Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $43.9580 (1.05%) ($43.7290 - $44.0440) on Fri. Jul. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $43.9580(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(29%)    SPY(29%)    IVE(28%)    VT(28%)    XLV(28%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-14%)    GLD(-7%)    BND(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $44.3
5 Day Moving Average   $43.78(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.91(0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.3(-0.77%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.13% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.04%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.15%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.2%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2015	44.63	44.3	43.91	43.78	43.79	43.81	43.96(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	0	10	-103	0.18	44%	-0.02	-35.4	0.68%	0	-0.7	38	0
2	Jul_9_2015	44.64	44.34	43.97	43.8	43.77	43.67	43.5(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-20	-20	-123	0.27	41%	-0.02	-31.9	0.67%	0	-1.7	30	0
3	Jul_8_2015	44.65	44.4	44.1	43.92	43.87	43.77	43.41(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-20	-19	-109	0.25	41%	-0.04	-29.2	0.67%	0	-2.1	37	0
4	Jul_7_2015	44.67	44.44	44.27	44	44	43.87	44.2(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-24	-20	-2	-89	0.37	46%	0	-35.9	0.63%	0	-0.6	46	0
5	Jul_6_2015	44.67	44.45	44.35	43.9	44.03	43.97	43.83(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-0	-27	-97	0.56	46%	-0.02	-51.1	0.63%	0	-1.5	46	0

6	Jul_2_2015	44.68	44.48	44.45	44.07	44.08	44.13	44.07(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	10	-11	-64	0.18	46%	0	-47.1	0.63%	0	-1.1	46	0
7	Jul_1_2015	44.68	44.5	44.54	44.18	44.22	44.09	44.08(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-20	-12	-47	0.33	46%	0	-47	0.64%	0	-1.1	42	0
8	Jun_30_2015	44.68	44.54	44.6	44.32	44.37	44.03	43.82(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-53	-50	-54	-49	0.34	50%	0	-39.8	0.63%	0	-1.9	39	0
9	Jun_29_2015	44.68	44.59	44.68	44.57	44.59	44.35	43.71(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-47	-40	-58	-15	0.76	50%	0	-21.6	0.65%	0	-2.7	47	0
10	Jun_26_2015	44.68	44.65	44.75	44.84	44.86	44.7	44.66(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-20	-20	38	0.24	56%	0.02	-6.7	0.6%	0	0	61	0

11	Jun_25_2015	44.67	44.66	44.73	44.88	44.98	44.83	44.64(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-20	-24	42	0.2	52%	0.02	-11.1	0.6%	0	-0.1	54	0
12	Jun_24_2015	44.66	44.67	44.74	44.96	44.98	45.02	44.76(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	0	-6	63	0.44	52%	0.02	-7.7	0.62%	0	0.3	56	0
13	Jun_23_2015	44.65	44.69	44.73	44.93	45.02	45.12	45.1(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	20	24	71	0.69	54%	0.04	-12.3	0.61%	0	1.4	52	0
14	Jun_22_2015	44.63	44.69	44.64	44.81	44.87	45.02	45.07(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	30	28	44	0.27	54%	0.04	-34.9	0.62%	0	1.4	52	0
15	Jun_19_2015	44.61	44.67	44.55	44.65	44.69	44.92	44.85(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	40	30	12	0.17	57%	0.04	-46.3	0.62%	0	0.6	49	0

16	Jun_18_2015	44.59	44.69	44.5	44.56	44.51	44.73	45.01(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	22	30	30	-3	0.15	60%	0.07	-44.6	0.63%	0	1	53	0
17	Jun_17_2015	44.56	44.7	44.44	44.56	44.4	44.46	44.61(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	0	12	-28	0.3	58%	0.02	-41	0.65%	0	-0.3	41	0
18	Jun_16_2015	44.55	44.72	44.46	44.51	44.45	44.28	44.5(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-30	-2	-38	0.16	61%	0.02	-33.3	0.65%	0	-0.6	36	0
19	Jun_15_2015	44.54	44.76	44.49	44.44	44.49	44.35	44.26(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-20	-19	-50	0.21	61%	0.02	-31.8	0.67%	0	-1.3	42	0
20	Jun_12_2015	44.53	44.81	44.54	44.44	44.48	44.35	44.44(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	30	2	-53	0.27	64%	0.02	-35	0.67%	0	-1	35	0

21	Jun_11_2015	44.52	44.81	44.58	44.42	44.43	44.63	44.72(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	30	29	-52	0.13	64%	0.04	-28.8	0.68%	0	-0.3	37	0
22	Jun_10_2015	44.5	44.84	44.6	44.37	44.34	44.33	44.65(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	-0	3	-75	0.24	60%	0.04	-30	0.68%	0	-0.5	39	0
23	Jun_9_2015	44.48	44.85	44.64	44.41	44.37	44.23	44.14(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-20	-26	-84	0.17	58%	0	-25.6	0.69%	0	-2	29	0
24	Jun_8_2015	44.48	44.89	44.7	44.55	44.55	44.35	44.15(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-30	-25	-81	0.36	58%	0.04	-20.3	0.69%	0	-2.4	27	0
25	Jun_5_2015	44.46	44.93	44.81	44.68	44.68	44.5	44.46(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-30	-25	-63	0.61	55%		-6.7	0.72%	0	-1.7	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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