Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $82.4100 (-0.96%) ($82.1100 - $83.9400) on Mon. Jul. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $82.4100(-0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(72%)    SPY(54%)    XLP(53%)    EEM(47%)    VWO(46%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.45(-0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.17(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.53(1.08%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $44.675b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 1.41% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.38%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.76%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.21%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.16%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.59%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.4%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2008	75.55	81.53	82.17	82.45	82.54	82.86	82.41(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	30	26	45	1.67	56%	0.16	86.5	1.2%	0	0.8	53	0
2	Jul_11_2008	75.43	81.41	81.95	82.17	82.1	82.64	83.21(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	40	33	34	2.65	56%	0.19	89.7	1.19%	0	1.5	60	0
3	Jul_10_2008	75.29	81.16	81.64	81.88	81.74	82.22	82.88(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	40	34	17	1.56	56%	0.16	74.2	1.21%	0	1.3	55	0
4	Jul_9_2008	75.17	80.9	81.58	81.62	81.65	81.57	82.7(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10	11	15	2.11	56%	0.15	59	1.22%	0	1.3	63	0
5	Jul_8_2008	75.06	80.7	81.52	81.61	81.71	81.27	81.05(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-20	-30	-31	14	2.97	52%	0.09	61.1	1.19%	0	0.2	58	0

6	Jul_7_2008	74.99	80.55	81.6	81.86	81.95	81.73	81(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-20	-13	42	1.95	52%	0.19	61.5	1.2%	0	0.3	57	0
7	Jul_3_2008	74.85	80.36	81.61	81.67	81.91	82.16	81.79(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	30	18	56	0.97	52%	0.13	48.4	1.18%	0	0.8	60	0
8	Jul_2_2008	74.75	80.22	81.58	81.33	81.46	82.17	81.57(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	70	24	66	1.9	52%	0.15	41.2	1.18%	0	0.8	66	0
9	Jul_1_2008	74.64	80.06	81.4	81.52	81.19	81.67	82.63(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	30	38	92	1.95	60%	0.17	43.2	1.17%	0	1.5	73	0
10	Jun_30_2008	74.51	79.82	81.1	81.45	81.31	80.75	82.33(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	17	-50	-3	77	2.34	60%	0.16	43.8	1.24%	0	1.5	65	0

11	Jun_27_2008	74.39	79.6	81.1	81.35	81.55	80.72	80.01(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-29	-60	-60	65	1.9	56%	0.13	46.5	1.21%	0	0.3	62	0
12	Jun_26_2008	74.29	79.53	80.84	81.53	81.89	81.88	80.1(-2.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	10	-28	104	1.75	56%	0.13	49.2	1.21%	0	0.4	66	0
13	Jun_25_2008	74.19	79.51	80.69	81.83	81.93	82.39	82.52(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	40	47	151	1.74	63%	0.18	58.3	1.14%	0	1.9	63	0
14	Jun_24_2008	74.06	79.31	80.19	81.23	81.44	81.9	82.3(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	66	50	47	124	1.97	63%	0.12	52.7	1.15%	0	2.1	64	0
15	Jun_23_2008	73.97	79.09	79.81	80.69	80.78	81.48	81.8(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	60	60	43	109	2.01	63%	0.12	47.9	1.16%	0	2.1	66	0

16	Jun_20_2008	73.88	78.88	79.41	80.29	80.29	80.97	80.94(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	69	60	58	101	2.76	63%	0.14	47.9	1.16%	0	1.8	62	0
17	Jun_19_2008	73.78	78.76	79.01	80.06	79.73	80.08	81.58(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	53	20	44	78	2.61	58%	0.18	58.3	1.16%	0	2.7	60	0
18	Jun_18_2008	73.65	78.6	78.71	79.39	79.39	79.6	79.54(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	20	27	43	1.57	59%	0.12	62.1	1.16%	0	1.2	48	0
19	Jun_17_2008	73.56	78.56	78.6	78.98	79.05	79.39	79.61(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	30	24	25	0.91	59%	0.14	66.7	1.2%	0	1.3	53	0
20	Jun_16_2008	73.46	78.48	78.41	78.77	78.64	79.18	79.76(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	40	35	21	1.24	59%	0.16	71.9	1.2%	0	1.7	57	0

21	Jun_13_2008	73.34	78.33	78.23	78.4	78.35	78.71	79.79(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	41	30	49	15	1.98	59%	0.14	62.2	1.2%	0	1.9	58	0
22	Jun_12_2008	73.24	78.16	78.1	77.81	77.92	78.1	78.23(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	20	4	-26	1.64	55%	0.1	41.3	1.2%	0	0.1	47	0
23	Jun_11_2008	73.17	78.1	78.23	77.95	77.83	77.99	77.52(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-3	10	2	-16	1.62	60%	0.12	52.3	1.21%	0	-0.7	45	0
24	Jun_10_2008	73.08	78.04	78.36	78.16	77.96	77.75	78.57(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-30	5	-8	1.27	63%	0.08	48.8	1.25%	0	0.6	48	0
25	Jun_9_2008	73.02	77.94	78.31	78	78.01	77.67	77.9(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-30	-23	-24	0.95	63%		39.2	1.26%	0	-0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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