Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 3, 2011

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $37.6600 (1.73%) ($37.1400 - $37.8200) on Mon. Jan. 3, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $37.6600(1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(67%)    XLP(49%)    SPY(46%)    JNK(41%)    IWM(39%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    TIP(3%)    SHY(4%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.32(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.11(1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.48(3.23%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $20.416b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.53%(42%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 1.03%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -1.42%(46%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 1.5%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.13%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_3_2011	36.83	36.48	37.11	37.32	37.3	37.3	37.66(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	-0	11	112	2.44	44%	0.03	69	1.01%	0	1.6	83	0
2	Dec_31_2010	36.82	36.37	36.97	37.32	37.26	37.18	37.02(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-10	-6	112	2.02	39%	0.05	73.3	0.99%	0	1	80	0
3	Dec_30_2010	36.8	36.3	36.88	37.24	37.25	37.31	37.25(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	10	4	125	1.51	39%	0.03	77.3	1%	0	1.4	87	0
4	Dec_29_2010	36.79	36.2	36.74	37.16	37.19	37.35	37.3(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	30	19	129	1.47	39%	0	73.5	1%	0	1.6	87	0
5	Dec_28_2010	36.79	36.09	36.61	37.03	37.03	37.2	37.37(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	30	23	128	1.8	39%	0	63.9	1%	0	1.9	89	0

6	Dec_27_2010	36.79	35.99	36.45	36.86	36.85	37.03	37.25(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	48	30	24	119	1.61	39%	-0.05	55.7	1%	0	2.1	90	0
7	Dec_23_2010	36.81	35.88	36.28	36.66	36.7	36.86	37.04(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	45	30	26	103	1.85	45%	0	45.7	1.02%	0	2.1	80	0
8	Dec_22_2010	36.81	35.79	36.14	36.46	36.49	36.68	36.86(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	39	40	24	84	2.26	49%	-0.05	37.4	1.03%	0	2.3	77	0
9	Dec_21_2010	36.83	35.72	36.01	36.25	36.27	36.55	36.63(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	36	60	24	72	2.73	49%	-0.05	32.2	1.05%	0	2.2	81	0
10	Dec_20_2010	36.85	35.68	35.9	36.13	36.09	36.29	36.5(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	37	40	26	70	2.71	49%	-0.03	33.7	1.05%	0	2.3	81	0

11	Dec_17_2010	36.86	35.65	35.79	35.98	35.96	35.99	36.28(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	0	15	54	4.12	49%	-0.05	34.4	1.06%	0	1.9	69	0
12	Dec_16_2010	36.88	35.64	35.72	35.85	35.87	35.88	36.02(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	0	4	45	4.61	49%	-0.08	32.1	1.06%	0	1.3	68	0
13	Dec_15_2010	36.91	35.62	35.68	35.77	35.82	35.92	35.84(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	6	43	3.7	49%	-0.08	25.9	1.06%	0	0.8	61	0
14	Dec_14_2010	36.94	35.59	35.62	35.73	35.77	35.86	36.01(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	20	14	41	4.33	45%	-0.05	7.1	1.06%	0	1.4	64	0
15	Dec_13_2010	36.96	35.56	35.53	35.64	35.69	35.72	35.73(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	10	6	19	3.88	45%	-0.05	-9.8	1.07%	0	0.6	43	0

16	Dec_10_2010	36.98	35.56	35.5	35.64	35.68	35.72	35.65(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	10	1	-1	2.37	45%	-0.08	-23.2	1.07%	0	0.4	36	0
17	Dec_9_2010	37.01	35.56	35.45	35.58	35.66	35.67	35.6(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	10	-1	-13	2.52	45%	-0.05	-26.8	1.07%	0	0.2	41	0
18	Dec_8_2010	37.03	35.54	35.43	35.59	35.64	35.69	35.65(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	10	9	-14	3.17	45%	-0.05	-29.3	1.08%	0	0.4	49	0
19	Dec_7_2010	37.05	35.56	35.4	35.5	35.58	35.64	35.56(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	20	10	-18	3.66	45%	-0.05	-45.6	1.08%	0	0	57	0
20	Dec_6_2010	37.07	35.59	35.43	35.41	35.5	35.58	35.45(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	20	6	-22	2.3	45%	-0.05	-51.6	1.08%	0	-0.4	50	0

21	Dec_3_2010	37.09	35.61	35.5	35.39	35.42	35.52	35.63(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	20	11	-9	6.35	45%	-0.05	-58.9	1.09%	0	0.1	54	0
22	Dec_2_2010	37.11	35.62	35.5	35.31	35.33	35.42	35.66(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	20	9	-13	3.5	45%	-0.05	-68.4	1.09%	0	0.1	49	0
23	Dec_1_2010	37.13	35.63	35.5	35.25	35.29	35.31	35.2(0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	10	1	-21	3.32	48%	-0.05	-77.6	1.08%	0	-1.2	44	0
24	Nov_30_2010	37.15	35.71	35.54	35.29	35.31	35.24	35.11(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10	-13	-36	3.68	48%	-0.05	-57.6	1.12%	0	-1.4	37	0
25	Nov_29_2010	37.17	35.76	35.59	35.46	35.4	35.28	35.36(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-30	-18	-32	2.16	48%		-61.6	1.12%	0	-1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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