Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $43.8614 (0.29%) ($43.5425 - $43.8710) on Thu. Jun. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $43.8614(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IYT(21%)    QQQ(21%)    IBB(20%)    IVW(20%)    IWF(20%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    GLD(-6%)    GDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.63(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.22(1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.93(2.17%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.13%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.43%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.03%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.29%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.51%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.74%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160702

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2016	41.45	42.93	43.22	43.63	43.6	43.67	43.86(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	10	15	122	0.6	47%	0.12	38.8	0.7%	0	1.9	66	0
2	Jun_1_2016	41.4	42.86	43.07	43.52	43.51	43.62	43.74(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	20	18	107	1.12	54%	0.12	23.4	0.7%	0	1.9	63	0
3	May_31_2016	41.35	42.81	42.93	43.39	43.43	43.54	43.63(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	20	33	84	0.27	47%	0.17	8.3	0.71%	0	2	54	0
4	May_27_2016	41.28	42.78	42.84	43.16	43.25	43.39	43.58(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	30	26	56	0.05	54%	0.07	-9.3	0.75%	0	2.2	61	0
5	May_26_2016	41.25	42.75	42.71	42.96	43.03	43.32	43.32(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	50	36	34	0.1	54%	0.07	-32.5	0.75%	0	1.7	58	0

6	May_25_2016	41.22	42.74	42.64	42.74	42.81	43.11	43.33(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	42	50	49	22	0.07	54%	0.05	-45.1	0.75%	0	1.5	61	0
7	May_24_2016	41.2	42.75	42.58	42.55	42.53	42.73	43.09(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	22	30	29	-1	0.13	54%	0.05	-52	0.76%	0	0.8	58	0
8	May_23_2016	41.18	42.77	42.57	42.41	42.39	42.51	42.48(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	20	9	-18	0.07	49%	0.02	-59.4	0.74%	0	-0.7	45	0
9	May_20_2016	41.17	42.82	42.59	42.46	42.38	42.34	42.56(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10	5	-24	0.22	55%	0.02	-56.3	0.78%	0	-0.6	39	0
10	May_19_2016	41.16	42.86	42.6	42.42	42.41	42.28	42.26(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-20	-18	-43	0.12	55%	0.02	-55.2	0.78%	0	-1.3	41	0

11	May_18_2016	41.15	42.91	42.63	42.51	42.49	42.43	42.38(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-25	-10	-18	-47	0.28	55%	0	-48.6	0.78%	0	-1.2	38	0
12	May_17_2016	41.15	42.97	42.64	42.6	42.61	42.55	42.38(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10	-14	-59	0.1	60%	0	-41.2	0.78%	0	-1.3	33	0
13	May_16_2016	41.15	43.03	42.69	42.76	42.72	42.56	42.73(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-30	-9	-53	0.1	66%	0.05	-23	0.81%	0	-0.7	38	0
14	May_13_2016	41.13	43.07	42.74	42.74	42.82	42.66	42.35(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-20	-18	-59	0.24	65%	0	-13.3	0.84%	0	-1.7	38	0
15	May_12_2016	41.13	43.11	42.8	42.81	42.86	42.88	42.72(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	10	-1	-55	0.08	71%	0.02	-2.2	0.83%	0	-1	40	0

16	May_11_2016	41.12	43.13	42.85	42.75	42.79	42.99	42.79(-0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	40	14	-54	0.1	66%	0.02	4.7	0.86%	0	-0.9	43	0
17	May_10_2016	41.11	43.16	42.95	42.7	42.69	42.85	43.19(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	30	24	-52	0.14	70%	0.05	5.7	0.87%	0	0.1	43	0
18	May_9_2016	41.09	43.13	42.98	42.62	42.56	42.59	42.66(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	0	-4	-71	0.14	68%	0.05	2.1	0.86%	0	-1.1	37	0
19	May_6_2016	41.07	43.13	43.05	42.74	42.6	42.59	42.66(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-20	-8	-62	0.1	61%	0.02	4	0.9%	0	-1.1	40	0
20	May_5_2016	41.06	43.12	43.13	42.8	42.76	42.53	42.46(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-40	-20	-59	0.1	57%	0	-1.9	0.9%	0	-1.4	43	0

21	May_4_2016	41.06	43.11	43.22	42.96	42.87	42.67	42.5(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-40	-38	-48	0.38	57%	0.02	0	0.94%	0	-1.4	44	0
22	May_3_2016	41.05	43.13	43.34	43.23	43.11	42.99	42.82(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-30	-19	-15	0.1	57%	0.05	13.5	0.93%	0	-0.7	45	0
23	May_2_2016	41.03	43.12	43.41	43.39	43.33	43.07	43.25(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-50	-13	12	0.1	54%	0.05	18.6	0.92%	0	0.3	60	0
24	Apr_29_2016	41.01	43.11	43.43	43.4	43.42	43.24	42.95(-0.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-14	-30	-26	22	0.24	59%	0.05	24.5	0.96%	0	-0.4	62	0
25	Apr_28_2016	40.99	43.12	43.46	43.5	43.49	43.6	43.29(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	20	-0	50	0.09	59%		39.2	1%	0	0.4	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.