Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $42.4685 (-0.38%) ($42.1260 - $43.1820) on Tue. Jan. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $42.4685(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(31%)    SPY(31%)    IVE(30%)    VT(30%)    XLV(30%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-16%)    SHY(-14%)    BND(-8%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $43.03
5 Day Moving Average   $42.85(-0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.94(-1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.03(-1.3%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -10%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -10.88%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -22.35%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2015	42.07	43.03	42.94	42.85	43	42.74	42.47(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-30	-11	-74	0.23	63%	0	12.9	0.96%	0	-0.8	39	0
2	Jan_12_2015	42.07	43.01	43.09	42.78	42.96	43.04	42.63(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	30	-6	-70	0.24	63%	0.02	1.1	0.99%	0	-0.5	41	0
3	Jan_9_2015	42.06	43	43.22	42.76	42.84	43.25	43.1(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	70	19	-53	0.34	58%	0.02	-3.1	1%	0	0.1	50	0
4	Jan_8_2015	42.05	42.96	43.29	42.82	42.73	42.88	43.44(1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	20	21	-27	0.22	60%	0.02	-6.6	1.04%	0	0.6	65	0
5	Jan_7_2015	42.04	42.93	43.31	42.81	42.78	42.43	42.62(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-60	-27	-18	0.36	55%	0.02	-7	1.03%	0	-0.4	67	0

6	Jan_6_2015	42.03	42.94	43.42	43.06	43.07	42.57	42.11(-1.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-39	-80	-56	13	0.84	53%	0	1.5	1.04%	0	-1	60	0
7	Jan_5_2015	42.03	42.99	43.58	43.45	43.47	43.13	42.54(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-50	-43	71	0.32	53%	0.02	15.4	1.03%	0	-0.5	62	0
8	Jan_2_2015	42.02	43.03	43.66	43.73	43.77	43.57	43.39(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-30	-20	117	0.46	58%	0.07	23.8	1%	0	0.4	61	0
9	Dec_31_2014	41.99	43.01	43.55	43.82	43.9	43.81	43.41(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10	-13	131	0.18	55%	0.07	27.7	1%	0	0.5	64	0
10	Dec_30_2014	41.96	42.99	43.37	43.89	43.94	43.98	43.84(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	10	3	124	0.17	55%	0.07	28	1.02%	0	1.1	58	0

11	Dec_29_2014	41.93	42.92	43.15	43.84	43.9	43.99	44.07(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	20	13	112	0.12	55%	0.07	23.6	1.02%	0	1.5	61	0
12	Dec_26_2014	41.9	42.87	42.92	43.73	43.78	43.9	43.92(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	20	15	88	0.09	56%	0.12	22.4	1.02%	0	1.4	55	0
13	Dec_24_2014	41.85	42.83	42.76	43.58	43.64	43.81	43.84(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	30	29	75	0.13	55%	0.07	20.2	1.03%	0	1.4	55	0
14	Dec_23_2014	41.82	42.79	42.59	43.25	43.42	43.65	43.76(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	50	45	44	0.37	54%	0.07	10.8	1.03%	0	1.4	53	0
15	Dec_22_2014	41.79	42.77	42.48	42.76	42.94	43.48	43.6(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	100	47	7	0.33	52%	0.07	-4.6	1.03%	0	1.3	55	0

16	Dec_19_2014	41.76	42.74	42.39	42.36	42.44	43.18	43.52(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	47	130	67	-14	0.19	52%	0.07	-18.4	1.04%	0	1.2	57	0
17	Dec_18_2014	41.73	42.71	42.33	42	42.01	42.39	43.19(2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	24	60	48	-48	0.37	52%	0.02	-31.5	1.04%	0	0.8	50	0
18	Dec_17_2014	41.72	42.68	42.31	41.85	41.76	41.69	42.18(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-23	-20	-1	-87	0.26	49%	0.02	-38.3	1%	0	-0.8	38	0
19	Dec_16_2014	41.71	42.72	42.4	41.84	41.91	41.63	41.33(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52	-40	-34	-106	0.23	47%	-0.02	-37.7	0.96%	0	-2.4	26	0
20	Dec_15_2014	41.72	42.8	42.57	42.16	42.14	41.84	41.57(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-50	-38	-89	0.6	47%	0	-28.1	0.97%	0	-2.5	27	0

21	Dec_12_2014	41.72	42.85	42.69	42.41	42.37	42.2	41.74(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-45	-30	-34	-77	0.57	46%	-0.02	-16.1	0.97%	0	-2.8	32	0
22	Dec_11_2014	41.73	42.9	42.83	42.69	42.62	42.44	42.42(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-30	-18	-49	0.15	48%	0.02	6.5	0.95%	0	-1.5	43	0
23	Dec_10_2014	41.72	42.92	42.92	42.83	42.8	42.55	42.16(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-30	-40	-28	-36	0.2	48%	0	25	0.95%	0	-2.5	43	0
24	Dec_9_2014	41.72	42.95	43.04	42.83	42.97	42.79	42.9(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-30	-18	-9	0.13	49%	0.02	65.1	0.92%	0	-0.2	52	0
25	Dec_8_2014	41.71	42.93	43.09	43.04	43.08	43.06	42.8(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-0	-3	7	0.12	49%		72.3	0.93%	0	-0.5	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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