Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $45.0022 (0.79%) ($44.8687 - $45.1070) on Mon. Apr. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $45.0022(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(30%)    SPY(29%)    VT(29%)    IVE(28%)    VYM(28%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-14%)    BND(-8%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.99(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.92(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.7(0.68%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2015	43.78	44.7	44.92	44.99	45.02	44.86	45(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-20	-1	37	0.21	64%	0.05	33.3	0.81%	0	0.9	54	0
2	Apr_17_2015	43.76	44.7	44.91	44.95	44.97	44.95	44.65(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-0	-20	38	0.21	64%	0.02	47.4	0.8%	0	-0.1	59	0
3	Apr_16_2015	43.75	44.69	44.9	45.03	45.01	45.17	45.15(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	15	68	0.2	70%	0.05	62.8	0.79%	0	1.3	68	0
4	Apr_15_2015	43.73	44.67	44.81	44.99	44.97	44.99	45.27(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	0	17	65	0.29	67%	0.05	82.4	0.82%	0	1.8	68	0
5	Apr_14_2015	43.71	44.61	44.72	44.89	44.97	44.85	44.89(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10	-4	45	0.15	66%	0.02	87.5	0.83%	0	0.9	52	0

6	Apr_13_2015	43.7	44.58	44.7	44.85	44.88	44.95	44.79(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	10	3	42	0.37	66%	0.05	88.9	0.83%	0	0.7	48	0
7	Apr_10_2015	43.68	44.53	44.64	44.86	44.84	44.92	45.05(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	10	17	37	0.14	63%	0.05	77.1	0.83%	0	1.4	49	0
8	Apr_9_2015	43.66	44.48	44.54	44.74	44.74	44.8	44.95(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	10	14	18	0.14	63%	0.07	59	0.84%	0	1.3	54	0
9	Apr_8_2015	43.63	44.4	44.45	44.59	44.63	44.76	44.78(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	20	13	-6	0.18	66%	0.05	29.5	0.85%	0	0.9	48	0
10	Apr_7_2015	43.61	44.33	44.43	44.52	44.51	44.68	44.66(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	30	12	-5	0.19	67%	0.05	9.6	0.88%	0	0.7	57	0

11	Apr_6_2015	43.59	44.3	44.43	44.53	44.51	44.51	44.86(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	0	17	5	0.32	67%	0.07	1	0.89%	0	1.2	57	0
12	Apr_2_2015	43.56	44.25	44.45	44.39	44.44	44.34	44.45(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10	5	7	0.56	62%	0.05	-16.7	0.92%	0	0.4	60	0
13	Apr_1_2015	43.54	44.26	44.46	44.3	44.35	44.38	44.22(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	10	-5	4	0.62	62%	0.05	-24.5	0.92%	0	-0.1	55	0
14	Mar_31_2015	43.52	44.27	44.52	44.28	44.29	44.53	44.4(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	40	9	27	0.39	62%	0.05	-30.8	0.93%	0	0.3	62	0
15	Mar_30_2015	43.5	44.29	44.5	44.34	44.27	44.32	44.71(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	0	11	42	0.32	62%	0.05	-28.8	0.93%	0	0.9	65	0

16	Mar_27_2015	43.48	44.3	44.46	44.37	44.33	44.05	44.15(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-50	-25	36	0.18	60%	0.05	-27.9	0.91%	0	-0.3	52	0
17	Mar_26_2015	43.46	44.33	44.46	44.54	44.55	44.22	44.02(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-14	-50	-33	45	0.3	60%	0.05	-21.2	0.92%	0	-0.6	53	0
18	Mar_25_2015	43.44	44.37	44.42	44.65	44.77	44.6	44.11(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-20	-24	49	0.22	60%	0.05	-14.5	0.92%	0	-0.5	45	0
19	Mar_24_2015	43.42	44.42	44.36	44.79	44.82	44.88	44.69(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	10	5	59	0.14	63%	0.07	-4.1	0.91%	0	0.5	50	0
20	Mar_23_2015	43.39	44.42	44.24	44.68	44.74	44.94	44.88(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	40	23	40	0.41	63%	0.07	-7.3	0.91%	0	0.8	49	0

21	Mar_20_2015	43.36	44.42	44.15	44.56	44.51	44.76	44.99(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	40	33	21	0.17	63%	0.05	-10.3	0.9%	0	1	48	0
22	Mar_19_2015	43.34	44.43	44.03	44.3	44.29	44.53	44.58(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	40	29	-16	0.08	62%	0.07	-19.4	0.9%	0	0.3	46	0
23	Mar_18_2015	43.31	44.43	44.02	44.17	44.06	44.26	44.83(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	16	20	31	-29	0.21	65%	0.09	-19	0.9%	0	0.7	48	0
24	Mar_17_2015	43.27	44.44	43.98	43.88	43.89	44.06	44.13(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	30	24	-61	0.25	65%	0.07	-27.8	0.93%	0	-0.6	37	0
25	Mar_16_2015	43.24	44.47	44.04	43.73	43.72	43.86	44.29(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	20	14	-81	0.32	65%		-26.6	0.96%	0	-0.3	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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