Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 30, 2019

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $64.9850 (-0.54%) ($64.9850 - $64.9850) on Mon. Dec. 30, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $64.9850(-0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 50% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDXJ(11%)    SIL(11%)    BWX(10%)    SLV(10%)    GDX(9%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    LIT(-9%)    USO(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    IPO(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.98(66.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.09(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.51(2.32%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2019	61.99	63.51	64.09	38.98			64.99(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	44.1	1239	-10000	1430	665	0.08	72%	0.11	125.8	0.7%	1.5	2.5	78	0.4
2	Dec_27_2019	61.92	63.35	63.94	25.98			65.34(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	67.9	2513	-10000	2930	1261	0.04	72%	0.31	125	0.69%	1.8	3.4	79	0.9
3	Dec_17_2019	61.73	63.17	63.74	38.47			64.58(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	63.7	981	-10000	1135	517	0.03	81%	0.02	167.7	0.89%	2.1	3.4	78	2.1
4	Dec_13_2019	61.72	63.03	63.62	25.56			64.1(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	137.6	1915	-10000	2236	951	0.04	81%	0.02	243.2	0.9%	0	3.8	71	2.2
5	Dec_11_2019	61.71	62.9	63.5	25.53	0	0	63.7(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	127.2	1874	-10000	2189	927	0.02	81%	-0.05	225	0.91%	0	2.7	70	0.3

6	Nov_29_2019	61.74	62.77	63.4	63.56	63.61	63.93	63.93(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	40	21	59	0.01	86%	0.05	148.2	0.96%	0	2.2	77	1.5
7	Nov_26_2019	61.71	62.62	63.29	63.49	63.47	63.65	63.94(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	20	25	66	0.04	86%	0.05	134	0.98%	0	2.2	81	2
8	Nov_22_2019	61.68	62.49	63.15	63.39	63.37	63.29	63.36(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10	-2	57	0.03	86%	0.05	129.9	0.97%	0	1.3	73	1.6
9	Nov_21_2019	61.65	62.37	63.08	63.41	63.4	63.3	63.23(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10	-8	63	0.04	86%	0.03	121.8	0.99%	0	1.2	72	1.3
10	Nov_20_2019	61.63	62.22	63.01	63.35	63.46	63.46	63.37(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	10	7	77	0.05	86%	0.05	107.7	1%	0	1.4	80	1.3

11	Nov_19_2019	61.6	62.01	62.9	63.2	63.34	63.49	63.54(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	326	20	361	221	0.06	86%	0.06	90.8	1.01%	0	1.9	84	1.5
12	Nov_18_2019	61.56	61.82	62.72	63.06	51.37	63.46	63.45(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	330	1090	366	223	0.18	86%	0.07	80	1.03%	0	2.1	84	1.8
13	Nov_15_2019	61.52	61.63	62.56	62.87	39.44	63.19	63.48(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	1281	3100	1486	666	0.17	86%	0.11	64.1	1.05%	0	2.6	77	2
14	Nov_13_2019	61.45	61.48	62.4	62.71	27.47	39.28	62.9(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	1239	1320	1436	647	0.06	78%	0.11	67	1.07%	0	2.2	77	1.3
15	Nov_8_2019	61.38	61.36	62.24	62.63	15.67	15.69	62.65(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-2240	4	80	0.04	78%	0.03	66.4	1.08%	0	1.7	80	1.2

16	Nov_7_2019	61.36	61.28	62.09	62.54	15.66	15.67	62.85(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-2240	9	96	0.05	78%	0.07	78.2	1.1%	0	2.1	88	1.1
17	Nov_6_2019	61.32	61.21	61.91	62.31	15.61	15.67	62.5(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-2230	4	94	0.04	78%	0.07	88.1	1.12%	0	1.8	74	1
18	Nov_5_2019	61.28	61.18	61.78	62.19	15.57	15.65	62.67(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-2210	9	103	0.29	57%	0.08	78	1.14%	0	1.5	75	1
19	Nov_4_2019	61.23	61.04	61.6	62.04	15.52	15.58	62.5(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-2220	10	81	0.03	57%	0.07	76.4	1.43%	0	1.5	65	1.3
20	Nov_1_2019	61.19	60.86	61.37	61.79	15.48	15.49	62.17(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-2240	7	69	0.07	57%	0.1	56.3	1.46%	0	1.4	61	1.5

21	Oct_30_2019	61.13	60.69	61.06	61.59	15.42	15.45	61.71(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-2240	3	46	0.06	53%	0.05	33.6	1.46%	0	1.1	52	1.4
22	Oct_29_2019	61.1	60.58	60.86	61.43	15.39	15.47	61.9(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-2210	6	31	0.06	53%	0.05	13.8	1.46%	0	1.5	50	1.3
23	Oct_28_2019	61.07	60.43	60.64	61.31	15.33	15.4	61.9(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-2220	9	13	0.06	53%	0.07	-10.8	1.46%	0	1.8	46	1.3
24	Oct_25_2019	61.03	60.3	60.48	61.1	15.29	15.3	61.29(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-2240	7	7	0.03	53%	0.05	-40.5	1.45%	0	1.4	58	1.7
25	Oct_24_2019	61	60.32	60.4	60.88	15.26	15.26	61.15(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	297	-2250	347	146	0.04	53%		-55.9	1.45%	0	1.2	64	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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