Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $41.0867 (0.06%) ($40.6264 - $41.2210) on Mon. Dec. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $41.0867(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IYT(25%)    QQQ(25%)    IVW(24%)    IWF(24%)    SKYY(24%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-14%)    SHY(-13%)    GLD(-8%)    BND(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $42.35
5 Day Moving Average   $41.57(-1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.06(-2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.35(-2.98%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.14%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.66%(67%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.33%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.06%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.55%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.15%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2015	42.17	42.35	42.06	41.57	41.52	41.12	41.09(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-62	-70	-44	-117	0.56	49%	-0.07	-33.8	0.97%	0	-2.1	31	INF
2	Dec_11_2015	42.2	42.37	42.24	41.84	41.79	41.55	41.06(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-58	-40	-45	-97	0.41	49%	-0.07	-36.4	0.97%	0	-2.3	32	INF
3	Dec_10_2015	42.23	42.43	42.43	42.18	42.09	41.92	41.82(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-30	-14	-55	0.13	53%	-0.05	-34.5	0.94%	0	-1.3	41	INF
4	Dec_9_2015	42.25	42.47	42.55	42.23	42.25	42.03	41.8(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-40	-24	-51	0.26	50%	-0.05	-38.9	0.94%	0	-1.5	40	INF
5	Dec_8_2015	42.27	42.52	42.67	42.4	42.35	42.27	42.11(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-20	-28	-26	0.13	55%	-0.05	-35.9	0.95%	0	-0.9	55	INF

6	Dec_7_2015	42.29	42.55	42.74	42.62	42.56	42.47	42.39(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-20	-7	10	0.46	55%	-0.05	-28.7	1%	0	-0.4	57	INF
7	Dec_4_2015	42.31	42.58	42.78	42.71	42.71	42.44	42.77(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-40	-15	31	0.22	52%	-0.05	-20.4	1%	0	0.4	70	INF
8	Dec_3_2015	42.33	42.6	42.77	42.74	42.82	42.65	42.1(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-12	-20	-28	37	0.31	49%	-0.05	-12	1%	0	-1.1	54	INF
9	Dec_2_2015	42.35	42.65	42.83	42.91	42.95	42.98	42.65(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	10	-4	63	0.13	54%	-0.05	1.9	0.99%	0	0	51	INF
10	Dec_1_2015	42.37	42.68	42.77	42.97	42.96	42.99	43.2(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	0	9	64	0.24	51%	-0.05	13.9	0.99%	0	1.1	54	INF

11	Nov_30_2015	42.39	42.68	42.65	42.89	42.89	42.92	42.8(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	0	1	44	0.13	51%	-0.02	16.5	1.05%	0	0.3	52	INF
12	Nov_27_2015	42.4	42.67	42.52	42.87	42.86	42.94	42.95(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	10	8	27	0.05	55%	-0.02	15.7	1.05%	0	0.6	47	INF
13	Nov_25_2015	42.41	42.65	42.42	42.8	42.82	42.85	42.95(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	10	8	7	0.16	57%	-0.05	13.6	1.16%	0	0.6	45	INF
14	Nov_24_2015	42.43	42.64	42.38	42.74	42.73	42.85	42.93(0.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	8	10	11	-3	0.16	52%	0	17.3	1.18%	0	0.6	45	INF
15	Nov_23_2015	42.43	42.61	42.35	42.54	42.63	42.78	42.8(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	30	14	-19	0.25	52%	0	6.4	1.27%	0	0.4	42	INF

16	Nov_20_2015	42.43	42.61	42.33	42.38	42.45	42.68	42.73(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	40	24	-30	0.14	46%	-0.02	0.9	1.31%	0	0.3	42	INF
17	Nov_19_2015	42.44	42.61	42.35	42.12	42.17	42.48	42.59(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	60	20	-44	0.11	45%	-0.05	-10	1.34%	0	0	48	INF
18	Nov_18_2015	42.46	42.59	42.39	41.99	41.92	42.21	42.63(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	40	14	-50	0.29	45%	-0.02	-13	1.34%	0	0.1	50	INF
19	Nov_17_2015	42.47	42.56	42.44	41.98	41.87	41.87	41.94(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10	-1	-55	0.54	43%	-0.05	-10.4	1.33%	0	-1.3	40	INF
20	Nov_16_2015	42.49	42.58	42.57	42.15	42.04	41.63	42.03(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-80	-19	-43	0.22	43%	-0.07	2.7	1.33%	0	-1.1	50	INF

21	Nov_13_2015	42.52	42.59	42.69	42.27	42.28	41.87	41.39(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-40	-70	-40	-38	0.13	41%	-0.07	8.8	1.32%	0	-2.5	38	INF
22	Nov_12_2015	42.55	42.64	42.84	42.6	42.57	42.44	41.95(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-20	-23	-12	0.24	43%	-0.07	33.3	1.31%	0	-1.7	41	INF
23	Nov_11_2015	42.58	42.66	42.93	42.85	42.78	42.44	42.57(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-20	-6	11	0.09	43%	-0.05	45.6	1.3%	0	-0.2	52	INF
24	Nov_10_2015	42.6	42.61	42.95	42.96	42.88	42.69	42.78(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-40	-14	23	0.1	45%	-0.07	50	1.3%	0	0.4	64	INF
25	Nov_9_2015	42.63	42.57	42.91	43.06	43.03	42.87	42.63(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-30	-15	29	0.18	45%		60.9	1.31%	0	0.1	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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