Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $49.1644 (0.7%) ($49.0103 - $49.2132) on Wed. Jan. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.61% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $49.1644(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(19%)    IBB(18%)    IVW(18%)    IYT(18%)    XLV(18%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    GDX(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.59(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.5(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.31(1.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.7% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.46%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.67%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.52%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.19%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2017	46.41	48.31	48.5	48.59	48.6	48.86	49.16(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	52	40	52	51	0.14	79%	0.09	31.4	0.61%	0	2.5	59	0
2	Jan_24_2017	46.37	48.26	48.4	48.44	48.41	48.46	48.82(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	10	21	29	0.11	78%	0.04	24.1	0.62%	0	2	63	0
3	Jan_23_2017	46.35	48.22	48.33	48.32	48.41	48.35	48.3(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	0	-3	16	0.22	76%	0.06	11.5	0.61%	0	0.3	63	0
4	Jan_20_2017	46.32	48.22	48.34	48.36	48.33	48.36	48.41(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	0	4	35	0.09	76%	0.06	19.2	0.6%	0	0.8	62	0
5	Jan_19_2017	46.29	48.22	48.32	48.34	48.35	48.32	48.25(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-0	-0	39	0.08	76%	0.04	16	0.6%	0	0.2	58	0

6	Jan_18_2017	46.27	48.21	48.35	48.39	48.32	48.3	48.41(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10	-5	47	0.09	77%	0.06	20	0.6%	0	0.8	51	0
7	Jan_17_2017	46.24	48.21	48.3	48.36	48.34	48.37	48.26(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	0	3	44	0.12	77%	0.09	8	0.61%	0	0.3	51	0
8	Jan_13_2017	46.2	48.19	48.25	48.34	48.33	48.35	48.47(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	0	8	37	0.07	77%	0.06	2	0.6%	0	1.2	56	0
9	Jan_12_2017	46.17	48.19	48.18	48.32	48.28	48.3	48.31(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	0	-1	21	0.1	77%	0.04	-6.3	0.61%	0	0.6	50	0
10	Jan_11_2017	46.15	48.17	48.13	48.32	48.3	48.32	48.48(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	0	6	12	0.29	70%	0.07	10.4	0.6%	0	1.3	51	0

11	Jan_10_2017	46.12	48.16	48.11	48.3	48.3	48.26	48.3(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	6	-0	3	14	0.09	70%	0.07	31.3	0.64%	0	0.6	52	0
12	Jan_9_2017	46.09	48.17	48.11	48.24	48.28	48.27	48.14(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	0	8	11	0.09	70%	0.04	56.3	0.64%	0	-0.1	51	0
13	Jan_6_2017	46.07	48.19	48.09	48.14	48.21	48.27	48.35(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	10	20	14	-2	0.13	70%	0.07	74	0.64%	0	0.7	50	0
14	Jan_5_2017	46.04	48.18	48.09	48.02	48.08	48.29	48.23(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	16	30	23	-6	0.1	70%	0.07	78.8	0.64%	0	0.2	54	0
15	Jan_4_2017	46.01	48.15	48.08	47.94	47.96	48.13	48.5(1.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2.2	16	30	26	-16	0.15	70%	0.07	78.8	0.63%	0	1.4	49	0

16	Jan_3_2017	45.98	48.09	48.04	47.9	47.91	47.87	47.96(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10	1	-33	0.5	68%	0.07	69	0.63%	0	-0.5	45	0
17	Dec_30_2016	45.95	48.04	48.06	47.94	47.99	47.78	47.64(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-30	-24	-48	0.22	68%	0.04	42.2	0.62%	0	-0.9	35	0
18	Dec_29_2016	45.93	48.01	48.12	48.03	48.07	47.95	47.77(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10	-31	-46	0.1	64%	0.04	40.2	0.63%	0	-0.5	37	0
19	Dec_28_2016	45.91	47.98	48.15	48.13	48.16	47.95	47.83(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	10	-10	-30	0.11	64%	0.07	42.7	0.64%	0	-0.3	44	0
20	Dec_27_2016	45.88	47.95	48.22	48.24	48.22	48.2	48.31(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-0	8	5	0.09	69%	0.07	47	0.63%	0	0.6	64	0

21	Dec_23_2016	45.85	47.89	48.21	48.21	48.23	48.12	48.16(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10	-8	13	0.05	69%	0.07	48.7	0.64%	0	0.5	66	0
22	Dec_22_2016	45.82	47.85	48.25	48.19	48.24	48.23	48.08(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	0	-12	39	0.09	69%	0.07	52.1	0.64%	0	0.4	69	0
23	Dec_21_2016	45.79	47.81	48.25	48.23	48.27	48.33	48.29(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	10	11	83	0.08	71%	0.09	59.3	0.64%	0	0.8	72	0
24	Dec_20_2016	45.75	47.76	48.29	48.18	48.25	48.24	48.36(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	0	2	94	0.09	71%	0.07	60.3	0.66%	0	1	69	0
25	Dec_19_2016	45.72	47.69	48.21	48.2	48.23	48.21	48.16(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-0	-9	100	0.06	71%		68.3	0.66%	0	0.8	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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