Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 31, 2018

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $60.8037 (-0.06%) ($60.5271 - $61.1226) on Wed. Jan. 31, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.49% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $60.8037(-0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(17%)    XLV(17%)    IBB(16%)    IBUY(16%)    IVW(16%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-9%)    GDX(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.245% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.32(-0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.22(-0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.43(0.62%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 0.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.33%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.19%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.47%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.52%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.41%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.26%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2018	56.62	60.43	61.22	61.32	61.35	60.92	60.8(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-21	-50	-62	101	0.05	74%	0.14	82.3	0.49%	0	0.4	67	-1.6
2	Jan_30_2018	56.54	60.31	61.21	61.44	61.5	61.36	60.84(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-10	-59	140	0.41	74%	0.14	80.1	0.49%	0	0.5	66	-1.9
3	Jan_29_2018	56.46	60.17	61.14	61.57	61.63	61.78	61.54(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	73	20	25	217	0.08	79%	0.16	82.6	0.46%	0	1.2	75	-2.1
4	Jan_26_2018	56.37	60	61.02	61.52	61.54	61.64	62.03(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	100	10	48	254	0.07	83%	0.18	78.2	0.45%	0	1.7	83	136.8
5	Jan_25_2018	56.27	59.8	60.8	61.29	61.36	61.47	61.39(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	88	20	32	257	0.08	78%	0.16	75.5	0.43%	0	1.4	82	137.4

6	Jan_24_2018	56.18	59.63	60.6	61.1	61.16	61.44	61.39(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	100	30	50	249	0.06	78%	0.16	70.3	0.45%	0	1.5	83	-1.4
7	Jan_23_2018	56.09	59.45	60.4	60.94	60.92	61.24	61.5(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	127	40	79	269	0.06	78%	0.11	69.8	0.45%	0	1.8	87	0.1
8	Jan_22_2018	56.03	59.27	60.18	60.63	60.67	60.88	61.31(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	108	30	58	259	0.11	78%	0.16	72.1	0.45%	0	1.9	88	0.9
9	Jan_19_2018	55.94	59.1	59.96	60.44	60.47	60.6	60.86(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	93	20	40	253	0.05	78%	0.14	74.4	0.45%	0	1.8	79	1
10	Jan_18_2018	55.86	58.94	59.76	60.25	60.33	60.45	60.46(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	100	20	46	260	0.08	77%	0.14	77.2	0.44%	0	1.6	79	-INF

11	Jan_17_2018	55.78	58.82	59.57	60.01	60.12	60.33	60.59(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	102	30	52	251	0.09	77%	0.16	76.8	0.44%	0	2	81	INF
12	Jan_16_2018	55.69	58.66	59.34	59.77	59.83	60.21	59.95(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	103	50	57	239	0.1	75%	0.22	77.5	0.43%	0	1.6	78	INF
13	Jan_12_2018	55.57	58.52	59.13	59.65	59.63	59.92	60.34(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	133	30	94	250	0.07	78%	0.14	77.4	0.41%	0	2.3	86	INF
14	Jan_11_2018	55.49	58.36	58.91	59.41	59.4	59.45	59.89(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	84	10	43	206	0.09	77%	0.14	79.7	0.41%	0	2.1	84	INF
15	Jan_10_2018	55.41	58.24	58.71	59.2	59.23	59.45	59.27(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	10	20	180	0.11	75%	0.14	83.2	0.39%	0	1.6	80	INF

16	Jan_9_2018	55.33	58.14	58.58	59.06	59.13	59.34	59.38(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	93	30	64	179	0.1	75%	0.14	84.5	0.39%	0	1.9	77	INF
17	Jan_8_2018	55.25	58.04	58.44	58.84	58.9	59.13	59.36(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	98	30	76	164	0.16	75%	0.15	85	0.39%	0	2.3	82	INF
18	Jan_5_2018	55.17	57.92	58.29	58.53	58.62	58.92	59.13(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	87	40	69	140	0.08	75%	0.13	79.5	0.39%	0	2.4	84	INF
19	Jan_4_2018	55.1	57.8	58.16	58.34	58.38	58.66	58.83(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	88	40	74	130	0.08	74%	0.13	75	0.39%	0	2.2	74	INF
20	Jan_3_2018	55.03	57.69	58.06	58.16	58.19	58.32	58.61(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	66	20	51	110	0.29	74%	0.11	64.2	0.39%	0	2	70	INF

21	Jan_2_2018	54.97	57.61	58	58.03	58.06	58.09	58.25(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	10	10	91	0.44	73%	0.16	64.6	0.38%	0	1.4	64	INF
22	Dec_29_2017	54.88	57.55	57.93	57.98	58.03	58.07	57.84(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	10	6	88	0.05	72%	0.11	72.5	0.38%	0	0.6	61	INF
23	Dec_28_2017	54.82	57.52	57.86	58	58	58.03	58.16(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	0	12	99	0.03	76%	0.09	85	0.37%	0	1.4	74	INF
24	Dec_27_2017	54.77	57.45	57.78	57.95	58	57.98	57.96(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	0	4	107	0.03	76%	0.09	92.3	0.37%	0	1.1	76	INF
25	Dec_26_2017	54.72	57.39	57.73	57.94	57.99	57.96	57.96(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	26	-0	-6	122	0.03	76%		98.8	0.37%	0	1.2	75	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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