Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $42.0077 (-0.14%) ($41.9503 - $42.6579) on Thu. Sep. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $42.0077(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(27%)    IYT(26%)    SPY(26%)    VT(26%)    IBB(25%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-14%)    SHY(-14%)    GLD(-7%)    BND(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.62(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.38(1.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.24(1.86%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.11%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 15.79%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.03%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 15.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.47%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2015	43.73	41.24	41.38	41.62	41.67	42.02	42.01(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	60	28	32	0.24	43%	-0.07	-65.9	1.22%	0	1	51	0
2	Sep_16_2015	43.76	41.31	41.27	41.46	41.41	41.65	42.07(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	40	27	24	0.18	43%	-0.07	-60.5	1.22%	0	0.8	60	0
3	Sep_15_2015	43.79	41.39	41.1	41.25	41.22	41.32	41.63(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	10	7	13	0.14	43%	-0.07	-55.2	1.22%	0	0.2	66	0
4	Sep_14_2015	43.82	41.5	41.09	41.24	41.23	41.16	41.13(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10	6	30	0.23	41%	-0.09	-49.3	1.21%	0	-0.3	58	0
5	Sep_11_2015	43.86	41.63	41.16	41.12	41.26	41.12	41.28(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10	-2	23	0.26	41%	-0.09	-46.7	1.21%	0	-0.3	48	0

6	Sep_10_2015	43.9	41.74	41.2	41.09	41.12	41.29	41.17(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	30	-4	10	0.19	43%	-0.09	-44.8	1.21%	0	-0.4	42	0
7	Sep_9_2015	43.94	41.87	41.16	41.05	41.15	41.4	41.03(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	17	50	27	-13	0.36	43%	-0.09	-44.5	1.21%	0	-0.6	38	0
8	Sep_8_2015	43.98	42	41.01	40.92	40.99	40.96	41.57(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	0	7	-79	0.19	43%	-0.09	-45.9	1.21%	0	-0.3	38	0
9	Sep_4_2015	44.02	42.11	40.86	40.94	40.8	40.89	40.54(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	10	-24	-143	0.18	39%	-0.11	-44.1	1.15%	0	-1	32	0
10	Sep_3_2015	44.07	42.26	40.96	41.21	41.07	41.01	41.13(0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-32	-20	5	-142	1.36	40%	-0.09	-42	1.14%	0	-0.8	35	0

11	Sep_2_2015	44.11	42.38	41.1	41.33	41.2	40.7	40.98(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-55	-90	-21	-157	0.62	40%	-0.09	-41.5	1.14%	0	-0.9	36	0
12	Sep_1_2015	44.15	42.52	41.35	41.28	41.37	41.12	40.4(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-40	-15	-163	0.59	38%	-0.11	-44.3	1.13%	0	-1.4	32	0
13	Aug_31_2015	44.2	42.69	41.7	41.08	41.29	41.7	41.63(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	80	29	-167	0.35	41%	-0.07	-50.6	1.07%	0	-0.8	37	0
14	Aug_28_2015	44.23	42.8	41.93	40.76	40.93	41.61	41.88(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	21	130	84	-169	0.15	41%	-0.07	-55.7	1.07%	0	-0.7	36	0
15	Aug_27_2015	44.26	42.9	42.11	40.69	39.23	40.89	41.77(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-37	190	17	-199	0.26	43%	-0.07	-55.8	1.07%	0	-0.8	41	0

16	Aug_26_2015	44.29	43.01	42.3	40.89	39.36	40.25	40.73(3.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	19	50	82	-170	0.55	37%	-0.09	-52.6	1.02%	0	-1.6	33	0
17	Aug_25_2015	44.33	43.19	42.61	41.49	40.07	37.57	39.39(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-150	-540	-124	-227	0.68	30%	-0.14	-45.6	0.93%	0	-3	19	0
18	Aug_24_2015	44.39	43.42	43.07	42.42	40.95	38.47	40.02(-3.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-310	-530	-334	-237	2.87	32%	-0.09	-37.4	0.93%	0	-3.6	24	0
19	Aug_21_2015	44.43	43.59	43.51	43.24	43.23	42.56	41.56(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-94	-110	-99	-77	1.45	36%	-0.07	-33.6	0.81%	0	-3.6	30	0
20	Aug_20_2015	44.46	43.7	43.72	43.71	43.71	43.44	42.75(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-43	-40	-50	-22	0.49	40%	-0.04	-30.3	0.74%	0	-2.9	36	0

21	Aug_19_2015	44.48	43.76	43.81	43.9	43.71	43.91	43.72(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	0	-7	8	0.18	45%	0	-30.6	0.69%	0	-0.1	45	0
22	Aug_18_2015	44.48	43.76	43.82	43.92	43.88	43.99	44.04(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	10	20	17	0.16	46%	-0.02	-31.3	0.69%	0	0.9	49	0
23	Aug_17_2015	44.49	43.76	43.77	43.85	43.75	43.85	44.13(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	10	8	4	0.14	46%	0	-43.9	0.69%	0	1.2	58	0
24	Aug_14_2015	44.49	43.78	43.77	43.84	43.7	43.78	43.9(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	0	14	17	0.11	48%	0	-45.1	0.69%	0	0.4	64	0
25	Aug_13_2015	44.49	43.8	43.73	43.74	43.72	43.66	43.72(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10	10	15	0.13	48%		-42.5	0.69%	0	-0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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