Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $43.1946 (1.25%) ($42.8027 - $43.2139) on Tue. May. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $43.1946(1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(22%)    IVW(21%)    IYT(21%)    SPY(21%)    XLV(21%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    GLD(-6%)    GDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.7(1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.95(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.16(0.08%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2016	41.11	43.16	42.95	42.7	42.69	42.85	43.19(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	30	24	-52	0.14	70%	0.05	5.7	0.87%	0	0.1	43	0
2	May_9_2016	41.09	43.13	42.98	42.62	42.56	42.59	42.66(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	0	-4	-71	0.14	68%	0.05	2.1	0.86%	0	-1.1	37	0
3	May_6_2016	41.07	43.13	43.05	42.74	42.6	42.59	42.66(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-20	-8	-62	0.1	61%	0.02	4	0.9%	0	-1.1	40	0
4	May_5_2016	41.06	43.12	43.13	42.8	42.76	42.53	42.46(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-40	-20	-59	0.1	57%	0	-1.9	0.9%	0	-1.4	43	0
5	May_4_2016	41.06	43.11	43.22	42.96	42.87	42.67	42.5(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-40	-38	-48	0.38	57%	0.02	0	0.94%	0	-1.4	44	0

6	May_3_2016	41.05	43.13	43.34	43.23	43.11	42.99	42.82(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-30	-19	-15	0.1	57%	0.05	13.5	0.93%	0	-0.7	45	0
7	May_2_2016	41.03	43.12	43.41	43.39	43.33	43.07	43.25(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-50	-13	12	0.1	54%	0.05	18.6	0.92%	0	0.3	60	0
8	Apr_29_2016	41.01	43.11	43.43	43.4	43.42	43.24	42.95(-0.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-14	-30	-26	22	0.24	59%	0.05	24.5	0.96%	0	-0.4	62	0
9	Apr_28_2016	40.99	43.12	43.46	43.5	43.49	43.6	43.29(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	20	-0	50	0.09	59%	0.02	39.2	1%	0	0.4	67	0
10	Apr_27_2016	40.98	43.11	43.44	43.51	43.47	43.61	43.81(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	28	20	14	68	0.1	62%	0.05	45.1	0.99%	0	1.6	79	0

11	Apr_26_2016	40.96	43.07	43.38	43.47	43.42	43.39	43.62(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10	3	67	0.12	64%	0.02	48.4	0.99%	0	1.3	62	0
12	Apr_25_2016	40.95	43.04	43.3	43.46	43.45	43.33	43.34(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-20	-7	66	0.11	60%	0.02	48.4	1.01%	0	0.8	64	0
13	Apr_22_2016	40.94	43	43.2	43.47	43.5	43.44	43.46(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10	-1	61	0.12	62%	0.02	44.2	1.04%	0	1.1	56	0
14	Apr_21_2016	40.93	42.95	43.1	43.4	43.45	43.56	43.31(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	20	4	47	0.09	62%	0.02	36.6	1.06%	0	0.9	49	0
15	Apr_20_2016	40.92	42.92	43	43.36	43.35	43.57	43.62(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	30	17	41	0.13	60%	0	34.4	1.06%	0	1.7	55	0

16	Apr_19_2016	40.92	42.88	42.91	43.29	43.23	43.34	43.55(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	10	21	34	0.12	60%	0.02	43	1.07%	0	1.8	54	0
17	Apr_18_2016	40.91	42.85	42.8	43.11	43.11	43.13	43.39(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	0	15	12	0.09	60%	0.02	43	1.07%	0	1.6	54	0
18	Apr_15_2016	40.9	42.82	42.8	42.9	42.95	43.11	43.14(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	30	12	1	0.13	57%	0.05	36	1.08%	0	1	58	0
19	Apr_14_2016	40.88	42.81	42.8	42.75	42.8	43.09	43.11(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	50	26	5	0.15	58%	0	41.7	1.12%	0	1	59	0
20	Apr_13_2016	40.88	42.78	42.75	42.58	42.62	42.78	43.24(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	13	30	19	-4	0.18	54%	0	40.3	1.12%	0	1.5	60	0

21	Apr_12_2016	40.88	42.72	42.72	42.5	42.47	42.51	42.69(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	0	3	-14	0.22	53%	0	42.7	1.17%	0	-0.1	46	0
22	Apr_11_2016	40.88	42.7	42.75	42.45	42.49	42.47	42.34(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-0	-4	-21	0.14	53%	0	41.3	1.17%	0	-1.1	40	0
23	Apr_8_2016	40.88	42.71	42.78	42.58	42.51	42.43	42.37(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-20	-15	-22	0.13	51%	0	61.3	1.17%	0	-1	40	0
24	Apr_7_2016	40.88	42.68	42.8	42.76	42.68	42.52	42.27(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-30	-13	-13	0.1	48%	-0.02	67	1.18%	0	-1	42	0
25	Apr_6_2016	40.89	42.65	42.84	42.92	42.83	42.59	42.81(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-50	-16	-2	0.12	48%		73.1	1.2%	0	0.3	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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