Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $48.0801 (-0.42%) ($47.9791 - $48.2657) on Thu. Dec. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $48.0801(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(19%)    IBB(18%)    IBUY(18%)    IVW(18%)    IWF(18%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    GDX(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.19(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.25(-0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.85(0.48%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.64%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.46%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.91%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2016	45.82	47.85	48.25	48.19	48.24	48.23	48.08(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	0	-12	39	0.09	69%	0.07	52.1	0.64%	0	0.4	69	0
2	Dec_21_2016	45.79	47.81	48.25	48.23	48.27	48.33	48.29(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	10	11	83	0.08	71%	0.09	59.3	0.64%	0	0.8	72	0
3	Dec_20_2016	45.75	47.76	48.29	48.18	48.25	48.24	48.36(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	0	2	94	0.09	71%	0.07	60.3	0.66%	0	1	69	0
4	Dec_19_2016	45.72	47.69	48.21	48.2	48.23	48.21	48.16(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-0	-9	100	0.06	71%	0.04	68.3	0.66%	0	0.8	66	0
5	Dec_16_2016	45.7	47.62	48.13	48.22	48.31	48.26	48.07(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-0	-7	109	0.13	71%	0.07	73.8	0.66%	0	0.7	66	0

6	Dec_15_2016	45.67	47.56	48.02	48.32	48.34	48.25	48.28(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10	-15	109	0.12	73%	0.07	84.8	0.66%	0	1.1	62	0
7	Dec_14_2016	45.64	47.47	47.89	48.37	48.41	48.37	48.02(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-0	-8	112	0.12	73%	0.04	92	0.67%	0	0.8	62	0
8	Dec_13_2016	45.62	47.4	47.8	48.41	48.45	48.42	48.47(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-0	16	131	0.11	70%	0.09	105.8	0.66%	0	1.6	71	0
9	Dec_12_2016	45.58	47.28	47.67	48.22	48.31	48.45	48.27(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	30	21	112	0.15	72%	0.04	110.2	0.69%	0	1.5	71	0
10	Dec_9_2016	45.56	47.17	47.55	48.01	48.06	48.49	48.56(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	71	70	57	113	0.16	64%	0.09	113.4	0.7%	0	2.1	80	0

11	Dec_8_2016	45.52	47.03	47.42	47.68	47.73	48.16	48.53(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	71	70	66	86	0.1	64%	0.07	119.1	0.78%	0	2.3	76	0
12	Dec_7_2016	45.49	46.88	47.28	47.35	47.35	47.64	48.25(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	47	40	43	60	0.19	64%	0.07	120.5	0.78%	0	2.2	77	0
13	Dec_6_2016	45.46	46.71	47.16	47.12	47.13	47.29	47.5(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	20	22	40	0.16	61%	0.07	109.2	0.76%	0	1.2	66	0
14	Dec_5_2016	45.43	46.58	47.1	47.04	47.09	47.05	47.24(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-0	7	39	0.1	61%	0.04	95.7	0.76%	0	0.9	69	0
15	Dec_2_2016	45.41	46.42	47.1	47.01	47.08	46.97	46.86(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-10	-19	39	0.07	60%	0.04	72.8	0.76%	0	0.5	70	0

16	Dec_1_2016	45.39	46.28	47.05	47.12	47.15	47.13	46.89(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-0	-11	69	0.15	60%	0.04	64.4	0.76%	0	0.6	72	0
17	Nov_30_2016	45.37	46.14	47.02	47.12	47.24	47.18	47.09(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10	2	99	0.11	60%	0.04	58.2	0.75%	0	0.8	79	0
18	Nov_29_2016	45.35	46	46.97	47.19	47.21	47.17	47.13(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	-0	-6	126	0.17	60%	0.04	55.9	0.75%	0	0.9	84	0
19	Nov_28_2016	45.33	45.88	46.89	47.17	47.19	47.29	47.09(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	20	10	153	0.08	60%	0.07	54.2	0.76%	0	1	84	0
20	Nov_25_2016	45.3	45.75	46.77	47.09	47.12	47.25	47.4(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	20	22	190	0.12	60%	0.13	51.9	0.75%	0	1.4	93	0

21	Nov_23_2016	45.24	45.6	46.62	46.98	46.97	47.1	47.24(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	70	20	21	215	0.14	60%	0.09	50.8	0.75%	0	1.4	93	0
22	Nov_22_2016	45.2	45.46	46.44	46.82	46.85	47	47.12(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	75	20	23	230	0.17	60%	0.04	48.8	0.75%	0	1.5	89	0
23	Nov_21_2016	45.18	45.34	46.23	46.72	46.69	46.84	47.01(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	76	20	23	236	0.11	60%	0.07	50.2	0.75%	0	1.6	81	0
24	Nov_18_2016	45.15	45.23	46.02	46.56	46.57	46.7	46.69(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	77	20	26	231	0.11	60%	0.07	52.9	0.75%	0	1.5	72	0
25	Nov_17_2016	45.12	45.13	45.74	46.4	46.42	46.54	46.83(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	73	20	27	211	0.23	60%		53.8	0.75%	0	1.9	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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