Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $50.9031 (0.06%) ($50.7443 - $50.9421) on Fri. Mar. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $50.9031(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(19%)    IBB(18%)    IVW(18%)    IYT(18%)    XLV(18%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    GDX(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.9(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.76(0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.23(1.34%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(13%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(88%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.98%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.39%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.1%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.13%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2017	47.71	50.23	50.76	50.9	50.94	50.95	50.9(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	0	-10	84	0.09	79%	0.13	77.4	0.53%	0	1	71	0
2	Mar_2_2017	47.65	50.13	50.7	50.85	50.91	51.11	50.87(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	30	30	113	0.1	79%	0.15	69.2	0.53%	0	1	74	0
3	Mar_1_2017	47.58	50.02	50.65	50.78	50.77	50.93	51.28(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	63	20	38	138	0.16	85%	0.15	61	0.52%	0	1.6	85	0
4	Feb_28_2017	47.51	49.89	50.54	50.66	50.77	50.71	50.6(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	10	7	144	0.29	83%	0.11	58.7	0.49%	0	0.9	83	0
5	Feb_27_2017	47.46	49.8	50.48	50.69	50.63	50.62	50.83(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	-0	15	170	0.09	83%	0.13	60.6	0.5%	0	1.3	90	0

6	Feb_24_2017	47.4	49.7	50.37	50.6	50.6	50.56	50.67(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	-10	1	171	0.1	83%	0.13	63.6	0.5%	0	1.3	85	0
7	Feb_23_2017	47.34	49.63	50.26	50.53	50.54	50.56	50.52(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	10	7	184	0.1	83%	0.11	69.7	0.5%	0	1.2	87	0
8	Feb_22_2017	47.29	49.55	50.12	50.5	50.46	50.64	50.69(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	20	35	206	0.11	83%	0.13	77.7	0.5%	0	1.7	92	0
9	Feb_21_2017	47.23	49.46	49.96	50.39	50.36	50.44	50.73(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	79	10	38	202	0.12	83%	0.15	82.4	0.5%	0	2	90	0
10	Feb_17_2017	47.16	49.33	49.79	50.23	50.21	50.44	50.4(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	57	10	15	184	0.09	83%	0.13	77.3	0.5%	0	1.7	89	0

11	Feb_16_2017	47.1	49.23	49.66	50.1	50.13	50.28	50.32(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	20	37	180	0.13	83%	0.11	75	0.51%	0	1.8	77	0
12	Feb_15_2017	47.05	49.13	49.51	49.94	49.97	50.13	50.38(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	75	20	48	157	0.14	84%	0.11	70.3	0.51%	0	2.2	72	0
13	Feb_14_2017	47	49.03	49.33	49.69	49.75	49.97	50.12(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	66	30	49	116	0.16	84%	0.11	66	0.51%	0	2.1	68	0
14	Feb_13_2017	46.95	48.93	49.19	49.47	49.5	49.8	49.95(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	40	54	87	0.1	84%	0.11	63.8	0.52%	0	2.2	72	0
15	Feb_10_2017	46.9	48.85	49.06	49.29	49.28	49.52	49.75(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	56	30	50	72	0.19	85%	0.09	62.2	0.52%	0	2.3	76	0

16	Feb_9_2017	46.86	48.78	48.98	49.16	49.13	49.19	49.49(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	10	30	60	0.11	86%	0.11	60.8	0.52%	0	2	70	0
17	Feb_8_2017	46.81	48.73	48.94	49.02	49.06	49.04	49.13(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-0	9	52	0.09	85%	0.09	56.1	0.53%	0	1.3	69	0
18	Feb_7_2017	46.77	48.68	48.93	48.93	48.97	49.04	49.04(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	20	20	8	56	0.15	87%	0.09	54.5	0.53%	0	1.1	63	0
19	Feb_6_2017	46.73	48.64	48.91	48.87	48.9	49.07	49.04(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	30	27	63	0.22	87%	0.11	54.4	0.6%	0	1.2	66	0
20	Feb_3_2017	46.68	48.6	48.84	48.8	48.79	48.87	49.13(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	10	19	50	0.09	87%	0.09	59.1	0.6%	0	1.7	61	0

21	Feb_2_2017	46.64	48.56	48.77	48.77	48.68	48.73	48.75(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	0	-8	40	0.14	82%	0.11	67.7	0.59%	0	0.6	59	0
22	Feb_1_2017	46.59	48.54	48.73	48.85	48.78	48.7	48.68(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-20	-6	44	0.34	79%	0.09	77.4	0.61%	0	0.5	54	0
23	Jan_31_2017	46.55	48.51	48.7	48.95	48.87	48.64	48.74(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-40	-25	50	0.11	79%	0.06	80.3	0.62%	0	0.7	59	0
24	Jan_30_2017	46.52	48.46	48.66	48.96	49	48.86	48.71(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-20	-14	59	0.08	79%	0.11	75.8	0.62%	0	0.8	61	0
25	Jan_27_2017	46.47	48.41	48.64	48.88	48.98	49.11	48.97(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	20	15	67	0.08	79%		53.9	0.61%	0	1.5	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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