Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $51.2246 (0.1%) ($51.1267 - $51.4400) on Wed. Apr. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.5% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $51.2246(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(19%)    IVW(18%)    XLV(18%)    IBB(17%)    IBUY(17%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    GDX(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.25% (StdDev 0.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.83(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.4(1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.36(1.72%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.77% (three month std-dev: 0.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.72%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.48%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.51%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.24%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2017	49.52	50.36	50.4	50.83	50.91	51.19	51.22(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	40	50	100	0.06	70%	0.08	53.2	0.5%	0	2.2	68	0
2	Apr_25_2017	49.48	50.31	50.3	50.58	50.69	51.02	51.18(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	76	50	75	79	0.14	71%	0.08	48.5	0.5%	0	2.6	63	0
3	Apr_24_2017	49.44	50.25	50.2	50.32	50.42	50.64	50.91(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	53	40	58	39	0.12	72%	0.08	23.2	0.5%	0	2.4	58	0
4	Apr_21_2017	49.4	50.2	50.12	50.15	50.16	50.35	50.34(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	25	30	33	-1	0.91	70%	0.08	-8.3	0.5%	0	0.6	45	0
5	Apr_20_2017	49.36	50.18	50.11	50.02	50.04	50.2	50.47(0.98%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.9	22	20	37	-25	0.1	70%	0.06	-39.6	0.5%	0	1.2	45	0

6	Apr_19_2017	49.33	50.16	50.07	49.92	50.04	49.98	49.98(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	10	4	-61	0.16	68%	0.06	-69.6	0.49%	0	-0.8	40	0
7	Apr_18_2017	49.3	50.15	50.09	49.98	49.92	49.89	49.91(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10	-5	-61	0.12	68%	0.06	-72.9	0.49%	0	-1	40	0
8	Apr_17_2017	49.27	50.18	50.14	50.05	49.98	49.85	50.05(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-20	-20	-50	0.32	68%	0.06	-62	0.49%	0	-0.5	54	0
9	Apr_13_2017	49.24	50.22	50.18	50.09	50.08	49.95	49.68(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-20	-33	-39	0.08	66%	0.06	-45.2	0.49%	0	-1.7	46	0
10	Apr_12_2017	49.21	50.28	50.28	50.22	50.18	50.11	49.99(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-9	-10	-12	0	0.36	69%	0.06	-28.3	0.48%	0	-1	53	0

11	Apr_11_2017	49.18	50.28	50.33	50.23	50.21	50.2	50.27(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-0	-8	14	0.5	72%	0.06	-20	0.48%	0	-0.2	60	0
12	Apr_10_2017	49.15	50.32	50.34	50.22	50.25	50.26	50.27(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	0	5	32	0.08	72%	0.08	-21.7	0.48%	0	-0.2	65	0
13	Apr_7_2017	49.11	50.34	50.31	50.23	50.23	50.22	50.24(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-0	-9	14	0.23	72%	0.06	-21	0.48%	0	-0.3	42	0
14	Apr_6_2017	49.08	50.34	50.29	50.29	50.27	50.23	50.29(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-9	-10	-13	2	0.15	72%	0.08	-19.4	0.48%	0	-0.2	39	0
15	Apr_5_2017	49.04	50.36	50.26	50.36	50.36	50.24	50.06(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-20	-16	-9	0.1	72%	0.08	-22.6	0.48%	0	-1	34	0

16	Apr_4_2017	49	50.38	50.25	50.43	50.42	50.3	50.24(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-20	-22	-20	0.27	75%	0.08	-28.3	0.49%	0	-0.5	36	0
17	Apr_3_2017	48.96	50.39	50.22	50.46	50.46	50.47	50.33(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	0	3	-19	0.43	76%	0.1	-30	0.5%	0	-0.2	49	0
18	Mar_31_2017	48.91	50.41	50.24	50.38	50.4	50.54	50.54(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	20	31	-20	0.1	76%	0.1	-38.1	0.5%	0	0.4	47	0
19	Mar_30_2017	48.86	50.42	50.25	50.27	50.19	50.44	50.62(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	20	30	36	-28	0.07	76%	0.1	-43.1	0.51%	0	0.6	49	0
20	Mar_29_2017	48.81	50.43	50.27	50.15	50.06	50.25	50.44(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	23	20	42	-33	0.1	76%	0.12	-42.7	0.51%	0	0	52	0

21	Mar_28_2017	48.75	50.47	50.27	50.05	49.99	49.94	50.37(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10	19	-45	0.22	71%	0.1	-42.7	0.51%	0	-0.3	49	0
22	Mar_27_2017	48.7	50.48	50.3	49.94	49.92	49.88	49.94(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-45	-10	-33	-81	0.07	69%	0.14	-53.3	0.52%	0	-1.4	41	0
23	Mar_24_2017	48.63	50.53	50.37	50.07	50.06	50.04	49.99(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-0	-16	-59	0.12	69%	0.12	-40.8	0.52%	0	-1.5	38	0
24	Mar_23_2017	48.57	50.56	50.43	50.24	50.22	49.97	49.98(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-40	-33	-52	0.12	69%	0.14	-25.4	0.52%	0	-1.7	34	0
25	Mar_22_2017	48.5	50.59	50.48	50.4	50.42	50.07	49.98(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-65	-50	-67	-57	0.12	69%		-11.5	0.52%	0	-2	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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