Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 1, 2008

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $64.9900 (-2.99%) ($64.7700 - $66.6900) on Wed. Oct. 1, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.17% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $64.9900(-2.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(72%)    SPY(54%)    XLP(53%)    EEM(47%)    VWO(46%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -1.085% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.085% (StdDev 2.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

Resistance Level   $67.34
5 Day Moving Average   $67.28(-3.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.03(-3.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.34(-3.49%)
To recent high   -21.9%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $35.232b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 2.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.44%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.45%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.82%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -3.94%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.29%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.84%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_1_2008	74.66	67.34	67.03	67.28	67.13	66.5	64.99(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-23	-70	-28	-6	2.26	33%	-0.16	-66.1	2.17%	0	-1.4	45	NAN
2	Sep_30_2008	74.78	67.55	66.91	67.58	67.68	67.2	66.99(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-50	-7	-3	2.76	37%	-0.12	-69.3	2.14%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
3	Sep_29_2008	74.87	67.74	66.95	67.42	67.4	67.77	66.79(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	40	-3	-4	2.46	37%	-0.13	-76.9	2.18%	0	-0.5	50	NAN
4	Sep_26_2008	74.97	68.02	66.97	67.24	67.17	68.15	68.64(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	19	100	28	-9	1.06	37%	-0.09	-71.9	2.16%	0	0.3	46	NAN
5	Sep_25_2008	75.04	68.26	67.01	67.3	66.95	67.02	68.98(3.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	15	-10	22	-8	1.63	37%	-0.09	-59.1	2.18%	0	0.3	51	NAN

6	Sep_24_2008	75.11	68.46	66.9	66.82	67.23	66.2	66.52(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-90	-4	-32	1.35	34%	-0.13	-57.1	2.13%	0	-0.7	47	NAN
7	Sep_23_2008	75.21	68.79	66.92	66.13	67.05	66.88	66.18(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	20	-31	-68	1.36	34%	-0.16	-59.2	2.13%	0	-0.9	45	NAN
8	Sep_22_2008	75.33	69.14	67.03	66.4	66.71	68.26	65.87(-4.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	180	23	-57	1.82	34%	-0.17	-52.9	2.13%	0	-1.1	40	NAN
9	Sep_19_2008	75.46	69.53	67.47	66.63	66.55	67.22	68.93(3.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	27	70	53	-50	2.67	38%	-0.11	-47.8	2.07%	0	-0.2	42	NAN
10	Sep_18_2008	75.54	69.74	67.42	66.73	66.22	65.15	66.58(5.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-52	-140	-34	-106	3.61	35%	-0.12	-41.6	2.04%	0	-1	34	NAN

11	Sep_17_2008	75.63	70.04	67.63	67.07	67.02	65.87	63.08(-6.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-76	-120	-57	-134	3.55	29%	-0.17	-36.2	1.91%	0	-2.3	26	NAN
12	Sep_16_2008	75.76	70.52	68.27	67.78	67.57	67.29	67.52(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-40	-25	-133	3.09	32%	-0.12	-29.2	1.74%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
13	Sep_15_2008	75.85	70.74	68.63	67.71	67.63	68.16	67.03(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	50	-7	-139	1.91	32%	-0.13	-29.3	1.74%	0	-1.5	31	NAN
14	Sep_12_2008	75.95	70.98	69.17	68.4	67.88	67.85	69.42(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-30	16	-120	2	37%	-0.11	-19.8	1.71%	0	-0.7	35	NAN
15	Sep_11_2008	76.03	71.04	69.59	68.26	68.38	67.09	68.3(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-59	-130	-31	-142	1.79	36%	-0.12	-19	1.7%	0	-1.2	32	NAN

16	Sep_10_2008	76.12	71.15	70.11	68.34	68.68	67.92	66.62(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-90	-60	-69	-154	1.97	33%	-0.13	-16.5	1.67%	0	-2.1	29	NAN
17	Sep_9_2008	76.22	71.27	70.8	68.83	69.12	69.66	67.16(-4.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	70	-14	-114	4.46	35%	-0.12	-11.8	1.68%	0	-2	34	NAN
18	Sep_8_2008	76.31	71.46	71.44	69.66	69.48	69.45	70.51(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10	12	-80	2.61	38%	-0.08	2.7	1.59%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
19	Sep_5_2008	76.37	71.44	71.75	70.08	69.91	68.58	68.7(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-77	-140	-72	-93	2.13	33%	-0.09	5	1.58%	0	-1.5	37	NAN
20	Sep_4_2008	76.44	71.48	72.24	71.18	71.14	69.51	68.72(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-87	-160	-96	-58	2.07	33%	-0.09	10.4	1.58%	0	-1.5	46	NAN

21	Sep_3_2008	76.51	71.52	72.67	72.16	72.42	71.23	69.08(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-62	-100	-79	-10	1.85	33%	-0.07	13.3	1.59%	0	-1.3	50	NAN
22	Sep_2_2008	76.56	71.51	73.01	73.03	73.27	72.77	71.27(-1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-17	-40	-39	51	1.84	35%	-0.01	15.2	1.55%	0	-0.1	72	NAN
23	Aug_29_2008	76.57	71.41	73.08	73.45	73.51	73.61	72.64(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	10	-10	85	1.2	36%	-0.01	13.5	1.53%	0	0.6	62	NAN
24	Aug_28_2008	76.58	71.35	72.98	73.65	73.59	73.76	74.17(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	10	16	113	0.92	38%	0.01	14.3	1.52%	0	1.4	73	NAN
25	Aug_27_2008	76.57	71.29	72.61	73.49	73.51	73.41	73.65(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10	8	115	1.15	38%		12.5	1.52%	0	1.2	75	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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