Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $42.1070 (-1.01%) ($41.9010 - $42.7253) on Tue. Jan. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $42.1070(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(31%)    SPY(31%)    IVE(30%)    VT(30%)    XLV(30%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-16%)    SHY(-14%)    BND(-8%)    GLD(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $42.94
5 Day Moving Average   $43.06(-2.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.42(-3.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.94(-1.94%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.44%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.53%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.59%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2015	42.03	42.94	43.42	43.06	43.07	42.57	42.11(-1.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-39	-80	-56	13	0.84	53%	0	1.5	1.04%	0	-1	60	0
2	Jan_5_2015	42.03	42.99	43.58	43.45	43.47	43.13	42.54(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-50	-43	71	0.32	53%	0.02	15.4	1.03%	0	-0.5	62	0
3	Jan_2_2015	42.02	43.03	43.66	43.73	43.77	43.57	43.39(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-30	-20	117	0.46	58%	0.07	23.8	1%	0	0.4	61	0
4	Dec_31_2014	41.99	43.01	43.55	43.82	43.9	43.81	43.41(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10	-13	131	0.18	55%	0.07	27.7	1%	0	0.5	64	0
5	Dec_30_2014	41.96	42.99	43.37	43.89	43.94	43.98	43.84(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	10	3	124	0.17	55%	0.07	28	1.02%	0	1.1	58	0

6	Dec_29_2014	41.93	42.92	43.15	43.84	43.9	43.99	44.07(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	20	13	112	0.12	55%	0.07	23.6	1.02%	0	1.5	61	0
7	Dec_26_2014	41.9	42.87	42.92	43.73	43.78	43.9	43.92(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	20	15	88	0.09	56%	0.12	22.4	1.02%	0	1.4	55	0
8	Dec_24_2014	41.85	42.83	42.76	43.58	43.64	43.81	43.84(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	30	29	75	0.13	55%	0.07	20.2	1.03%	0	1.4	55	0
9	Dec_23_2014	41.82	42.79	42.59	43.25	43.42	43.65	43.76(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	50	45	44	0.37	54%	0.07	10.8	1.03%	0	1.4	53	0
10	Dec_22_2014	41.79	42.77	42.48	42.76	42.94	43.48	43.6(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	100	47	7	0.33	52%	0.07	-4.6	1.03%	0	1.3	55	0

11	Dec_19_2014	41.76	42.74	42.39	42.36	42.44	43.18	43.52(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	47	130	67	-14	0.19	52%	0.07	-18.4	1.04%	0	1.2	57	0
12	Dec_18_2014	41.73	42.71	42.33	42	42.01	42.39	43.19(2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	24	60	48	-48	0.37	52%	0.02	-31.5	1.04%	0	0.8	50	0
13	Dec_17_2014	41.72	42.68	42.31	41.85	41.76	41.69	42.18(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-23	-20	-1	-87	0.26	49%	0.02	-38.3	1%	0	-0.8	38	0
14	Dec_16_2014	41.71	42.72	42.4	41.84	41.91	41.63	41.33(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52	-40	-34	-106	0.23	47%	-0.02	-37.7	0.96%	0	-2.4	26	0
15	Dec_15_2014	41.72	42.8	42.57	42.16	42.14	41.84	41.57(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-50	-38	-89	0.6	47%	0	-28.1	0.97%	0	-2.5	27	0

16	Dec_12_2014	41.72	42.85	42.69	42.41	42.37	42.2	41.74(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-45	-30	-34	-77	0.57	46%	-0.02	-16.1	0.97%	0	-2.8	32	0
17	Dec_11_2014	41.73	42.9	42.83	42.69	42.62	42.44	42.42(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-30	-18	-49	0.15	48%	0.02	6.5	0.95%	0	-1.5	43	0
18	Dec_10_2014	41.72	42.92	42.92	42.83	42.8	42.55	42.16(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-30	-40	-28	-36	0.2	48%	0	25	0.95%	0	-2.5	43	0
19	Dec_9_2014	41.72	42.95	43.04	42.83	42.97	42.79	42.9(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-30	-18	-9	0.13	49%	0.02	65.1	0.92%	0	-0.2	52	0
20	Dec_8_2014	41.71	42.93	43.09	43.04	43.08	43.06	42.8(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-0	-3	7	0.12	49%	0.02	72.3	0.93%	0	-0.5	55	0

21	Dec_5_2014	41.7	42.92	43.13	43.02	43.05	43.15	43.18(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	20	7	18	0.11	49%	0.05	71.4	0.92%	0	0.9	64	0
22	Dec_4_2014	41.68	42.88	43.11	42.99	43.05	43.1	43.11(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	20	5	22	0.11	49%	0.02	63.9	0.92%	0	0.7	64	0
23	Dec_3_2014	41.67	42.84	43.09	43.04	42.96	42.96	43.23(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10	5	29	0.16	49%	0.05	73.4	0.92%	0	1.1	63	0
24	Dec_2_2014	41.65	42.77	43.05	43.05	43.02	42.82	42.9(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-30	-17	25	0.31	49%	0.02	73	0.92%	0	0.3	58	0
25	Dec_1_2014	41.64	42.73	43.03	43.15	43.15	42.97	42.67(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-30	-23	33	0.12	49%		87.5	0.92%	0	-0.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.