Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $38.7918 (-0.35%) ($34.2648 - $38.8989) on Wed. Oct. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $38.7918(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(32%)    QQQ(31%)    VT(31%)    XLV(31%)    XLB(29%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-16%)    SHY(-14%)    GLD(-7%)    TIP(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.62(-10.75%)
Resistance Level   $40.69
5 Day Moving Average   $39.18(-0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.9(-2.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.69(-4.67%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   0.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 2.68% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.2%(17%) Average negative next day return: -1.82%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.49%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -6.1%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.45%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.49%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2014	41.46	40.69	39.9	39.18	38.86	38.31	38.79(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-135	-120	-102	-235	1.2	36%	-0.02	-69	0.78%	0	-1.7	29	0
2	Oct_14_2014	41.47	40.87	40.09	39.6	39.56	39.06	38.93(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-90	-90	-55	-196	0.21	36%	-0.07	-62.7	0.78%	0	-1.9	26	0
3	Oct_13_2014	41.5	41.04	40.32	39.87	39.94	39.42	38.72(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-108	-90	-82	-187	0.24	36%	-0.02	-61.1	0.78%	0	-2.5	28	0
4	Oct_10_2014	41.51	41.21	40.6	40.3	40.29	40.06	39.45(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-82	-40	-60	-148	0.46	38%	-0.02	-62.4	0.75%	0	-2.3	30	0
5	Oct_9_2014	41.52	41.34	40.81	40.61	40.61	40.47	39.99(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-20	-16	-114	0.29	40%	0	-62.1	0.74%	0	-1.9	30	0

6	Oct_8_2014	41.52	41.46	40.94	40.73	40.73	40.52	40.92(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-40	-40	-10	-131	0.21	43%	0.05	-64.3	0.68%	0	-0.8	34	0
7	Oct_7_2014	41.5	41.52	41.02	40.66	40.71	40.74	40.26(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-65	10	-33	-162	0.19	38%	0	-70.4	0.66%	0	-2	28	0
8	Oct_6_2014	41.5	41.62	41.15	40.85	40.8	40.94	40.85(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-31	20	7	-145	0.33	40%	0.05	-71.9	0.64%	0	-1.3	31	0
9	Oct_3_2014	41.48	41.7	41.24	40.96	40.89	40.69	41.02(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-40	-9	-142	0.41	40%	0.02	-68.3	0.64%	0	-1.2	39	0
10	Oct_2_2014	41.47	41.78	41.36	41.05	40.99	40.66	40.59(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-79	-60	-55	-149	0.83	37%	0.02	-64.7	0.63%	0	-2.1	32	0

11	Oct_1_2014	41.46	41.87	41.53	41.17	41.22	41.1	40.56(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-66	-20	-45	-130	0.4	37%	0	-65.6	0.63%	0	-2.6	28	0
12	Sep_30_2014	41.46	41.97	41.7	41.43	41.38	41.32	41.21(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10	-10	-90	0.21	40%	0.02	-61.8	0.61%	0	-1.8	36	0
13	Sep_29_2014	41.45	42.04	41.81	41.49	41.45	41.34	41.42(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-20	-18	-84	0.19	40%	0.05	-61.1	0.61%	0	-1.5	40	0
14	Sep_26_2014	41.43	42.1	41.86	41.56	41.54	41.44	41.47(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-20	-29	-91	0.19	40%	0.05	-54.4	0.61%	0	-1.7	36	0
15	Sep_25_2014	41.41	42.15	41.91	41.72	41.68	41.56	41.21(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-49	-20	-36	-89	0.38	38%	0.05	-43.5	0.6%	0	-2.6	30	0

16	Sep_24_2014	41.39	42.21	42.03	41.95	41.9	41.64	41.81(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-50	-30	-62	0.29	41%	0.05	-28.8	0.58%	0	-1.4	40	0
17	Sep_23_2014	41.37	42.24	42.07	42.03	42.08	41.8	41.53(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-55	-40	-51	-67	0.21	39%	0.05	-15.6	0.57%	0	-2.6	34	0
18	Sep_22_2014	41.35	42.28	42.13	42.17	42.23	42.16	41.78(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-26	-10	-20	-45	0.22	40%	0.05	14	0.57%	0	-2.4	36	0
19	Sep_19_2014	41.33	42.31	42.2	42.19	42.25	42.36	42.25(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	20	16	-33	0.32	43%	0.05	39.5	0.55%	0	-0.3	42	0
20	Sep_18_2014	41.31	42.3	42.2	42.14	42.14	42.3	42.36(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	30	19	-36	0.1	46%	0.07	53.5	0.55%	0	0.3	49	0

21	Sep_17_2014	41.28	42.29	42.23	42.14	42.08	42.14	42.2(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	10	15	-39	0.15	46%	0.07	73.3	0.56%	0	-0.5	45	0
22	Sep_16_2014	41.25	42.28	42.26	42.13	42.06	41.98	42.24(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-20	-1	-43	0.21	46%	0.07	95.7	0.56%	0	-0.2	48	0
23	Sep_15_2014	41.22	42.25	42.28	42.1	42.07	42.01	41.9(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10	-26	-54	0.15	43%	0.05	87.7	0.55%	0	-1.5	39	0
24	Sep_12_2014	41.2	42.23	42.35	42.21	42.16	42.01	41.98(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10	-15	-26	0.18	43%	0.07	86.3	0.55%	0	-0.8	49	0
25	Sep_11_2014	41.17	42.21	42.4	42.33	42.24	42.14	42.33(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-6	-20	-8	0	0.17	46%		96.5	0.55%	0	0.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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