Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $43.7190 (-0.52%) ($43.5469 - $44.0058) on Mon. Aug. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $43.7190(-0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(29%)    SPY(28%)    VT(28%)    IVE(27%)    VYM(27%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-14%)    GLD(-7%)    BND(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $43.97
5 Day Moving Average   $43.86(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.78(-0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.97(-0.57%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2015	44.56		43.78	43.86	43.89	43.92	43.72(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-5	10	9	-48	0.16	48%	0	-4.4	0.69%	0	-0.6	37	0
2	Jul_31_2015	44.56	43.97	43.84	43.73	43.79	43.97	43.95(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	30	25	-59	0.28	51%	0	-22.6	0.69%	0	-0	42	0
3	Jul_30_2015	44.56	43.97	43.87	43.61	43.56	43.87	44.01(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	50	24	-64	0.13	49%	0.02	-36.6	0.71%	0	0.1	51	0
4	Jul_29_2015	44.55	43.97	43.92	43.59	43.48	43.6	44.01(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	10	20	-50	0.44	49%	0	-45.2	0.72%	0	0.1	57	0
5	Jul_28_2015	44.55	43.97	43.95	43.61	43.54	43.25	43.61(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-50	-22	-51	0.21	47%	0	-58.1	0.71%	0	-0.9	55	0

6	Jul_27_2015	44.55	43.98	44.04	43.71	43.7	43.37	43.06(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-58	-50	-61	-50	0.48	43%	-0.02	-68.1	0.69%	0	-2.3	38	0
7	Jul_24_2015	44.56	44.07	44.19	43.96	43.97	43.82	43.38(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-28	-20	-36	-4	0.29	45%	-0.02	-58.3	0.69%	0	-1.9	47	0
8	Jul_23_2015	44.57	44.13	44.26	44.15	44.15	44.03	43.9(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-20	-21	23	0.2	48%	-0.02	-51.9	0.67%	0	-0.7	49	0
9	Jul_22_2015	44.58	44.17	44.23	44.3	44.26	44.11	44.09(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-30	-20	30	0.25	48%	-0.02	-36	0.67%	0	-0.2	50	0
10	Jul_21_2015	44.59	44.22	44.17	44.34	44.39	44.27	44.12(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-20	-19	28	0.36	48%	-0.02	-23.7	0.67%	0	-0.2	55	0

11	Jul_20_2015	44.6	44.26	44.18	44.43	44.45	44.41	44.3(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-0	-10	52	0.29	48%	0	-8.7	0.67%	0	0.1	58	0
12	Jul_17_2015	44.6	44.28	44.13	44.45	44.48	44.51	44.36(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	10	9	48	0.22	45%	-0.02	-3.7	0.68%	0	0.2	46	0
13	Jul_16_2015	44.61	44.28	44.1	44.37	44.44	44.48	44.61(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	10	25	35	0.28	45%	0	-5.3	0.69%	0	0.6	48	0
14	Jul_15_2015	44.61	44.31	44.04	44.15	44.27	44.44	44.31(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	17	40	23	-2	0.2	47%	-0.02	-18.6	0.68%	0	0	43	0
15	Jul_14_2015	44.62	44.32	43.99	43.97	44.1	44.39	44.57(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	16	50	35	-40	0.22	47%	0	-25.2	0.69%	0	0.5	41	0

16	Jul_13_2015	44.62	44.32	43.9	43.89	43.89	44.11	44.41(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	40	33	-74	0.15	47%	-0.02	-28.3	0.69%	0	0.2	40	0
17	Jul_10_2015	44.63	44.3	43.91	43.78	43.79	43.81	43.96(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	0	10	-103	0.18	44%	-0.02	-35.4	0.68%	0	-0.7	38	0
18	Jul_9_2015	44.64	44.34	43.97	43.8	43.77	43.67	43.5(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-20	-20	-123	0.27	41%	-0.02	-31.9	0.67%	0	-1.7	30	0
19	Jul_8_2015	44.65	44.4	44.1	43.92	43.87	43.77	43.41(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-20	-19	-109	0.25	41%	-0.04	-29.2	0.67%	0	-2.1	37	0
20	Jul_7_2015	44.67	44.44	44.27	44	44	43.87	44.2(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-24	-20	-2	-89	0.37	46%	0	-35.9	0.63%	0	-0.6	46	0

21	Jul_6_2015	44.67	44.45	44.35	43.9	44.03	43.97	43.83(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-0	-27	-97	0.56	46%	-0.02	-51.1	0.63%	0	-1.5	46	0
22	Jul_2_2015	44.68	44.48	44.45	44.07	44.08	44.13	44.07(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	10	-11	-64	0.18	46%	0	-47.1	0.63%	0	-1.1	46	0
23	Jul_1_2015	44.68	44.5	44.54	44.18	44.22	44.09	44.08(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-20	-12	-47	0.33	46%	0	-47	0.64%	0	-1.1	42	0
24	Jun_30_2015	44.68	44.54	44.6	44.32	44.37	44.03	43.82(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-53	-50	-54	-49	0.34	50%	0	-39.8	0.63%	0	-1.9	39	0
25	Jun_29_2015	44.68	44.59	44.68	44.57	44.59	44.35	43.71(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-47	-40	-58	-15	0.76	50%		-21.6	0.65%	0	-2.7	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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