Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $33.2000 (1.1%) ($32.8000 - $33.2300) on Tue. Aug. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $33.2000(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(67%)    XLP(50%)    SPY(47%)    VT(44%)    XLV(42%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-4%)    DIA(-4%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.83(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.45(2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.12(3.36%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $17.998b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.05%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.48%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.61%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.61%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2014	33.16	32.12	32.45	32.83	32.84	32.97	33.2(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	30	14	105	1.95	52%	0	45.1	1.38%	0	1.8	67	INF
2	Aug_18_2014	33.16	32.04	32.31	32.65	32.67	32.9	32.84(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	50	14	86	2.03	52%	-0.06	37.3	1.42%	0	1.5	54	INF
3	Aug_15_2014	33.18	31.98	32.14	32.56	32.53	32.71	32.97(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	40	17	67	2.28	52%	0	34.6	1.42%	0	1.9	54	INF
4	Aug_14_2014	33.18	31.92	31.96	32.44	32.41	32.44	32.72(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	0	18	49	1.57	52%	-0.03	25	1.42%	0	1.7	56	INF
5	Aug_13_2014	33.19	31.87	31.8	32.18	32.26	32.35	32.41(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	30	11	16	1.72	50%	0	-5.2	1.42%	0	1.3	51	INF

6	Aug_12_2014	33.19	31.85	31.72	32	32.07	32.38	32.3(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	70	14	-0	3.66	48%	-0.06	-28.7	1.43%	0	1.1	53	INF
7	Aug_11_2014	33.21	31.83	31.71	31.92	31.89	32.18	32.41(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	60	33	10	3.33	48%	0	-47.6	1.44%	0	1.5	58	INF
8	Aug_8_2014	33.21	31.83	31.69	31.65	31.58	31.77	32.35(2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	15	40	22	-8	3.42	48%	0	-72.9	1.44%	0	1.3	54	INF
9	Aug_7_2014	33.21	31.81	31.64	31.41	31.33	31.6	31.45(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	50	12	-30	4.25	49%	0	-74.7	1.4%	0	-0.7	45	INF
10	Aug_6_2014	33.21	31.89	31.72	31.36	31.23	31.39	31.48(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	20	11	-27	6.63	46%	0	-66.9	1.48%	0	-0.7	49	INF

11	Aug_5_2014	33.21	31.97	31.76	31.4	31.17	31.39	31.93(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-13	-50	-6	-35	10.79	46%	0	-67.6	1.49%	0	-0.1	46	INF
12	Aug_4_2014	33.21	32.03	31.73	31.47	31.33	31.06	31.06(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-70	-27	-43	6.72	42%	-0.03	-75.9	1.45%	0	-1.6	40	INF
13	Aug_1_2014	33.22	32.11	31.82	31.74	31.68	31.28	31.13(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-90	-23	-24	5.29	41%	0	-77.5	1.46%	0	-1.7	41	INF
14	Jul_31_2014	33.22	32.18	31.9	31.91	31.93	31.6	31.21(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-70	-28	-21	5.13	41%	0	-89.1	1.47%	0	-1.8	35	INF
15	Jul_30_2014	33.22	32.26	31.96	32.11	32.08	32.08	31.65(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-0	-10	-17	9.33	39%	0.03	-101.3	1.47%	0	-1.2	32	INF

16	Jul_29_2014	33.21	32.38	32.02	32.17	32.13	32.26	32.3(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	20	15	-14	3.92	41%	0.06	-85.2	1.46%	0	-0.1	37	INF
17	Jul_28_2014	33.19	32.49	31.99	32.03	31.99	32.08	32.41(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	20	9	-40	2.68	41%	0.03	-68.8	1.46%	0	-0.1	39	INF
18	Jul_25_2014	33.18	32.56	31.93	31.92	31.89	32	31.99(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	20	6	-59	2.92	43%	0.06	-72.5	1.45%	0	-0.7	41	INF
19	Jul_24_2014	33.16	32.66	31.98	31.9	31.83	31.89	32.19(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	10	9	-59	3.52	47%	0.03	-71.4	1.46%	0	-0.5	46	INF
20	Jul_23_2014	33.15	32.77	32.07	31.8	31.78	31.78	31.95(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-0	-3	-66	4.03	47%	0.03	-73.4	1.5%	0	-0.9	39	INF

21	Jul_22_2014	33.14	32.88	32.18	31.86	31.82	31.77	31.63(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10	-5	-74	2.23	47%	0.03	-69.8	1.49%	0	-1.3	25	INF
22	Jul_21_2014	33.13	33.03	32.33	31.93	31.9	31.78	31.86(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-25	-30	-4	-87	2.59	47%	0.03	-65.4	1.49%	0	-1.2	22	INF
23	Jul_18_2014	33.12	33.18	32.41	31.94	31.95	31.87	31.89(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-20	-13	-106	2.22	47%	0.03	-61.9	1.49%	0	-1.3	33	INF
24	Jul_17_2014	33.11	33.32	32.48	32.08	32.07	32.02	31.69(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10	-17	-118	2.77	45%	0.03	-57	1.5%	0	-1.6	30	INF
25	Jul_16_2014	33.1	33.49	32.6	32.37	32.3	32.03	32.23(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-70	-16	-116	3.56	47%		-47	1.5%	0	-1.2	31	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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