Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $40.9848 (1.44%) ($40.3537 - $40.9848) on Wed. Sep. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $40.9848(1.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(28%)    SPY(28%)    IVE(27%)    IYT(27%)    VT(27%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-14%)    GLD(-7%)    BND(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $42.38
5 Day Moving Average   $41.33(-0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.1(-0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.38(-3.29%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 3.54% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 2.17%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.6%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 2.74%(69%) Average negative next three day return: -3.95%(31%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 3.76%(62%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.46%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2015	44.11	42.38	41.1	41.33	41.2	40.7	40.98(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-55	-90	-21	-157	0.62	40%	-0.09	-41.5	1.14%	0	-0.9	36	0
2	Sep_1_2015	44.15	42.52	41.35	41.28	41.37	41.12	40.4(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-40	-15	-163	0.59	38%	-0.11	-44.3	1.13%	0	-1.4	32	0
3	Aug_31_2015	44.2	42.69	41.7	41.08	41.29	41.7	41.63(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	80	29	-167	0.35	41%	-0.07	-50.6	1.07%	0	-0.8	37	0
4	Aug_28_2015	44.23	42.8	41.93	40.76	40.93	41.61	41.88(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	21	130	84	-169	0.15	41%	-0.07	-55.7	1.07%	0	-0.7	36	0
5	Aug_27_2015	44.26	42.9	42.11	40.69	39.23	40.89	41.77(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-37	190	17	-199	0.26	43%	-0.07	-55.8	1.07%	0	-0.8	41	0

6	Aug_26_2015	44.29	43.01	42.3	40.89	39.36	40.25	40.73(3.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	19	50	82	-170	0.55	37%	-0.09	-52.6	1.02%	0	-1.6	33	0
7	Aug_25_2015	44.33	43.19	42.61	41.49	40.07	37.57	39.39(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-150	-540	-124	-227	0.68	30%	-0.14	-45.6	0.93%	0	-3	19	0
8	Aug_24_2015	44.39	43.42	43.07	42.42	40.95	38.47	40.02(-3.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-310	-530	-334	-237	2.87	32%	-0.09	-37.4	0.93%	0	-3.6	24	0
9	Aug_21_2015	44.43	43.59	43.51	43.24	43.23	42.56	41.56(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-94	-110	-99	-77	1.45	36%	-0.07	-33.6	0.81%	0	-3.6	30	0
10	Aug_20_2015	44.46	43.7	43.72	43.71	43.71	43.44	42.75(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-43	-40	-50	-22	0.49	40%	-0.04	-30.3	0.74%	0	-2.9	36	0

11	Aug_19_2015	44.48	43.76	43.81	43.9	43.71	43.91	43.72(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	0	-7	8	0.18	45%	0	-30.6	0.69%	0	-0.1	45	0
12	Aug_18_2015	44.48	43.76	43.82	43.92	43.88	43.99	44.04(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	10	20	17	0.16	46%	-0.02	-31.3	0.69%	0	0.9	49	0
13	Aug_17_2015	44.49	43.76	43.77	43.85	43.75	43.85	44.13(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	10	8	4	0.14	46%	0	-43.9	0.69%	0	1.2	58	0
14	Aug_14_2015	44.49	43.78	43.77	43.84	43.7	43.78	43.9(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	0	14	17	0.11	48%	0	-45.1	0.69%	0	0.4	64	0
15	Aug_13_2015	44.49	43.8	43.73	43.74	43.72	43.66	43.72(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10	10	15	0.13	48%	0	-42.5	0.69%	0	-0.2	56	0

16	Aug_12_2015	44.49	43.84	43.76	43.69	43.63	43.62	43.8(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-9	-10	-13	3	0.17	48%	-0.02	-31.7	0.69%	0	-0.1	48	0
17	Aug_11_2015	44.5	43.86	43.76	43.7	43.64	43.78	43.69(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	20	10	11	0.15	48%	-0.04	-19.1	0.69%	0	-0.4	44	0
18	Aug_10_2015	44.52	43.91	43.77	43.68	43.69	43.63	44.07(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10	15	3	0.18	50%	-0.02	-15.4	0.69%	0	0.4	48	0
19	Aug_7_2015	44.53	43.92	43.77	43.61	43.65	43.51	43.41(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-20	-29	-45	0.15	49%	-0.02	-14.3	0.68%	0	-1.3	36	0
20	Aug_6_2015	44.54	43.92	43.67	43.72	43.75	43.74	43.5(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	0	-14	-45	0.33	49%	-0.02	-7.7	0.68%	0	-1.1	36	0

21	Aug_5_2015	44.55	43.95	43.71	43.82	43.85	43.78	43.81(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-10	-2	-44	0.17	48%	0	-7.7	0.67%	0	-0.4	35	0
22	Aug_4_2015	44.55	43.94	43.74	43.82	43.86	43.76	43.63(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-20	-13	-47	0.2	48%	-0.02	-9.9	0.69%	0	-0.8	39	0
23	Aug_3_2015	44.56	43.94	43.78	43.86	43.89	43.92	43.72(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-5	10	9	-48	0.16	48%	0	-4.4	0.69%	0	-0.6	37	0
24	Jul_31_2015	44.56	43.97	43.84	43.73	43.79	43.97	43.95(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	30	25	-59	0.28	51%	0	-22.6	0.69%	0	-0	42	0
25	Jul_30_2015	44.56	43.98	43.87	43.61	43.56	43.87	44.01(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	50	24	-64	0.13	49%		-36.6	0.71%	0	0.1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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