Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $31.6100 (0.7%) ($31.2500 - $31.6400) on Tue. Mar. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $31.6100(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(65%)    XLU(64%)    SDY(56%)    XLRE(54%)    IWD(53%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    DIA(-13%)    GDXJ(-11%)    XHB(-10%)    UUP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.39(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.34(0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.32(0.93%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $17.136b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.75%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.3%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.5%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.39%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170428

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_28_2017	31.08	31.32	31.34	31.39	31.38	31.42	31.61(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	10	4	26	2.88	50%	-0.1	-24.5	1.1%	0	0.9	57	0
2	Mar_27_2017	31.11	31.35	31.28	31.34	31.4	31.38	31.39(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	0	9	20	2.46	50%	-0.1	-14.3	1.12%	0	0.1	53	0
3	Mar_24_2017	31.14	31.37	31.25	31.25	31.34	31.34	31.34(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	10	-2	5	3.17	50%	-0.06	-9.1	1.12%	0	-0.1	50	0
4	Mar_23_2017	31.16	31.41	31.24	31.26	31.34	31.41	31.2(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	30	4	-0	3.36	50%	-0.06	11.6	1.12%	0	-0.6	41	0
5	Mar_22_2017	31.18	31.42	31.23	31.24	31.27	31.34	31.41(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	20	8	-8	4.16	50%	-0.06	20.8	1.12%	0	-0	45	0

6	Mar_21_2017	31.2	31.42	31.2	31.28	31.22	31.13	31.36(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-30	-1	-15	4.36	50%	-0.1	27.5	1.12%	0	-0.1	46	0
7	Mar_20_2017	31.23	31.42	31.18	31.21	31.27	31.21	30.96(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10	-5	-44	3.96	48%	-0.1	31.3	1.11%	0	-1	29	0
8	Mar_17_2017	31.26	31.4	31.22	31.24	31.23	31.3	31.36(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	10	1	-48	8.68	50%	-0.1	40.5	1.1%	0	-0.1	44	0
9	Mar_16_2017	31.29	31.37	31.25	31.22	31.2	31.32	31.13(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	30	8	-56	3.87	50%	-0.1	44.1	1.11%	0	-0.5	36	0
10	Mar_15_2017	31.32	31.34	31.3	31.21	31.18	31.16	31.59(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10	9	-54	3.91	53%	-0.06	43.6	1.11%	0	0.5	53	0

11	Mar_14_2017	31.34	31.28	31.29	31.11	31.2	31.08	31(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-20	-8	-61	3.44	49%	-0.06	39.1	1.08%	0	-0.5	55	0
12	Mar_13_2017	31.36	31.26	31.42	31.15	31.19	31.21	31.1(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	10	-8	-41	2.74	52%	-0.1	45.5	1.09%	0	-0.3	49	0
13	Mar_10_2017	31.39	31.24	31.49	31.19	31.2	31.33	31.26(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	30	-1	-21	3.85	52%	-0.03	50	1.11%	0	0	54	0
14	Mar_9_2017	31.4	31.17	31.6	31.29	31.28	31.17	31.1(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-30	-3	13	4.16	52%	-0.06	48.8	1.12%	0	-0.1	56	0
15	Mar_8_2017	31.42	31.13	31.63	31.4	31.33	31.06	31.11(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-70	-25	30	4.2	55%	-0.1	52.3	1.12%	0	-0	59	0

16	Mar_7_2017	31.45	31.08	31.62	31.49	31.51	31.4	31.18(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-20	-27	45	4.52	55%	-0.03	51.5	1.13%	0	0.1	59	0
17	Mar_6_2017	31.46	31.02	31.64	31.74	31.65	31.6	31.32(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-20	-10	89	4.36	55%	0	59.3	1.14%	0	0.4	59	0
18	Mar_3_2017	31.46	30.95	31.62	31.84	31.79	31.62	31.74(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-40	-13	111	3.63	57%	0	60.5	1.12%	0	1	63	0
19	Mar_2_2017	31.46	30.86	31.51	31.95	31.9	31.7	31.64(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-50	-11	136	3.98	57%	0.03	65.3	1.13%	0	1	67	0
20	Mar_1_2017	31.45	30.77	31.4	31.9	31.98	31.96	31.56(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	41	0	6	147	7.33	57%	0	64.3	1.14%	0	1	64	0

21	Feb_28_2017	31.45	30.71	31.29	31.75	31.84	32.1	32.43(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	70	25	143	5.5	55%	0.03	65.4	1.19%	0	2.2	74	0
22	Feb_27_2017	31.44	30.57	31.09	31.53	31.49	32	31.81(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	110	33	141	4.4	52%	0	66.8	1.17%	0	1.8	72	0
23	Feb_24_2017	31.44	30.47	30.95	31.37	31.25	31.58	32.32(2.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	74	60	51	143	6.13	58%	0.03	66.7	1.18%	0	2.9	79	0
24	Feb_23_2017	31.43	30.34	30.7	31.03	30.98	30.99	31.39(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-0	19	105	5.78	54%	0	63	1.13%	0	2.1	72	0
25	Feb_22_2017	31.43	30.26	30.56	30.83	30.79	30.93	30.79(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	30	7	86	6.79	50%		50	1.12%	0	1.2	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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