Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $38.2391 (0.23%) ($37.9404 - $38.5364) on Thu. Jan. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $38.2391(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(24%)    IVW(23%)    IYT(23%)    SPY(23%)    IBB(22%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-13%)    SHY(-13%)    GLD(-8%)    GDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $39.14
5 Day Moving Average   $38.24(-0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.14(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.14(-2.3%)
To recent high   -11.7%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 3.19% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.25%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.85%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.25%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2016	41.38	39.14	38.14	38.24	38.23	38.3	38.24(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	10	5	-64	0.15	38%	-0.07	-72.4	1.07%	0	-0.7	37	INF
2	Jan_27_2016	41.41	39.33	38.15	38.15	38.26	38.27	38.15(-0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	10	15	-96	0.2	38%	-0.07	-63.2	1.08%	0	-0.8	31	INF
3	Jan_26_2016	41.44	39.52	38.26	38.03	38.12	38.15	38.46(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-28	10	7	-134	0.48	38%	-0.07	-57.6	1.08%	0	-0.7	29	INF
4	Jan_25_2016	41.47	39.69	38.33	37.92	37.89	38.26	37.82(-1.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-40	70	5	-173	0.22	35%	-0.07	-55.2	1.06%	0	-1.2	25	INF
5	Jan_22_2016	41.5	39.91	38.47	37.97	37.9	38.09	38.54(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	30	28	-197	0.16	39%	-0.07	-55.8	1.04%	0	-0.9	25	INF

6	Jan_21_2016	41.53	40.06	38.59	38.03	37.77	37.53	37.79(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-78	-60	-21	-248	0.3	36%	-0.07	-53.5	1.02%	0	-1.4	16	INF
7	Jan_20_2016	41.56	40.24	38.86	38.15	37.99	37.71	37.53(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-104	-60	-47	-274	0.56	36%	-0.07	-52.3	1.02%	0	-1.7	12	INF
8	Jan_19_2016	41.59	40.42	39.23	38.53	38.41	38.02	37.94(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-91	-80	-36	-254	0.47	37%	-0.1	-50.8	1.01%	0	-1.6	18	INF
9	Jan_15_2016	41.63	40.61	39.55	38.79	38.73	38.28	38.06(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-100	-90	-48	-256	0.38	37%	-0.1	-53.1	1%	0	-1.9	18	INF
10	Jan_14_2016	41.67	40.82	39.91	39.04	39.05	38.8	38.85(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-89	-40	-37	-244	0.36	39%	-0.05	-53.2	0.99%	0	-1.6	20	INF

11	Jan_13_2016	41.69	40.96	40.23	39.23	39.31	39.18	38.4(-2.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-85	-20	-37	-228	0.28	37%	-0.02	-53.5	0.98%	0	-2.2	24	INF
12	Jan_12_2016	41.7	41.11	40.62	39.68	39.56	39.31	39.42(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-50	-37	-188	0.52	40%	-0.02	-56.8	0.93%	0	-1.7	36	INF
13	Jan_11_2016	41.71	41.2	40.88	40.05	39.88	39.44	39.21(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-81	-90	-57	-152	0.48	40%	-0.05	-60.2	0.93%	0	-2.2	38	INF
14	Jan_8_2016	41.73	41.34	41.18	40.44	40.38	39.82	39.29(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-76	-100	-63	-114	0.43	40%	-0.1	-58.7	0.93%	0	-2.6	34	INF
15	Jan_7_2016	41.77	41.48	41.48	40.92	40.72	40.32	39.84(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-73	-80	-71	-77	0.42	43%	-0.1	-59.7	0.93%	0	-2.6	32	INF

16	Jan_6_2016	41.81	41.6	41.67	41.36	41.18	40.94	40.63(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-38	-50	-41	-28	0.19	46%	-0.07	-63.5	0.9%	0	-2	44	INF
17	Jan_5_2016	41.84	41.69	41.74	41.7	41.56	41.13	41.28(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-23	-80	-33	7	0.31	53%	-0.07	-51.9	0.88%	0	-0.9	53	INF
18	Jan_4_2016	41.87	41.76	41.72	41.84	41.83	41.42	41.16(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-35	-70	-49	9	0.42	53%	-0.12	-43.6	0.91%	0	-1.3	53	INF
19	Dec_31_2015	41.92	41.81	41.76	42.03	42.05	42	41.69(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-10	-20	33	0.24	59%	-0.05	-38.5	0.92%	0	-0.2	49	INF
20	Dec_30_2015	41.94	41.85	41.8	42.13	42.13	42.23	42.04(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	20	14	62	0.18	62%	-0.05	-33.9	0.91%	0	0.4	52	INF

21	Dec_29_2015	41.96	41.9	41.75	42.03	42.08	42.1	42.34(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	10	23	49	0.21	62%	-0.02	-31.5	0.94%	0	0.7	51	INF
22	Dec_28_2015	41.97	41.92	41.62	41.79	41.86	42.02	41.98(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	30	15	8	0.32	56%	-0.07	-40.5	0.93%	0	0.1	45	INF
23	Dec_24_2015	42	41.96	41.53	41.57	41.66	42.07	42.11(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	18	80	32	-26	0.3	56%	-0.05	-45.9	1%	0	0.2	42	INF
24	Dec_23_2015	42.02	42	41.49	41.57	41.4	41.71	42.16(1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	50	24	-44	0.24	56%	-0.05	-47.6	1%	0	0.2	50	INF
25	Dec_22_2015	42.04	42.03	41.44	41.44	41.36	41.25	41.58(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-20	5	-65	0.22	51%		-39.8	0.98%	0	-0.6	41	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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