Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 26, 2003

Trading Signals: FE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FirstEnergy Corp.)
FE latest price $34.3000 (2.27%) ($33.5800 - $34.3000) on Wed. Nov. 26, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $34.3000(2.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FE advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FE declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(72%)    SPY(53%)    XLP(51%)    EEM(46%)    EWG(44%)
Factors Impacting FE price   FE will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(18%)    OIH(35%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.71(1.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.96(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.26(0.12%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   17.5%
Market Cap   $18.594b

FirstEnergy Corp. engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity as well as energy management and other energy-related services through its subsidiaries. It operates through the following business segments: Regulated Distribution, Regulated Transmission and Corporate. The Regulated Distribution segment distributes electricity through FirstEnergy's utility operating companies, serving various customers. The Regulated Transmission segment transmits electricity through transmission facilities owned and operated by FirstEnergy's utilities and the regulatory assets. The Corporate segment reflects corporate support not charged to FE's subsidiaries, interest expense on FE's holding company debt and other businesses that do not constitute an operating segment. FirstEnergy was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, OH.

$. FE price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_26_2003	32.67	34.26	33.96	33.71	33.65	33.75	34.3(2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	20	27	-63	0.99	68%	-0.09	-24.8	1.05%	0	0.1	46	0
2	Nov_25_2003	32.7	34.27	33.99	33.51	33.5	33.52	33.54(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	0	-6	-94	1.2	64%	-0.15	-25.5	1.05%	0	-1.6	33	0
3	Nov_24_2003	32.75	34.3	34.1	33.6	33.49	33.54	33.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-33	0	-14	-89	1.54	64%	0.03	-11.5	1.05%	0	-1.8	31	0
4	Nov_21_2003	32.74	34.34	34.22	33.82	33.68	33.47	33.5(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-60	-19	-72	1.32	64%	-0.15	14.3	1.07%	0	-2	29	0
5	Nov_20_2003	32.79	34.37	34.32	34.07	33.94	33.43	33.71(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-120	-40	-57	2.77	71%	-0.15	43.1	1.09%	0	-1.6	40	0

6	Nov_19_2003	32.84	34.38	34.41	34.26	34.27	33.89	33.29(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-43	-80	-43	-43	5.37	69%	-0.15	55.7	1.2%	0	-2.4	27	0
7	Nov_18_2003	32.89	34.39	34.54	34.53	34.56	34.44	33.99(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-20	-18	-10	1	51%	-0.12	73.1	1.16%	0	-0.9	44	0
8	Nov_17_2003	32.93	34.36	34.54	34.66	34.66	34.64	34.61(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-0	-2	9	0.95	54%	-0.09	72.7	1.65%	0	0.5	62	0
9	Nov_14_2003	32.96	34.28	34.61	34.68	34.68	34.68	34.75(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	0	2	17	0.71	51%	-0.12	72.2	1.66%	0	0.8	66	0
10	Nov_13_2003	33	34.2	34.58	34.62	34.65	34.69	34.65(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	10	2	17	1.12	51%	-0.09	73.6	1.66%	0	0.7	67	0

11	Nov_12_2003	33.03	34.13	34.59	34.59	34.6	34.68	34.67(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	20	4	27	0.7	51%	-0.12	75.1	1.66%	0	0.9	73	0
12	Nov_11_2003	33.07	34.06	34.56	34.56	34.53	34.61	34.64(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	10	5	37	0.69	51%	-0.09	78	1.66%	0	0.9	78	0
13	Nov_10_2003	33.1	33.98	34.52	34.56	34.45	34.53	34.68(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	13	10	2	46	0.94	51%	-0.09	78	1.66%	0	1	79	0
14	Nov_7_2003	33.13	33.87	34.46	34.54	34.46	34.45	34.45(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10	2	57	2.38	51%	-0.12	74	1.67%	0	0.8	79	0
15	Nov_6_2003	33.17	33.76	34.42	34.53	34.47	34.38	34.52(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-20	-5	64	0.9	51%	-0.09	71.8	1.68%	0	1	81	0

16	Nov_5_2003	33.2	33.66	34.34	34.58	34.51	34.48	34.5(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10	-3	74	1.82	39%	-0.09	72.1	1.68%	0	1	75	0
17	Nov_4_2003	33.23	33.56	34.22	34.56	34.58	34.56	34.55(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-0	4	66	2.16	39%	-0.12	69.6	1.99%	0	1.2	77	0
18	Nov_3_2003	33.27	33.43	34.1	34.49	34.48	34.55	34.7(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	20	10	4	66	1	39%	-0.09	68.9	1.99%	0	1.5	81	0
19	Oct_31_2003	33.3	33.31	33.93	34.37	34.35	34.59	34.39(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	50	8	68	0.95	39%	-0.09	68.7	1.99%	0	1.3	84	0
20	Oct_30_2003	33.33	33.2	33.8	34.29	34.23	34.42	34.75(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	30	17	76	1.27	39%	-0.09	72.3	1.99%	0	2	94	0

21	Oct_29_2003	33.36	33.08	33.64	34.08	34.03	34.11	34.42(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	10	12	70	1.14	39%	-0.06	79.5	1.99%	0	1.9	79	0
22	Oct_28_2003	33.38	32.98	33.5	33.84	33.8	34.05	34.17(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	25	50	11	66	1.36	39%	-0.09	84.2	1.99%	0	1.8	80	0
23	Oct_27_2003	33.41	32.86	33.38	33.64	33.59	33.96	34.11(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	33	70	20	70	1.85	39%	-0.06	87.3	1.99%	0	2	82	0
24	Oct_24_2003	33.43	32.77	33.22	33.43	33.37	33.56	34.02(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	30	18	60	2.45	39%	-0.09	88.9	1.99%	0	2.1	72	0
25	Oct_23_2003	33.46	32.65	33.04	33.23	33.17	33.22	33.67(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	10	4	45	1.64	39%		80.1	1.99%	0	1.7	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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