25	29.7(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	120	16	50	0.62	55%	0.29	86.6	4.72%	0	2.1	61	0
23	Nov_23_2015	24.53	26.01	26.84	27.59	27.39	27.44	28.37(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10	11	41	0.81	55%	0.2	78	4.75%	0	1.4	57	0
24	Nov_20_2015	24.48	25.7	26.63	27.16	27.21	27.1	27.39(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-20	3	34	0.39	55%	0.16	59.5	4.76%	0	1	63	0
25	Nov_19_2015	24.44	25.45	26.44	26.92	26.92	27.34	26.79(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	110	7	39	0.36	55%		53.5	4.78%	0	0.7	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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