Trading Signals: FDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: FDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FedEx Corporation)
FDX latest price $176.7600 (1.67%) ($172.8600 - $176.9000) on Fri. Jan. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $176.7600(1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FDX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FDX declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(63%)    SPY(63%)    IWM(62%)    XLI(61%)    VT(58%)
Factors Impacting FDX price   FDX will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-7%)    GLD(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $173.49(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $172.67(2.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $173.8(1.7%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $46.303b

FedEx Corp. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of a portfolio of transportation, e-commerce, and business services. It operates through the following segments: FedEx Express, FedEx Ground, FedEx Freight, FedEx Services, and Corporate, Other, and Eliminations. The FedEx Express segment consists of domestic and international shipping services for delivery of packages and freight. The FedEx Ground segment focuses on small-package ground delivery services. The FedEx Freight segment offers less-than-truckload freight services across all lengths of haul. The FedEx Services segment provides sales, marketing, information technology, communications, customer service, technical support, billing and collection services, and certain back-office functions. The Corporate, Other, and Eliminations segment includes corporate headquarters costs for executive officers and certain legal and finance functions, as well as certain other costs and credits not attributed to the company's core business. The company was founded by Frederick Wallace Smith on June 18, 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. FDX price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.28%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.69%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.25%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.62%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2015	175.31	173.8	172.67	173.49	173	174.13	176.76(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	68	40	83	24	2.59	53%	0.03	-7.8	1.33%	0	1.3	50	INF
2	Jan_15_2015	175.26	173.37	172.19	172.67	172.67	172.3	173.85(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10	13	-25	2.22	49%	-0.03	-36.3	1.32%	0	0.2	41	INF
3	Jan_14_2015	175.31	173.38	172.14	172.9	172.74	171.87	172.75(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-40	-57	-58	1.93	49%	-0.05	-36.6	1.33%	0	-0.2	36	INF
4	Jan_13_2015	175.39	173.54	172.33	172.56	173.45	173.05	171.5(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-0	-11	-49	1.74	49%	-0.08	-50.3	1.35%	0	-0.8	32	INF
5	Jan_12_2015	175.53	173.76	172.71	172.22	173.14	173.61	172.57(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	40	8	-44	1.88	49%	-0.06	-64.6	1.37%	0	-0.5	46	INF

6	Jan_9_2015	175.63	173.97	173.01	171.67	172.58	173.85	172.66(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	37	70	58	-28	1.4	49%	-0.06	-76.4	1.39%	0	-0.5	46	INF
7	Jan_8_2015	175.74	174.15	173.36	171.62	171.84	172.68	175.04(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	41	40	58	-11	1.82	49%	-0.02	-80.9	1.39%	0	0.3	69	INF
8	Jan_7_2015	175.77	174.31	173.5	171.35	171.54	171.31	171.04(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10	-15	-40	1.84	41%	-0.11	-86.4	1.34%	0	-1.2	45	INF
9	Jan_6_2015	175.96	174.82	174.08	172.14	172.4	171	169.79(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-56	-50	-59	-45	2.61	41%	-0.15	-70.9	1.35%	0	-1.8	39	INF
10	Jan_5_2015	176.22	175.42	174.58	173.29	173.34	171.76	169.8(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-94	-60	-108	-52	1.73	41%	-0.16	0	1.38%	0	-1.9	40	INF

11	Jan_2_2015	176.5	175.95	175.1	174.51	174.47	173.79	172.45(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-56	-30	-66	-24	1.25	46%	-0.1	0	1.38%	0	-1.2	42	INF
12	Dec_31_2014	176.68	176.33	174.74	175.3	175.34	174.92	173.66(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-20	-25	-16	0.85	46%	-0.08	0	1.41%	0	-0.9	45	INF
13	Dec_30_2014	176.83	176.66	174.81	175.96	175.87	175.15	175(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-30	-35	-21	0.77	46%	-0.05	0	1.43%	0	-0.5	42	INF
14	Dec_29_2014	176.92	176.8	174.92	176.33	176.42	175.75	175.52(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-30	-30	-25	0.78	46%	-0.04	0	1.47%	0	-0.4	38	INF
15	Dec_26_2014	176.99	176.8	174.93	176.07	176.58	176.59	175.9(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	10	-4	-2	0.74	46%	-0.03	0	1.51%	0	55.5	38	INF

16	Dec_24_2014	177.05	176.8	175	175.77	176.05	177.1	176.42(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	50	52	21	0.57	46%	-0.02	0	1.55%	0	54.3	43	INF
17	Dec_23_2014	177.09	176.8	174.97	174.04	174.92	176.57	176.94(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	83	80	97	39	1	46%	-0.01	0	1.6%	0	53	44	INF
18	Dec_22_2014	177.1	176.8	175.09	173.5	172.55	175	176.87(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	80	53	21	1.9	46%	-0.01	0	1.65%	0	51.4	43	INF
19	Dec_19_2014	177.11	176.8	175.47	173.38	172.54	173.28	174.22(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	20	82	33	3.86	46%	-0.12	0	1.65%	0	49.1	45	INF
20	Dec_18_2014	177.32	176.8	176.21	173.7	173.19	170.11	174.38(3.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-60	-130	-71	-28	3.8	46%	-0.12	0	1.72%	0	48.6	50	INF

21	Dec_17_2014	177.54	176.8	176.77	174.2	174.21	171.81	167.78(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-205	-100	-241	-96	8.75	25%	-0.46	0	1.31%	0	46.2	50	INF
22	Dec_16_2014	178.36	176.8	178.08	175.93	176.63	176.27	174.26(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-0	-47	-19	2.79	39%	-0.21	0	0.9%	0	73.2	50	INF
23	Dec_15_2014	178.73	176.8	178.72	176.83	177.16	176.6	176.27(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-20	-53	-21	2.49	47%	-0.14	0	0.89%	0	83.1	50	INF
24	Dec_12_2014	178.98	176.8	178.91	177.89	177.68	176.99	175.79(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-86	-30	-101	-40	1.86	47%	-0.2	0	0.93%	0	84.9	50	INF
25	Dec_11_2014	179.33	176.8	178.91	179.13	179.13	177.72	176.88(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-59	-60	-69	-28	2.08	47%		0	0.97%	0	94.1	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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