Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $49.9420 (-0.1%) ($49.4300 - $49.9910) on Mon. Mar. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $49.9420(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(19%)    IVW(18%)    XLV(18%)    IBB(17%)    IBUY(17%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-10%)    GDX(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $50.48
5 Day Moving Average   $49.94(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.3(-0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.48(-1.07%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.37%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.77%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2017	48.7	50.48	50.3	49.94	49.92	49.88	49.94(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-45	-10	-33	-81	0.07	69%	0.14	-53.3	0.52%	0	-1.4	41	0
2	Mar_24_2017	48.63	50.53	50.37	50.07	50.06	50.04	49.99(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-0	-16	-59	0.12	69%	0.12	-40.8	0.52%	0	-1.5	38	0
3	Mar_23_2017	48.57	50.56	50.43	50.24	50.22	49.97	49.98(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-40	-33	-52	0.12	69%	0.14	-25.4	0.52%	0	-1.7	34	0
4	Mar_22_2017	48.5	50.59	50.48	50.4	50.42	50.07	49.98(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-65	-50	-67	-57	0.12	69%	0.1	-11.5	0.52%	0	-2	35	0
5	Mar_21_2017	48.45	50.63	50.53	50.58	50.67	50.47	49.81(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-43	-20	-43	-43	0.08	69%	0.12	14.5	0.53%	0	-2.9	26	0

6	Mar_20_2017	48.39	50.68	50.53	50.7	50.78	50.76	50.58(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	0	-7	-19	0.1	78%	0.12	48.8	0.48%	0	-0.5	50	0
7	Mar_17_2017	48.33	50.67	50.6	50.71	50.71	50.86	50.83(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	20	15	-13	0.35	81%	0.15	65.1	0.48%	0	0.7	49	0
8	Mar_16_2017	48.26	50.65	50.6	50.66	50.64	50.8	50.83(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	27	20	38	-5	0.1	81%	0.12	73.3	0.48%	0	0.8	52	0
9	Mar_15_2017	48.2	50.63	50.61	50.57	50.56	50.56	50.85(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	11	-0	20	-18	0.11	81%	0.15	83	0.49%	0	0.9	55	0
10	Mar_14_2017	48.13	50.59	50.64	50.57	50.47	50.49	50.4(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	0	-10	-30	0.12	73%	0.1	86.3	0.48%	0	-0.7	46	0

11	Mar_13_2017	48.08	50.57	50.66	50.48	50.5	50.57	50.64(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	10	13	-23	0.06	76%	0.12	93	0.49%	0	0.2	49	0
12	Mar_10_2017	48.02	50.53	50.68	50.49	50.48	50.45	50.6(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-0	-5	-20	0.08	76%	0.13	89.6	0.49%	0	0.2	54	0
13	Mar_9_2017	47.96	50.48	50.69	50.55	50.51	50.43	50.34(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10	-25	-14	0.1	75%	0.13	87.7	0.5%	0	-0.3	53	0
14	Mar_8_2017	47.9	50.43	50.72	50.66	50.64	50.51	50.41(-0.06%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-22	-20	-30	3	0.1	75%	0.13	82.8	0.49%	0	-0	52	0
15	Mar_7_2017	47.84	50.37	50.75	50.83	50.77	50.59	50.43(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-13	-30	-30	38	0.1	78%	0.13	82.6	0.5%	0	0.1	58	0

16	Mar_6_2017	47.78	50.31	50.78	50.86	50.77	50.76	50.66(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-20	-21	61	0.06	78%	0.15	78.3	0.53%	0	0.5	64	0
17	Mar_3_2017	47.71	50.23	50.76	50.9	50.94	50.95	50.9(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	0	-10	84	0.09	79%	0.13	77.4	0.53%	0	1	71	0
18	Mar_2_2017	47.65	50.13	50.7	50.85	50.91	51.11	50.87(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	30	30	113	0.1	79%	0.15	69.2	0.53%	0	1	74	0
19	Mar_1_2017	47.58	50.02	50.65	50.78	50.77	50.93	51.28(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	63	20	38	138	0.16	85%	0.15	61	0.52%	0	1.6	85	0
20	Feb_28_2017	47.51	49.89	50.54	50.66	50.77	50.71	50.6(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	10	7	144	0.29	83%	0.11	58.7	0.49%	0	0.9	83	0

21	Feb_27_2017	47.46	49.8	50.48	50.69	50.63	50.62	50.83(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	-0	15	170	0.09	83%	0.13	60.6	0.5%	0	1.3	90	0
22	Feb_24_2017	47.4	49.7	50.37	50.6	50.6	50.56	50.67(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	-10	1	171	0.1	83%	0.13	63.6	0.5%	0	1.3	85	0
23	Feb_23_2017	47.34	49.63	50.26	50.53	50.54	50.56	50.52(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	10	7	184	0.1	83%	0.11	69.7	0.5%	0	1.2	87	0
24	Feb_22_2017	47.29	49.55	50.12	50.5	50.46	50.64	50.69(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	20	35	206	0.11	83%	0.13	77.7	0.5%	0	1.7	92	0
25	Feb_21_2017	47.23	49.46	49.96	50.39	50.36	50.44	50.73(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	79	10	38	202	0.12	83%		82.4	0.5%	0	2	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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