Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $44.7610 (-0.75%) ($44.7516 - $45.1243) on Wed. Jun. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $44.7610(-0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(29%)    SPY(29%)    IVE(28%)    VT(28%)    XLV(28%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-14%)    BND(-8%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.96(-0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.74(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.67(0.2%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.65% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2015	44.66	44.67	44.74	44.96		45.02	44.76(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	0	-6	63	0.44	52%	0.02	-7.7	0.62%	0	0.3	56	0
2	Jun_23_2015	44.65	44.69	44.73	44.93	45.02	45.12	45.1(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	20	24	71	0.69	54%	0.04	-12.3	0.61%	0	1.4	52	0
3	Jun_22_2015	44.63	44.69	44.64	44.81	44.87	45.02	45.07(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	30	28	44	0.27	54%	0.04	-34.9	0.62%	0	1.4	52	0
4	Jun_19_2015	44.61	44.67	44.55	44.65	44.69	44.92	44.85(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	40	30	12	0.17	57%	0.04	-46.3	0.62%	0	0.6	49	0
5	Jun_18_2015	44.59	44.69	44.5	44.56	44.51	44.73	45.01(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	22	30	30	-3	0.15	60%	0.07	-44.6	0.63%	0	1	53	0

6	Jun_17_2015	44.56	44.7	44.44	44.56	44.4	44.46	44.61(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	0	12	-28	0.3	58%	0.02	-41	0.65%	0	-0.3	41	0
7	Jun_16_2015	44.55	44.72	44.46	44.51	44.45	44.28	44.5(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-30	-2	-38	0.16	61%	0.02	-33.3	0.65%	0	-0.6	36	0
8	Jun_15_2015	44.54	44.76	44.49	44.44	44.49	44.35	44.26(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-20	-19	-50	0.21	61%	0.02	-31.8	0.67%	0	-1.3	42	0
9	Jun_12_2015	44.53	44.81	44.54	44.44	44.48	44.35	44.44(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	30	2	-53	0.27	64%	0.02	-35	0.67%	0	-1	35	0
10	Jun_11_2015	44.52	44.81	44.58	44.42	44.43	44.63	44.72(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	30	29	-52	0.13	64%	0.04	-28.8	0.68%	0	-0.3	37	0

11	Jun_10_2015	44.5	44.84	44.6	44.37	44.34	44.33	44.65(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	-0	3	-75	0.24	60%	0.04	-30	0.68%	0	-0.5	39	0
12	Jun_9_2015	44.48	44.85	44.64	44.41	44.37	44.23	44.14(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-20	-26	-84	0.17	58%	0	-25.6	0.69%	0	-2	29	0
13	Jun_8_2015	44.48	44.89	44.7	44.55	44.55	44.35	44.15(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-30	-25	-81	0.36	58%	0.04	-20.3	0.69%	0	-2.4	27	0
14	Jun_5_2015	44.46	44.93	44.81	44.68	44.68	44.5	44.46(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-30	-25	-63	0.61	55%	0.05	-6.7	0.72%	0	-1.7	37	0
15	Jun_4_2015	44.44	44.94	44.9	44.74	44.78	44.75	44.43(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-0	-18	-49	0.25	55%	0.05	0	0.72%	0	-2	40	0

16	Jun_3_2015	44.42	44.95	44.98	44.85	44.85	44.86	44.85(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	0	-1	-23	0.2	57%	0.07	3.3	0.71%	0	-0.4	56	0
17	Jun_2_2015	44.39	44.93	45.02	44.9	44.86	44.82	44.85(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10	-1	-11	0.19	57%	0.05	1.6	0.71%	0	-0.3	54	0
18	Jun_1_2015	44.37	44.93	45.06	44.87	44.89	44.85	44.82(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-0	-10	-10	0.29	57%	0.05	1.6	0.72%	0	-0.5	50	0
19	May_29_2015	44.35	44.95	45.1	44.97	44.91	44.9	44.76(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-10	-13	-0	0.25	57%	0.02	8.1	0.72%	0	-0.7	45	0
20	May_28_2015	44.34	44.95	45.13	45.08	45.01	44.93	44.98(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-20	-6	23	0.2	57%	0.07	7.5	0.72%	0	0.1	59	0

21	May_27_2015	44.31	44.94	45.1	45.13	45.1	44.92	45.09(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	-30	-17	29	0.15	57%	0.07	9	0.73%	0	0.5	63	0
22	May_26_2015	44.28	44.93	45.07	45.15	45.18	45.1	44.7(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-10	-10	-24	33	0.5	55%	0.07	12.3	0.72%	0	-0.8	54	0
23	May_22_2015	44.25	44.94	45.1	45.28	45.26	45.28	45.3(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	0	4	56	0.31	59%	0.02	23.1	0.69%	0	1.2	51	0
24	May_21_2015	44.24	44.93	45.07	45.25	45.25	45.26	45.35(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	0	8	57	0.18	59%	0.05	29	0.69%	0	1.5	55	0
25	May_20_2015	44.22	44.92	44.99	45.18	45.19	45.24	45.21(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	10	10	52	0.26	59%		25	0.7%	0	1.1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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