Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $51.0288 (-0.42%) ($50.7429 - $51.1365) on Thu. May. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.49% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $51.0288(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(18%)    XLV(18%)    IBB(17%)    IBUY(17%)    IVW(17%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    GDX(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.245% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.1(-0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.04(-0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.8(0.45%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 0.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.35%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.23%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.55%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2017	49.84	50.8	51.04	51.1	51.07	51.08	51.03(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-0	-1	11	0.11	63%	0.06	44.8	0.49%	0	0.5	66	0
2	May_10_2017	49.81	50.75	51.07	51.06	51.08	51.12	51.24(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	10	17	33	0.12	64%	0.06	41.2	0.49%	0	0.9	67	0
3	May_9_2017	49.78	50.7	51.06	50.99	51	51.06	51.09(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	7	46	0.07	66%	0.06	37.6	0.5%	0	0.8	72	0
4	May_8_2017	49.75	50.66	51.07	50.98	51	51.03	50.99(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	10	7	72	0.09	66%	0.06	37.6	0.5%	0	0.6	72	0
5	May_5_2017	49.72	50.62	51.06	50.99	50.95	50.95	51.13(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-0	9	98	0.06	66%	0.06	35.6	0.49%	0	1	71	0

6	May_4_2017	49.69	50.58	50.99	50.97	50.97	50.87	50.87(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10	-22	99	0.09	65%	0.06	33.3	0.49%	0	0.6	73	0
7	May_3_2017	49.66	50.54	50.96	51.07	51.04	50.96	50.87(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10	-23	123	0.1	67%	0.06	35.4	0.5%	0	0.7	65	0
8	May_2_2017	49.63	50.5	50.88	51.14	51.15	51.07	51.03(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10	-11	134	0.2	67%	0.06	38.4	0.5%	0	1.1	61	0
9	May_1_2017	49.6	50.47	50.78	51.17	51.2	51.13	51.08(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-10	-9	134	0.11	67%	0.04	45.4	0.5%	0	1.2	62	0
10	Apr_28_2017	49.58	50.44	50.68	51.14	51.21	51.24	51.03(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	10	10	136	0.08	67%	0.06	51.6	0.5%	0	1.3	62	0

11	Apr_27_2017	49.55	50.41	50.55	51	51.15	51.28	51.35(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	30	37	118	0.08	70%	0.06	51.7	0.5%	0	2.1	66	0
12	Apr_26_2017	49.52	50.36	50.4	50.83	50.91	51.19	51.22(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	40	50	100	0.06	70%	0.08	53.2	0.5%	0	2.2	68	0
13	Apr_25_2017	49.48	50.31	50.3	50.58	50.69	51.02	51.18(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	76	50	75	79	0.14	71%	0.08	48.5	0.5%	0	2.6	63	0
14	Apr_24_2017	49.44	50.25	50.2	50.32	50.42	50.64	50.91(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	53	40	58	39	0.12	72%	0.08	23.2	0.5%	0	2.4	58	0
15	Apr_21_2017	49.4	50.2	50.12	50.15	50.16	50.35	50.34(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	25	30	33	-1	0.91	70%	0.08	-8.3	0.5%	0	0.6	45	0

16	Apr_20_2017	49.36	50.18	50.11	50.02	50.04	50.2	50.47(0.98%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.9	22	20	37	-25	0.1	70%	0.06	-39.6	0.5%	0	1.2	45	0
17	Apr_19_2017	49.33	50.16	50.07	49.92	50.04	49.98	49.98(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	10	4	-61	0.16	68%	0.06	-69.6	0.49%	0	-0.8	40	0
18	Apr_18_2017	49.3	50.15	50.09	49.98	49.92	49.89	49.91(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10	-5	-61	0.12	68%	0.06	-72.9	0.49%	0	-1	40	0
19	Apr_17_2017	49.27	50.18	50.14	50.05	49.98	49.85	50.05(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-20	-20	-50	0.32	68%	0.06	-62	0.49%	0	-0.5	54	0
20	Apr_13_2017	49.24	50.22	50.18	50.09	50.08	49.95	49.68(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-20	-33	-39	0.08	66%	0.06	-45.2	0.49%	0	-1.7	46	0

21	Apr_12_2017	49.21	50.28	50.28	50.22	50.18	50.11	49.99(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-9	-10	-12	0	0.36	69%	0.06	-28.3	0.48%	0	-1	53	0
22	Apr_11_2017	49.18	50.28	50.33	50.23	50.21	50.2	50.27(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-0	-8	14	0.5	72%	0.06	-20	0.48%	0	-0.2	60	0
23	Apr_10_2017	49.15	50.32	50.34	50.22	50.25	50.26	50.27(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	0	5	32	0.08	72%	0.08	-21.7	0.48%	0	-0.2	65	0
24	Apr_7_2017	49.11	50.34	50.31	50.23	50.23	50.22	50.24(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-0	-9	14	0.23	72%	0.06	-21	0.48%	0	-0.3	42	0
25	Apr_6_2017	49.08	50.36	50.29	50.29	50.27	50.23	50.29(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-9	-10	-13	2	0.15	72%		-19.4	0.48%	0	-0.2	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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