Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $45.1800 (1.05%) ($44.7700 - $45.3900) on Wed. Apr. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $45.1800(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(66%)    XLP(48%)    SPY(45%)    JNK(40%)    IWM(37%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-2%)    IGOV(2%)    SHY(6%)    TIP(8%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.28(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.21(4.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.37(6.63%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $24.493b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 2.95% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 2.74%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 2.86%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.44%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.55%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.95%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2013	41.09	42.37	43.21	44.28	44.29	44.8	45.18(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	113	80	67	249	2.68	56%	0.1	72.5	1.02%	0	2.2	73	NAN
2	Apr_9_2013	41.05	42.15	42.81	43.65	43.67	44.39	44.71(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	104	120	72	201	5.06	51%	0.07	71.8	1.02%	0	2.3	74	NAN
3	Apr_8_2013	41.02	41.97	42.41	43.12	43.03	43.79	44.4(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	92	120	75	144	2.65	51%	0.07	74.8	1.08%	0	2.6	70	NAN
4	Apr_5_2013	40.99	41.78	42.05	42.64	42.49	42.95	44.09(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	65	70	57	89	4.87	49%	0.07	83.5	1.08%	0	3	64	NAN
5	Apr_4_2013	40.96	41.61	41.77	42.27	42.17	42.27	43.03(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	10	29	49	2.91	45%	0.05	103.6	1.05%	0	2.5	61	NAN

6	Apr_3_2013	40.94	41.48	41.64	41.99	42.01	42.03	42.01(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	0	10	30	1.8	41%	0	111.4	1%	0	1	58	NAN
7	Apr_2_2013	40.94	41.39	41.6	41.84	41.85	42.08	42.05(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	40	24	30	1.81	41%	0	100.7	1%	0	1.1	60	NAN
8	Apr_1_2013	40.94	41.28	41.56	41.58	41.61	41.99	42.04(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	70	39	23	1.32	41%	-0.05	83.2	1%	0	1.2	60	NAN
9	Mar_28_2013	40.96	41.16	41.55	41.34	41.29	41.63	42.2(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	50	32	16	2.53	42%	0	54.2	1.02%	0	1.3	64	NAN
10	Mar_27_2013	40.96	41.02	41.49	41.2	41.1	41.22	41.65(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	10	7	7	2.13	40%	-0.05	45.2	1.01%	0	0.8	62	NAN

11	Mar_26_2013	40.98	40.92	41.49	41.26	41.19	40.96	41.25(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-40	-10	16	2.1	40%	-0.02	37.7	1.01%	0	0.4	62	NAN
12	Mar_25_2013	40.99	40.81	41.46	41.33	41.38	40.99	40.76(-0.22%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-22	-60	-38	26	2.46	38%	-0.1	28.1	0.99%	0	-0.1	63	NAN
13	Mar_22_2013	41.03	40.76	41.51	41.53	41.6	41.41	40.85(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-30	-35	62	3.19	38%	-0.12	29.8	1%	0	0.1	66	NAN
14	Mar_21_2013	41.08	40.74	41.53	41.78	41.77	41.77	41.48(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-0	-3	118	2.6	40%	-0.1	37.2	0.98%	0	0.8	79	NAN
15	Mar_20_2013	41.12	40.66	41.46	41.82	41.78	41.78	41.95(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	-0	10	149	5.07	41%	0.02	35.8	0.97%	0	1.4	87	NAN

16	Mar_19_2013	41.11	40.58	41.32	41.69	41.68	41.78	41.6(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	10	9	156	2.91	41%	0	34.1	0.97%	0	1.2	87	NAN
17	Mar_18_2013	41.11	40.55	41.18	41.6	41.55	41.77	41.75(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	30	19	173	2.16	41%	-0.1	36.3	0.97%	0	1.4	92	NAN
18	Mar_15_2013	41.15	40.48	40.99	41.49	41.39	41.6	42.1(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	68	30	32	177	4.45	43%	-0.1	36.9	0.97%	0	2	80	NAN
19	Mar_14_2013	41.19	40.39	40.73	41.25	41.2	41.33	41.68(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	20	23	142	3.15	41%	-0.1	34.8	0.97%	0	1.8	59	NAN
20	Mar_13_2013	41.23	40.33	40.51	41.06	41.04	41.17	41.31(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	20	17	122	2.49	40%	-0.1	35.5	0.96%	0	1.5	63	NAN

21	Mar_12_2013	41.27	40.29	40.33	40.9	40.91	41.08	41.17(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	45	30	27	97	2.14	40%	-0.12	37.1	0.97%	0	1.4	53	NAN
22	Mar_11_2013	41.32	40.23	40.1	40.68	40.68	40.91	41.17(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	40	29	50	1.9	40%	-0.12	31.5	0.98%	0	1.6	48	NAN
23	Mar_8_2013	41.37	40.18	39.93	40.42	40.44	40.74	40.9(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	50	38	17	2.17	40%	-0.14	18.7	0.96%	0	1.3	51	NAN
24	Mar_7_2013	41.43	40.14	39.88	40.14	40.15	40.46	40.76(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	28	50	39	-6	3.05	40%	-0.12	2.2	0.97%	0	1.1	51	NAN
25	Mar_6_2013	41.48	40.1	39.78	39.88	39.86	40.14	40.5(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	14	50	33	-42	2.31	38%		-13.8	0.97%	0	0.8	47	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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