Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $40.6290 (-1.59%) ($40.3881 - $40.8603) on Wed. Jan. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $40.6290(-1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(25%)    IVW(24%)    IYT(24%)    SPY(24%)    IBB(23%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-13%)    SHY(-13%)    GLD(-8%)    VCIT(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $41.6
5 Day Moving Average   $41.36(-1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.67(-2.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.6(-2.33%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.42%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.05%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.5%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.45%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2016	41.81	41.6	41.67	41.36	41.18	40.94	40.63(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-38	-50	-41	-28	0.19	46%	-0.07	-63.5	0.9%	0	-2	44	0
2	Jan_5_2016	41.84	41.69	41.74	41.7	41.56	41.13	41.28(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-23	-80	-33	7	0.31	53%	-0.07	-51.9	0.88%	0	-0.9	53	0
3	Jan_4_2016	41.87	41.76	41.72	41.84	41.83	41.42	41.16(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-35	-70	-49	9	0.42	53%	-0.12	-43.6	0.91%	0	-1.3	53	0
4	Dec_31_2015	41.92	41.81	41.76	42.03	42.05	42	41.69(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-10	-20	33	0.24	59%	-0.05	-38.5	0.92%	0	-0.2	49	0
5	Dec_30_2015	41.94	41.85	41.8	42.13	42.13	42.23	42.04(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	20	14	62	0.18	62%	-0.05	-33.9	0.91%	0	0.4	52	0

6	Dec_29_2015	41.96	41.9	41.75	42.03	42.08	42.1	42.34(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	10	23	49	0.21	62%	-0.02	-31.5	0.94%	0	0.7	51	0
7	Dec_28_2015	41.97	41.92	41.62	41.79	41.86	42.02	41.98(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	30	15	8	0.32	56%	-0.07	-40.5	0.93%	0	0.1	45	0
8	Dec_24_2015	42	41.96	41.53	41.57	41.66	42.07	42.11(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	18	80	32	-26	0.3	56%	-0.05	-45.9	1%	0	0.2	42	0
9	Dec_23_2015	42.02	42	41.49	41.57	41.4	41.71	42.16(1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	50	24	-44	0.24	56%	-0.05	-47.6	1%	0	0.2	50	0
10	Dec_22_2015	42.04	42.03	41.44	41.44	41.36	41.25	41.58(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-20	5	-65	0.22	51%	-0.05	-39.8	0.98%	0	-0.6	41	0

11	Dec_21_2015	42.06	42.09	41.49	41.43	41.49	41.08	41.14(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-60	-23	-92	0.16	49%	-0.07	-35.3	0.99%	0	-1.3	33	0
12	Dec_18_2015	42.09	42.17	41.61	41.42	41.61	41.47	40.85(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10	-24	-100	0.22	46%	-0.07	-28.9	0.99%	0	-1.9	35	0
13	Dec_17_2015	42.12	42.26	41.8	41.47	41.59	41.91	41.47(-1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	60	10	-85	0.19	49%	-0.05	-26.2	1%	0	-1.3	37	0
14	Dec_16_2015	42.14	42.26	41.86	41.53	41.43	41.75	42.17(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	50	29	-87	0.2	52%	-0.05	-23.6	0.98%	0	-0.2	42	0
15	Dec_15_2015	42.16	42.32	41.9	41.46	41.41	41.26	41.54(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-30	-2	-112	0.26	51%	-0.02	-33.3	0.97%	0	-1.3	35	0

16	Dec_14_2015	42.17	42.35	42.06	41.57	41.52	41.12	41.09(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-62	-70	-44	-117	0.56	49%	-0.07	-33.8	0.97%	0	-2.1	31	0
17	Dec_11_2015	42.2	42.37	42.24	41.84	41.79	41.55	41.06(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-58	-40	-45	-97	0.41	49%	-0.07	-36.4	0.97%	0	-2.3	32	0
18	Dec_10_2015	42.23	42.43	42.43	42.18	42.09	41.92	41.82(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-30	-14	-55	0.13	53%	-0.05	-34.5	0.94%	0	-1.3	41	0
19	Dec_9_2015	42.25	42.47	42.55	42.23	42.25	42.03	41.8(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-40	-24	-51	0.26	50%	-0.05	-38.9	0.94%	0	-1.5	40	0
20	Dec_8_2015	42.27	42.52	42.67	42.4	42.35	42.27	42.11(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-20	-28	-26	0.13	55%	-0.05	-35.9	0.95%	0	-0.9	55	0

21	Dec_7_2015	42.29	42.55	42.74	42.62	42.56	42.47	42.39(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-20	-7	10	0.46	55%	-0.05	-28.7	1%	0	-0.4	57	0
22	Dec_4_2015	42.31	42.58	42.78	42.71	42.71	42.44	42.77(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-40	-15	31	0.22	52%	-0.05	-20.4	1%	0	0.4	70	0
23	Dec_3_2015	42.33	42.6	42.77	42.74	42.82	42.65	42.1(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-12	-20	-28	37	0.31	49%	-0.05	-12	1%	0	-1.1	54	0
24	Dec_2_2015	42.35	42.65	42.83	42.91	42.95	42.98	42.65(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	10	-4	63	0.13	54%	-0.05	1.9	0.99%	0	0	51	0
25	Dec_1_2015	42.37	42.68	42.77	42.97	42.96	42.99	43.2(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	0	9	64	0.24	51%		13.9	0.99%	0	1.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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