Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $36.1800 (-0.3%) ($35.9500 - $36.3500) on Tue. Jul. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $36.1800(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   FE advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(65%)    XLU(65%)    SDY(55%)    XLRE(54%)    IWD(52%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    DIA(-12%)    XHB(-9%)    UUP(-9%)    IPO(-9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.19(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.04(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.03(3.28%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $19.614b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 3.57% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.01%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.7%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.96%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 7.43%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.22%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2016	34.48	35.03	36.04		36.14	36.21	36.18(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	10	1	73	2.52	42%	0.09	48.5	1.75%	0	0.9	80	0
2	Jul_18_2016	34.45	34.91	35.94	36.19	36.19	36.14	36.29(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-10	3	94	1.85	42%	0.09	49.9	1.75%	0	1.1	84	0
3	Jul_15_2016	34.42	34.8	35.83	36.16	36.16	36.07	36.19(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	26	-20	-3	113	2.76	42%	0.09	53.3	1.75%	0	1.2	85	0
4	Jul_14_2016	34.39	34.69	35.71	36.12	36.12	36.07	35.85(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	20	5	134	3.8	42%	0.09	54.2	1.75%	0	1	79	0
5	Jul_13_2016	34.36	34.57	35.55	36.02	36	36.24	36.44(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	50	16	147	3.99	42%	0.09	50.9	1.74%	0	1.6	87	0

6	Jul_12_2016	34.33	34.43	35.29	35.85	35.75	36.01	36.19(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	40	17	144	5.63	42%	0.09	48.9	1.74%	0	1.6	76	0
7	Jul_11_2016	34.3	34.3	34.99	35.65	35.57	35.76	36.11(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	30	17	130	3.58	42%	0.09	47.1	1.75%	0	1.8	72	0
8	Jul_8_2016	34.27	34.17	34.67	35.46	35.37	35.49	36.02(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	20	13	107	3.73	42%	0.09	45.6	1.75%	0	2.1	63	0
9	Jul_7_2016	34.24	34.07	34.38	35.23	35.24	35.38	35.33(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	30	15	91	3.46	38%	0.09	50	1.73%	0	1.6	62	0
10	Jul_6_2016	34.21	34	34.15	35.01	35.01	35.24	35.62(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	50	22	77	3.98	38%	0.06	52.1	1.73%	0	2.2	67	0

11	Jul_5_2016	34.19	33.91	33.93	34.63	34.68	35.1	35.18(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	90	31	58	2.24	38%	0.06	53.2	1.73%	0	2	63	0
12	Jul_1_2016	34.17	33.84	33.78	34.21	34.25	34.78	35.13(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	39	110	39	39	3.25	38%	0.09	51.9	1.74%	0	2.4	64	0
13	Jun_30_2016	34.14	33.77	33.67	33.76	33.71	34.27	34.91(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	31	110	35	17	4.17	38%	0.03	47.5	1.72%	0	2.4	61	0
14	Jun_29_2016	34.13	33.68	33.56	33.41	33.32	33.72	34.19(1.36%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.9	19	80	28	-9	3.77	33%	0.03	44.3	1.71%	0	1.2	47	0
15	Jun_28_2016	34.12	33.63	33.5	33.18	33.09	33.16	33.73(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	10	9	-34	4.65	33%	0	37.5	1.72%	0	0.2	44	0

16	Jun_27_2016	34.12	33.58	33.49	33.15	33.04	32.93	33.11(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-30	-10	-48	3.15	28%	0	42.7	1.71%	0	-1.1	37	0
17	Jun_24_2016	34.12	33.56	33.55	33.27	33.21	33.02	32.88(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-50	-18	-46	4.73	28%	-0.03	47	1.72%	0	-1.4	39	0
18	Jun_23_2016	34.13	33.54	33.64	33.55	33.48	33.16	33.16(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-70	-18	-31	4.12	28%	0	59	1.71%	0	-0.7	41	0
19	Jun_22_2016	34.13	33.5	33.75	33.72	33.74	33.41	33.04(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-70	-18	-14	4.1	28%	0	59.5	1.72%	0	-0.7	50	0
20	Jun_21_2016	34.13	33.46	33.86	33.84	33.89	33.81	33.54(-0.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-6	-10	-10	7	4.04	28%	0.03	52.9	1.71%	0	0.1	60	0

21	Jun_20_2016	34.12	33.4	33.92	33.88	33.93	34.07	33.74(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	30	5	27	4.19	28%	0	43.1	1.71%	0	0.5	66	0
22	Jun_17_2016	34.12	33.33	33.93	33.87	33.84	33.97	34.29(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	20	20	12	42	3.06	28%	0.06	34.2	1.7%	0	1.2	79	0
23	Jun_16_2016	34.1	33.23	33.88	33.75	33.73	33.78	33.99(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	11	10	0	45	2	28%	0.09	21.1	1.7%	0	1	79	0
24	Jun_15_2016	34.07	33.14	33.81	33.8	33.76	33.7	33.65(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-20	-5	59	2.16	28%	0.03	12.9	1.7%	0	0.7	79	0
25	Jun_14_2016	34.06	33.1	33.76	33.9	33.87	33.68	33.75(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-40	-8	75	2.26	28%		11.3	1.7%	0	0.9	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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