Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $42.1993 (0.18%) ($41.9212 - $42.2270) on Fri. Oct. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $42.1993(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(26%)    IYT(25%)    SPY(25%)    VT(25%)    IBB(24%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    TLT(-13%)    GLD(-8%)    VCIT(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.99(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.92(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.16(2.53%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.29%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.48%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.71%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2015	42.93	41.16	41.92	41.99	41.93	42.01	42.2(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	10	7	114	0.19	44%	-0.07	15.1	1.3%	0	1.2	84	0
2	Oct_15_2015	42.96	41.1	41.78	42	41.94	41.81	42.12(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-30	-4	114	0.19	44%	-0.07	15.2	1.31%	0	1.1	64	0
3	Oct_14_2015	42.99	41.09	41.59	42.02	42.03	41.85	41.62(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-30	-11	113	0.17	44%	-0.07	20.3	1.3%	0	0.6	61	0
4	Oct_13_2015	43.02	41.1	41.45	42.04	42.08	42.08	41.83(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	0	0	116	0.19	45%	-0.02	26.3	1.3%	0	0.8	61	0
5	Oct_12_2015	43.03	41.08	41.22	41.95	41.99	42.21	42.2(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	40	14	104	0.11	45%	-0.09	24.5	1.3%	0	1.3	63	0

6	Oct_9_2015	43.07	41.02	40.93	41.82	41.8	42.08	42.21(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	50	28	82	0.22	46%	-0.07	24.4	1.31%	0	1.4	55	0
7	Oct_8_2015	43.1	40.97	40.75	41.53	41.56	41.77	42.24(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	40	36	60	0.3	44%	-0.07	16.9	1.31%	0	1.6	56	0
8	Oct_7_2015	43.13	40.91	40.56	41.1	41.12	41.52	41.72(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	70	27	14	0.17	45%	-0.07	3.3	1.32%	0	1.1	44	0
9	Oct_6_2015	43.16	40.91	40.43	40.78	40.73	41.36	41.39(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	34	100	49	-11	0.09	45%	-0.09	-5.5	1.32%	0	0.7	41	0
10	Oct_5_2015	43.2	40.87	40.35	40.36	40.35	40.72	41.54(1.93%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	27	60	51	-46	0.43	45%	-0.09	-20.7	1.32%	0	0.9	47	0

11	Oct_2_2015	43.24	40.82	40.31	39.92	39.87	40.11	40.75(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-16	40	9	-91	0.2	43%	-0.09	-45.9	1.3%	0	-0.1	46	0
12	Oct_1_2015	43.28	40.84	40.35	39.87	39.78	39.97	40.09(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	30	7	-98	0.32	41%	-0.12	-52.5	1.29%	0	-1	38	0
13	Sep_30_2015	43.33	40.89	40.52	39.94	39.91	39.64	40.11(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-50	-4	-91	0.22	41%	-0.12	-49.4	1.29%	0	-1.1	40	0
14	Sep_29_2015	43.38	40.91	40.71	40.05	40.02	39.58	39.33(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-56	-80	-43	-93	0.22	37%	-0.14	-40.2	1.26%	0	-2.2	33	0
15	Sep_28_2015	43.44	41.03	40.95	40.33	40.35	40.19	39.32(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-42	-30	-33	-70	0.16	37%	-0.11	-23.2	1.28%	0	-2.8	29	0

16	Sep_25_2015	43.49	41.16	41.15	40.74	40.6	40.47	40.48(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-30	-13	-33	0.4	39%	-0.11	-3.2	1.24%	0	-1.3	52	0
17	Sep_24_2015	43.54	41.23	41.24	40.89	40.8	40.52	40.48(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-50	-27	-27	0.14	39%	-0.07	-3.3	1.24%	0	-1.5	46	0
18	Sep_23_2015	43.57	41.25	41.32	41.2	41.07	40.73	40.63(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-28	-70	-34	-8	0.08	39%	-0.11	-13.8	1.24%	0	-1.3	48	0
19	Sep_22_2015	43.62	41.2	41.37	41.48	41.43	41.09	40.74(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-15	-60	-27	21	0.17	39%	-0.09	-31.3	1.24%	0	-0.7	55	0
20	Sep_21_2015	43.66	41.17	41.46	41.66	41.71	41.41	41.36(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-50	-14	38	0.1	40%	-0.09	-50	1.23%	0	0.3	48	0

21	Sep_18_2015	43.7	41.18	41.46	41.66	41.72	41.78	41.25(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	20	-9	23	0.15	41%	-0.07	-66.9	1.23%	0	0.1	45	0
22	Sep_17_2015	43.73	41.24	41.38	41.62	41.67	42.02	42.01(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	60	28	32	0.24	43%	-0.07	-65.9	1.22%	0	1	51	0
23	Sep_16_2015	43.76	41.31	41.27	41.46	41.41	41.65	42.07(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	40	27	24	0.18	43%	-0.07	-60.5	1.22%	0	0.8	60	0
24	Sep_15_2015	43.79	41.39	41.1	41.25	41.22	41.32	41.63(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	10	7	13	0.14	43%	-0.07	-55.2	1.22%	0	0.2	66	0
25	Sep_14_2015	43.82	41.5	41.09	41.24	41.23	41.16	41.13(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10	6	30	0.23	41%		-49.3	1.21%	0	-0.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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