Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $43.2876 (-0.91%) ($43.0910 - $43.5106) on Tue. Jul. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $43.2876(-0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(21%)    IVW(20%)    IYT(20%)    XLV(20%)    IBB(19%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    GDX(-6%)    VCIT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.16(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.05(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.22(0.16%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2016	42.56	43.22	43.05	43.16	43.28		43.29(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	50	30	22	0.08	47%	0.14	-21	0.94%	0	0.1	53	0
2	Jul_1_2016	42.5	43.25	43.06	42.77	42.95	43.52	43.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.4	42	110	55	3	0.48	47%	0.16	-35	0.94%	0	0.6	53	0
3	Jun_30_2016	42.43	43.24	42.99	42.51	42.44	43.04	43.69(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	20	90	37	-32	0.13	47%	0.14	-42.5	0.94%	0	0.7	50	0
4	Jun_29_2016	42.37	43.25	42.99	42.59	42.26	42.38	42.92(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-0	15	-52	0.12	43%	0.12	-36.3	0.91%	0	-0.5	40	0
5	Jun_28_2016	42.32	43.29	42.91	42.69	42.55	41.84	42.2(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-54	-130	-43	-85	0.15	39%	0.12	-28.9	0.9%	0	-1.6	33	0

6	Jun_27_2016	42.27	43.36	42.99	42.95	42.93	42.14	41.38(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-104	-130	-103	-107	0.18	33%	0.07	-12	0.86%	0	-3	26	0
7	Jun_24_2016	42.24	43.48	43.18	43.35	43.39	43.27	42.38(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-47	-20	-43	-60	0.22	38%	0.09	17.9	0.82%	0	-2.4	34	0
8	Jun_23_2016	42.2	43.54	43.31	43.49	43.61	43.72	44.05(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	25	30	42	-26	0.09	47%	0.12	42.2	0.66%	0	1.3	54	0
9	Jun_22_2016	42.15	43.5	43.29	43.27	43.38	43.51	43.42(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	30	17	-59	0.08	41%	0.12	41.2	0.65%	0	-0.2	41	0
10	Jun_21_2016	42.1	43.49	43.35	43.17	43.2	43.49	43.52(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	10	50	33	-58	0.07	41%	0.1	41.4	0.65%	0	0.1	45	0

11	Jun_20_2016	42.06	43.44	43.39	43.05	43.07	43.25	43.4(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	30	37	-66	0.06	41%	0.1	25.7	0.65%	0	-0.1	46	0
12	Jun_17_2016	42.02	43.4	43.44	43	42.94	43.25	43.03(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10	-10	-87	0.1	37%	0.12	23.4	0.64%	0	-0.8	40	0
13	Jun_16_2016	41.97	43.37	43.51	43.1	43.01	42.9	42.98(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-20	-31	-76	0.09	37%	0.12	22.4	0.65%	0	-0.7	46	0
14	Jun_15_2016	41.92	43.35	43.6	43.32	43.21	42.98	42.92(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-40	-39	-44	0.09	37%	0.12	29	0.66%	0	-0.8	45	0
15	Jun_14_2016	41.87	43.35	43.69	43.56	43.46	43.13	42.9(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-60	-53	-9	0.1	37%	0.12	33.3	0.66%	0	-0.7	51	0

16	Jun_13_2016	41.82	43.33	43.77	43.79	43.75	43.45	43.17(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-22	-50	-43	43	0.08	37%	0.1	44	0.66%	0	-0.3	66	0
17	Jun_10_2016	41.78	43.29	43.82	43.93	43.92	43.79	43.54(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-20	-24	86	0.12	48%	0.14	46.6	0.68%	0	0.4	72	0
18	Jun_9_2016	41.72	43.25	43.81	43.97	43.98	44.05	44.06(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	10	7	125	0.1	52%	0.17	49.3	0.67%	0	1.2	88	0
19	Jun_8_2016	41.65	43.18	43.74	43.93	43.89	44.04	44.14(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	20	21	147	0.11	47%	0.14	52.1	0.67%	0	1.5	85	0
20	Jun_7_2016	41.59	43.13	43.63	43.84	43.79	43.9	44.03(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	10	21	150	0.09	47%	0.07	56	0.69%	0	1.6	84	0

21	Jun_6_2016	41.56	43.06	43.49	43.76	43.7	43.73	43.89(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	0	9	136	0.06	47%	0.14	50.8	0.69%	0	1.5	71	0
22	Jun_3_2016	41.5	43	43.36	43.7	43.65	43.69	43.71(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	0	8	135	0.25	47%	0.12	47.9	0.69%	0	1.4	74	0
23	Jun_2_2016	41.45	42.93	43.22	43.63	43.6	43.67	43.86(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	10	15	122	0.6	47%	0.12	38.8	0.7%	0	1.9	66	0
24	Jun_1_2016	41.4	42.86	43.07	43.52	43.51	43.62	43.74(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	20	18	107	1.12	54%	0.12	23.4	0.7%	0	1.9	63	0
25	May_31_2016	41.35	42.81	42.93	43.39	43.43	43.54	43.63(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	20	33	84	0.27	47%		8.3	0.71%	0	2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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