Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $52.2135 (-0.22%) ($52.1939 - $52.3407) on Mon. Jun. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $52.2135(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(18%)    XLV(18%)    IBB(17%)    IBUY(17%)    IVW(17%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    GDX(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $52(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.71(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.3(1.78%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(36%) Average negative next day return: -0.39%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 0.66%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -0.65%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.28%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.1%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170705

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2017	50.34	51.3	51.71	52	52.04	52.27	52.21(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	62	30	30	156	0.08	61%	0.08	47.7	0.54%	0	1.6	63	0
2	Jun_2_2017	50.3	51.24	51.56	51.89	51.86	52.14	52.33(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	75	40	49	151	0.17	58%	0.08	48.5	0.54%	0	2.1	68	0
3	Jun_1_2017	50.26	51.16	51.36	51.75	51.7	51.81	52.22(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	58	10	38	118	0.17	61%	0.08	41.1	0.55%	0	2.3	64	0
4	May_31_2017	50.22	51.09	51.15	51.57	51.6	51.59	51.67(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	0	12	67	0.08	58%	0.06	32.9	0.53%	0	1.5	54	0
5	May_30_2017	50.19	51.06	51.09	51.47	51.5	51.6	51.59(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	20	13	56	0.05	55%	0.12	25	0.53%	0	1.4	56	0

6	May_26_2017	50.13	51.03	51.04	51.36	51.39	51.61	51.65(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	46	30	42	58	0.07	59%	0.06	20.9	0.56%	0	1.8	58	0
7	May_25_2017	50.1	50.99	50.96	51.17	51.21	51.4	51.65(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	47	30	51	34	0.07	59%	0.06	15.9	0.56%	0	2.1	55	0
8	May_24_2017	50.07	50.99	50.89	50.91	50.98	51.17	51.29(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	30	42	3	0.06	57%	0.08	5.3	0.56%	0	1.1	56	0
9	May_23_2017	50.03	50.97	50.87	50.68	50.73	51.03	51.16(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	20	40	33	-21	0.1	57%	0.02	1.8	0.56%	0	0.7	54	0
10	May_22_2017	50.02	50.97	50.86	50.67	50.55	50.78	51.07(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	13	20	26	-25	0.05	57%	0.08	21.8	0.56%	0	0.4	50	0

11	May_19_2017	49.98	50.96	50.85	50.69	50.6	50.44	50.7(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-30	3	-34	0.11	57%	0.06	34.4	0.56%	0	-0.8	44	0
12	May_18_2017	49.95	50.94	50.89	50.72	50.71	50.32	50.35(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-57	-50	-58	-53	0.1	55%	0.04	46	0.56%	0	-1.8	39	0
13	May_17_2017	49.93	50.94	50.95	50.86	50.88	50.76	50.11(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-52	-20	-54	-45	0.12	55%	0.04	57.7	0.56%	0	-2.4	29	0
14	May_16_2017	49.91	50.96	51.04	50.86	50.88	51.1	51.13(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	10	10	-1	0.09	63%	0.02	68	0.49%	0	0.4	47	0
15	May_15_2017	49.9	50.9	51.03	51.08	51.04	51	51.15(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10	6	-7	0.09	64%	0.06	57.8	0.49%	0	0.6	49	0

16	May_12_2017	49.87	50.85	51.02	51.04	51.05	50.97	50.87(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10	-17	-17	0.07	63%	0.06	54.1	0.49%	0	0	51	0
17	May_11_2017	49.84	50.8	51.04	51.1	51.07	51.08	51.03(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-0	-1	11	0.11	63%	0.06	44.8	0.49%	0	0.5	66	0
18	May_10_2017	49.81	50.75	51.07	51.06	51.08	51.12	51.24(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	10	17	33	0.12	64%	0.06	41.2	0.49%	0	0.9	67	0
19	May_9_2017	49.78	50.7	51.06	50.99	51	51.06	51.09(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	7	46	0.07	66%	0.06	37.6	0.5%	0	0.8	72	0
20	May_8_2017	49.75	50.66	51.07	50.98	51	51.03	50.99(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	10	7	72	0.09	66%	0.06	37.6	0.5%	0	0.6	72	0

21	May_5_2017	49.72	50.62	51.06	50.99	50.95	50.95	51.13(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-0	9	98	0.06	66%	0.06	35.6	0.49%	0	1	71	0
22	May_4_2017	49.69	50.58	50.99	50.97	50.97	50.87	50.87(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10	-22	99	0.09	65%	0.06	33.3	0.49%	0	0.6	73	0
23	May_3_2017	49.66	50.54	50.96	51.07	51.04	50.96	50.87(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10	-23	123	0.1	67%	0.06	35.4	0.5%	0	0.7	65	0
24	May_2_2017	49.63	50.5	50.88	51.14	51.15	51.07	51.03(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10	-11	134	0.2	67%	0.06	38.4	0.5%	0	1.1	61	0
25	May_1_2017	49.6	50.47	50.78	51.17	51.2	51.13	51.08(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-10	-9	134	0.11	67%		45.4	0.5%	0	1.2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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