Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $43.9552 (-0.75%) ($43.8579 - $44.3054) on Wed. Nov. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $43.9552(-0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IYT(19%)    QQQ(19%)    IBB(18%)    IBUY(18%)    IVW(18%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-11%)    GDX(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $44.69
5 Day Moving Average   $44.36(-0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.58(-1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.69(-1.64%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.76% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.32%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.51%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.87%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2016	44.83	44.69	44.58	44.36	44.42	44.27	43.96(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-39	-20	-37	-43	0.17	37%	0.02	-64.5	0.67%	0	-2.1	41	INF
2	Nov_1_2016	44.82	44.75	44.68	44.51	44.57	44.54	44.29(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-0	-10	-13	0.28	39%	0.02	-64.2	0.68%	0	-1.5	42	INF
3	Oct_31_2016	44.81	44.79	44.72	44.6	44.62	44.57	44.63(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10	-10	-1	0.11	41%	0.02	-59.7	0.67%	0	-0.5	50	INF
4	Oct_28_2016	44.8	44.82	44.7	44.68	44.67	44.6	44.47(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10	-16	-12	0.16	41%	0.02	-44.6	0.67%	0	-1.1	33	INF
5	Oct_27_2016	44.79	44.87	44.71	44.75	44.8	44.67	44.46(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-20	-11	-13	0.13	41%	0	-39.4	0.67%	0	-1.3	38	INF

6	Oct_26_2016	44.79	44.91	44.71	44.82	44.81	44.75	44.68(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10	-19	-23	0.06	41%	0.02	-39.7	0.67%	0	-0.7	37	INF
7	Oct_25_2016	44.78	44.95	44.72	44.87	44.85	44.94	44.74(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	10	6	-19	0.14	41%	0.02	-34.2	0.67%	0	-0.6	39	INF
8	Oct_24_2016	44.77	44.95	44.71	44.86	44.84	44.87	45.03(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	0	20	-22	0.15	41%	0.02	-27.4	0.67%	0	0.2	49	INF
9	Oct_21_2016	44.76	44.97	44.73	44.73	44.77	44.76	44.82(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	0	2	-44	0.06	41%	0.02	-35.5	0.67%	0	-0.4	41	INF
10	Oct_20_2016	44.75	45	44.75	44.67	44.71	44.82	44.85(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	20	10	-55	0.27	41%	0.02	-30	0.67%	0	-0.4	38	INF

11	Oct_19_2016	44.74	45.04	44.79	44.6	44.67	44.78	44.91(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	20	21	-55	0.11	41%	0.02	-27.5	0.67%	0	-0.4	47	INF
12	Oct_18_2016	44.73	45.04	44.83	44.55	44.57	44.6	44.7(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	10	4	-73	0.06	41%	0	-19.5	0.67%	0	-1	38	INF
13	Oct_17_2016	44.73	45.06	44.86	44.54	44.55	44.56	44.36(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	0	-16	-88	0.09	38%	0.02	-18.8	0.67%	0	-1.9	37	INF
14	Oct_14_2016	44.72	45.09	44.95	44.73	44.65	44.54	44.5(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-20	-15	-63	0.15	38%	0.02	-9.6	0.67%	0	-1.8	44	INF
15	Oct_13_2016	44.71	45.11	45.05	44.85	44.82	44.53	44.51(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-50	-38	-60	0.11	38%	0.04	2.9	0.67%	0	-1.9	39	INF

16	Oct_12_2016	44.69	45.11	45.12	45.02	45.02	44.77	44.69(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-40	-40	-53	0.07	38%	0.02	4.2	0.67%	0	-1.4	38	INF
17	Oct_11_2016	44.68	45.11	45.2	45.14	45.17	45.11	44.64(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-23	-10	-21	-29	0.12	38%	0.04	-6.8	0.67%	0	-1.5	43	INF
18	Oct_10_2016	44.66	45.13	45.27	45.22	45.26	45.26	45.32(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	0	6	1	0.12	43%	0.07	-18.8	0.65%	0	0.6	58	INF
19	Oct_7_2016	44.63	45.12	45.24	45.21	45.22	45.22	45.1(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	0	-9	-4	0.09	51%	0.07	-27.4	0.68%	0	-0.1	54	INF
20	Oct_6_2016	44.6	45.1	45.28	45.28	45.25	45.26	45.33(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-0	3	21	0.07	51%	0.07	-30	0.68%	0	0.6	59	INF

21	Oct_5_2016	44.57	45.12	45.28	45.24	45.29	45.23	45.29(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10	-3	27	0.27	51%	0.07	-28.6	0.68%	0	0.4	55	INF
22	Oct_4_2016	44.54	45.15	45.3	45.28	45.28	45.24	45.04(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10	-13	43	0.15	51%	0.04	-22.1	0.69%	0	-0.3	60	INF
23	Oct_3_2016	44.52	45.19	45.28	45.33	45.33	45.35	45.28(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	0	6	61	0.22	51%	0.07	-17.5	0.69%	0	0.2	60	INF
24	Sep_30_2016	44.49	45.19	45.25	45.28	45.3	45.33	45.47(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	10	5	50	0.1	57%	0.07	-15.7	0.69%	0	0.6	51	INF
25	Sep_29_2016	44.46	45.21	45.17	45.27	45.23	45.31	45.09(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	10	-6	45	0.15	60%		-17.3	0.72%	0	-0.3	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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