Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $43.2912 (-1.19%) ($43.2429 - $43.8227) on Thu. Apr. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $43.2912(-1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(22%)    IVW(21%)    IYT(21%)    SPY(21%)    XLV(21%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    GLD(-7%)    GDX(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.5(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.46(-0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.12(0.4%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2016	40.99	43.12	43.46	43.5	43.49	43.6	43.29(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	20	-0	50	0.09	59%	0.02	39.2	1%	0	0.4	67	INF
2	Apr_27_2016	40.98	43.11	43.44	43.51	43.47	43.61	43.81(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	28	20	14	68	0.1	62%	0.05	45.1	0.99%	0	1.6	79	INF
3	Apr_26_2016	40.96	43.07	43.38	43.47	43.42	43.39	43.62(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10	3	67	0.12	64%	0.02	48.4	0.99%	0	1.3	62	INF
4	Apr_25_2016	40.95	43.04	43.3	43.46	43.45	43.33	43.34(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-20	-7	66	0.11	60%	0.02	48.4	1.01%	0	0.8	64	INF
5	Apr_22_2016	40.94	43	43.2	43.47	43.5	43.44	43.46(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10	-1	61	0.12	62%	0.02	44.2	1.04%	0	1.1	56	INF

6	Apr_21_2016	40.93	42.95	43.1	43.4	43.45	43.56	43.31(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	20	4	47	0.09	62%	0.02	36.6	1.06%	0	0.9	49	INF
7	Apr_20_2016	40.92	42.92	43	43.36	43.35	43.57	43.62(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	30	17	41	0.13	60%	0	34.4	1.06%	0	1.7	55	INF
8	Apr_19_2016	40.92	42.88	42.91	43.29	43.23	43.34	43.55(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	10	21	34	0.12	60%	0.02	43	1.07%	0	1.8	54	INF
9	Apr_18_2016	40.91	42.85	42.8	43.11	43.11	43.13	43.39(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	0	15	12	0.09	60%	0.02	43	1.07%	0	1.6	54	INF
10	Apr_15_2016	40.9	42.82	42.8	42.9	42.95	43.11	43.14(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	30	12	1	0.13	57%	0.05	36	1.08%	0	1	58	INF

11	Apr_14_2016	40.88	42.81	42.8	42.75	42.8	43.09	43.11(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	50	26	5	0.15	58%	0	41.7	1.12%	0	1	59	INF
12	Apr_13_2016	40.88	42.78	42.75	42.58	42.62	42.78	43.24(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	13	30	19	-4	0.18	54%	0	40.3	1.12%	0	1.5	60	INF
13	Apr_12_2016	40.88	42.72	42.72	42.5	42.47	42.51	42.69(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	0	3	-14	0.22	53%	0	42.7	1.17%	0	-0.1	46	INF
14	Apr_11_2016	40.88	42.7	42.75	42.45	42.49	42.47	42.34(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-0	-4	-21	0.14	53%	0	41.3	1.17%	0	-1.1	40	INF
15	Apr_8_2016	40.88	42.71	42.78	42.58	42.51	42.43	42.37(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-20	-15	-22	0.13	51%	0	61.3	1.17%	0	-1	40	INF

16	Apr_7_2016	40.88	42.68	42.8	42.76	42.68	42.52	42.27(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-30	-13	-13	0.1	48%	-0.02	67	1.18%	0	-1	42	INF
17	Apr_6_2016	40.89	42.65	42.84	42.92	42.83	42.59	42.81(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-50	-16	-2	0.12	48%	0.02	73.1	1.2%	0	0.3	57	INF
18	Apr_5_2016	40.88	42.58	42.85	42.98	42.96	42.83	42.46(-1.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-10	-20	-17	10	0.25	48%	0.02	69.3	1.21%	0	-0.2	59	INF
19	Apr_4_2016	40.87	42.56	42.85	43.09	43.1	43.06	42.97(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10	5	34	0.31	46%	0.02	88.6	1.2%	0	0.7	63	INF
20	Apr_1_2016	40.86	42.5	42.91	43.01	43.01	43.08	43.27(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	10	6	36	0.13	46%	0.05	95.5	1.21%	0	1.4	67	INF

21	Mar_31_2016	40.84	42.41	42.87	42.86	42.89	43.14	43.11(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	25	40	18	44	0.32	46%	0	97.1	1.22%	0	1.2	75	INF
22	Mar_30_2016	40.84	42.32	42.81	42.74	42.69	42.93	43.11(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	40	16	47	0.14	46%	0.02	98.6	1.22%	0	1.3	75	INF
23	Mar_29_2016	40.83	42.21	42.71	42.74	42.57	42.63	43(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	17	0	6	49	0.9	46%	0	101.3	1.23%	0	1.2	77	INF
24	Mar_28_2016	40.83	42.07	42.64	42.71	42.62	42.45	42.57(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-30	-9	49	0.45	46%	-0.07	86.9	1.23%	0	0.6	60	INF
25	Mar_24_2016	40.86	41.96	42.62	42.8	42.72	42.52	42.5(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-40	-18	59	1.1	46%		84.4	1.23%	0	0.6	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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