Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $34.4000 (-0.84%) ($34.2700 - $34.6000) on Fri. Jul. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $34.4000(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(66%)    IVE(50%)    VYM(50%)    XLP(50%)    SPY(47%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-8%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-5%)    TLT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.05(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.87(1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.48(2.75%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $18.649b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.07%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 0.88%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -1.34%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.89%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.62%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2015	34.82	33.48	33.87	34.05	34.02	34.37	34.4(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	70	30	110	2.07	54%	-0.06	25.9	1.14%	0	1.6	71	INF
2	Jul_16_2015	34.84	33.45	33.75	33.9	33.82	33.98	34.69(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	49	30	30	105	3	54%	-0.03	15.5	1.14%	0	2.3	73	INF
3	Jul_15_2015	34.85	33.38	33.56	33.66	33.67	33.98	33.86(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	0	1	73	1.69	50%	-0.06	-7.2	1.11%	0	1	64	INF
4	Jul_14_2015	34.87	33.35	33.43	33.64	33.68	33.98	33.62(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	0	-6	60	1.47	50%	-0.06	-14.1	1.11%	0	0.6	55	INF
5	Jul_13_2015	34.89	33.35	33.34	33.73	33.74	33.67	33.67(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10	2	56	1.56	50%	-0.06	-18.9	1.11%	0	0.8	48	INF

6	Jul_10_2015	34.91	33.33	33.25	33.66	33.76	33.69	33.66(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10	3	35	1.48	50%	-0.09	-31.1	1.12%	0	0.7	46	INF
7	Jul_9_2015	34.94	33.36	33.17	33.57	33.64	33.8	33.47(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	40	9	13	1.62	50%	-0.09	-32	1.14%	0	0.2	40	INF
8	Jul_8_2015	34.97	33.36	33.12	33.44	33.51	33.83	33.79(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	70	36	6	2.41	50%	-0.09	-35.1	1.13%	0	0.7	53	INF
9	Jul_7_2015	35	33.41	33.06	33.19	33.21	33.49	34.06(2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	23	60	36	-18	2.73	50%	-0.03	-56.1	1.13%	0	1.1	57	INF
10	Jul_6_2015	35.01	33.42	33	32.9	32.93	33.19	33.31(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	60	20	-48	1.94	45%	-0.17	-77.4	1.09%	0	-0.2	50	INF

11	Jul_2_2015	35.07	33.47	33.04	32.79	32.83	32.94	33.21(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	30	19	-57	1.41	50%	-0.11	-84.5	1.1%	0	-0.4	42	INF
12	Jul_1_2015	35.11	33.53	33.11	32.72	32.74	32.67	32.81(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10	-5	-78	1.8	44%	-0.17	-95.5	1.14%	0	-1.1	27	INF
13	Jun_30_2015	35.17	33.61	33.17	32.75	32.8	32.72	32.55(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-36	-10	-16	-95	2.31	49%	-0.17	-98.1	1.15%	0	-1.5	22	INF
14	Jun_29_2015	35.23	33.74	33.26	32.9	32.94	32.81	32.61(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-20	-18	-90	2.49	49%	-0.17	-90.8	1.19%	0	-1.5	36	INF
15	Jun_26_2015	35.29	33.88	33.33	33.11	33.11	32.89	32.75(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-50	-24	-90	2.29	49%	-0.25	-82	1.19%	0	-1.4	33	INF

16	Jun_25_2015	35.38	34.03	33.43	33.32	33.36	33.06	32.86(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-60	-29	-86	2.22	46%	-0.2	-71.9	1.19%	0	-1.3	33	INF
17	Jun_24_2015	35.45	34.18	33.59	33.56	33.61	33.32	33(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-60	-23	-64	2.06	43%	-0.23	-63.1	1.22%	0	-1.3	33	INF
18	Jun_23_2015	35.53	34.33	33.75	33.65	33.77	33.67	33.27(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10	-8	-51	2.54	43%	-0.2	-59.5	1.24%	0	-1.2	36	INF
19	Jun_22_2015	35.6	34.45	33.81	33.66	33.73	33.89	33.69(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	40	8	-58	2.04	45%	-0.2	-58.5	1.23%	0	-0.9	34	INF
20	Jun_19_2015	35.67	34.56	33.87	33.58	33.59	33.88	33.8(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	60	17	-78	3.38	45%	-0.22	-55.5	1.24%	0	-0.8	29	INF

21	Jun_18_2015	35.75	34.67	33.93	33.56	33.46	33.57	34.04(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	10	5	-102	3.11	50%	-0.17	-51.1	1.24%	0	-0.7	30	INF
22	Jun_17_2015	35.81	34.75	33.97	33.65	33.52	33.31	33.43(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-60	-19	-122	3.59	47%	-0.22	-41.8	1.27%	0	-1.4	19	INF
23	Jun_16_2015	35.89	34.86	34.08	33.88	33.82	33.35	33.36(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-100	-27	-127	1.91	47%	-0.22	-34.5	1.27%	0	-1.7	22	INF
24	Jun_15_2015	35.97	34.97	34.24	33.99	34.12	33.73	33.29(-1.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-59	-70	-35	-131	2.74	47%	-0.22	-32.1	1.29%	0	-2	23	INF
25	Jun_12_2015	36.05	35.07	34.47	34.19	34.29	34.3	33.67(-2.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-42	10	-17	-116	2.49	51%		-28.4	1.29%	0	-1.9	23	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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