Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 31, 2005

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $51.0300 (0.71%) ($50.4000 - $51.1100) on Wed. Aug. 31, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $51.0300(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(73%)    SPY(54%)    XLP(52%)    EEM(47%)    VWO(46%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.72(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.18(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.85(2.37%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $27.664b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 1.22% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.24%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.14%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.58%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2005	46.63	49.85	50.18	50.72	50.6	50.73	51.03(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	10	22	95	0.97	78%	0.19	50	0.93%	0	1.9	58	0
2	Aug_30_2005	46.54	49.78	49.96	50.5	50.5	50.56	50.67(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	10	14	68	1.49	78%	0.19	41.8	0.93%	0	1.6	59	0
3	Aug_29_2005	46.45	49.72	49.8	50.37	50.38	50.48	50.82(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	10	18	53	0.65	78%	0.19	43	0.93%	0	2.1	60	0
4	Aug_26_2005	46.36	49.63	49.67	50.12	50.25	50.43	50.41(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	30	29	48	0.86	78%	0.17	32.6	0.93%	0	1.7	65	0
5	Aug_25_2005	46.28	49.59	49.59	49.85	49.97	50.28	50.65(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	34	50	34	34	1.07	78%	0.22	20.2	0.93%	0	2.4	59	0

6	Aug_24_2005	46.18	49.59	49.52	49.56	49.67	50.07	49.94(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	35	60	41	18	1.11	77%	0.17	11.4	0.92%	0	1	49	0
7	Aug_23_2005	46.1	49.55	49.49	49.35	49.39	49.66	50.05(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	30	40	39	3	1.08	77%	0.17	1.3	0.92%	0	1.3	53	0
8	Aug_22_2005	46.02	49.49	49.45	49.14	49.11	49.28	49.54(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	20	8	-25	0.77	76%	0.15	-17.7	0.92%	0	0.1	48	0
9	Aug_19_2005	45.95	49.47	49.39	49.17	49.1	49.12	49.06(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-0	1	-27	0.54	75%	0.17	-16.5	0.91%	0	-1.1	52	0
10	Aug_18_2005	45.87	49.47	49.44	49.3	49.21	48.93	49.22(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-50	-21	-29	0.92	75%	0.17	0	0.91%	0	-0.7	45	0

11	Aug_17_2005	45.79	49.5	49.5	49.47	49.38	49.08	48.86(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-36	-50	-39	-26	0.6	75%	0.18	13	0.91%	0	-1.7	40	0
12	Aug_16_2005	45.71	49.54	49.59	49.64	49.66	49.49	49.02(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-20	-20	-23	-11	0.63	75%	0.18	27.4	0.9%	0	-1.4	41	0
13	Aug_15_2005	45.63	49.56	49.66	49.78	49.83	49.69	49.68(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-20	1	17	0.56	79%	0.09	38	0.88%	0	0.3	57	0
14	Aug_12_2005	45.59	49.54	49.66	49.63	49.77	49.83	49.72(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	20	-2	4	0.65	75%	0.2	18.7	0.9%	0	0.5	57	0
15	Aug_11_2005	45.5	49.5	49.6	49.59	49.67	49.96	50.07(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	50	19	11	0.67	77%	0.22	14.7	0.89%	0	1.5	53	0

16	Aug_10_2005	45.4	49.46	49.58	49.55	49.59	49.71	49.72(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	20	21	19	0.88	77%	0.2	24.6	0.91%	0	0.8	55	0
17	Aug_9_2005	45.31	49.44	49.6	49.54	49.51	49.39	49.71(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-1	-20	-6	13	0.96	78%	0.2	43.5	0.91%	0	0.8	51	0
18	Aug_8_2005	45.22	49.43	49.54	49.53	49.56	49.47	48.95(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-6	-10	-10	6	1.3	77%	0.18	56.5	0.92%	0	-1.4	48	0
19	Aug_5_2005	45.14	49.47	49.56	49.54	49.59	49.63	49.51(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	10	-1	10	1.3	80%	0.18	71.6	0.92%	0	0.1	55	0
20	Aug_4_2005	45.06	49.44	49.57	49.59	49.55	49.64	49.88(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	10	2	24	1.02	75%	0.18	74.1	0.91%	0	1.1	60	0

21	Aug_3_2005	44.98	49.37	49.5	49.62	49.59	49.55	49.66(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10	-0	24	1.76	75%	0.18	61.9	0.95%	0	0.6	55	0
22	Aug_2_2005	44.9	49.3	49.49	49.69	49.67	49.45	49.65(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	-30	-9	26	1.74	75%	0.18	58.4	0.96%	0	0.7	51	0
23	Aug_1_2005	44.82	49.24	49.46	49.69	49.83	49.63	49(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10	-10	16	1	74%	0.2	57.8	0.95%	0	-0.5	45	0
24	Jul_29_2005	44.73	49.23	49.48	49.56	49.7	49.9	49.78(-0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	40	-2	14	1.22	79%	0.18	68.3	0.93%	0	1.1	51	0
25	Jul_28_2005	44.65	49.15	49.4	49.54	49.57	50.03	50(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	36	70	39	28	0.82	79%		64.3	0.95%	0	1.5	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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