Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 6, 2017

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $24.0000 (2.56%) ($23.4000 - $24.6000) on Fri. Jan. 6, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.99% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $24.0000(2.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(11%)    XHB(11%)    DIA(10%)    IBUY(9%)    MCHI(9%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    XLU(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    UNG(-3%)    GDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.995% (StdDev 5.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.92(-50.33%)
5 Day Moving Average   $22.56(6.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.82(5.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.44(2.39%)
To recent high   -63.2%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $7.992b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.55% (three month std-dev: 5.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.58%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.84%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.81%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2017	45.62	23.44	22.82	22.56	22.8	23.63	24(2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	290	17	-33	0.04	21%	-0.89	-42.9	5.99%	0	0.4	56	INF
2	Jan_5_2017	46.03	23.49	22.85	22.14	22.05	22.8	23.4(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	230	12	-39	0.05	21%	-0.9	-56.8	5.97%	0	-0.1	54	INF
3	Jan_4_2017	46.45	23.55	23.11	21.9	21.84	21.98	22.8(5.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	40	1	-38	0.05	21%	-0.87	-64.8	5.95%	0	-0.5	49	INF
4	Jan_3_2017	46.86	23.72	23.33	22.14	21.99	21.3	21.6(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-240	-14	-30	0.03	21%	-1.24	-80.2	5.89%	0	-1.5	48	INF
5	Dec_30_2016	47.45	23.85	23.54	22.62	22.56	21.71	21(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-270	-19	-28	0.17	21%	-0.9	-103.6	5.87%	0	-2.1	36	INF

6	Dec_29_2016	47.88	24.01	23.76	23.1	23.21	22.69	21.9(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-140	-16	-23	0.08	21%	-0.89	-143.3	5.87%	0	-1.7	42	INF
7	Dec_28_2016	48.31	24.27	23.88	23.64	23.64	23.4	22.2(-7.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-70	-18	-20	0.06	22%	-0.84	-153.3	5.87%	0	-1.6	41	INF
8	Dec_27_2016	48.72	24.48	24.02	24.48	24.36	23.74	24(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-190	-7	-1	0.04	23%	-1.14	-172	5.84%	0	-0.4	49	INF
9	Dec_23_2016	49.28	24.89	23.92	24.72	24.83	23.89	24(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-250	-9	-10	0.03	23%	-0.75	-76.1	5.8%	0	-0.3	42	INF
10	Dec_22_2016	49.65	25.38	24.02	24.6	24.99	24.98	23.4(-4.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	40	-3	-6	0.04	23%	-0.78	-77.8	5.78%	0	-0.6	50	INF

11	Dec_21_2016	50.04	25.9	24.14	24.48	24.69	25.76	24.6(-6.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	330	16	1	0.03	25%	-0.75	-70.2	5.76%	0	-0.4	54	INF
12	Dec_20_2016	50.42	26.4	24.19	24.12	23.91	25.01	26.4(4.76%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	15	300	24	-11	0.07	26%	-0.71	-66.3	5.77%	0	0	48	INF
13	Dec_19_2016	50.78	26.86	23.97	23.52	23.21	23.63	25.2(7.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	90	16	-36	0.07	26%	-0.78	-63.1	5.73%	0	-0.4	47	INF
14	Dec_16_2016	51.18	27.42	24.06	23.04	22.93	23.63	23.4(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-50	-6	-80	0.04	22%	-0.81	-60.1	5.62%	0	-0.8	29	INF
15	Dec_15_2016	51.6	28.03	24.13	23.4	23.12	22.8	22.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-36	-130	-10	-112	0.02	22%	-0.83	-56.7	5.6%	0	-1	25	INF

16	Dec_14_2016	52.03	28.71	24.27	23.76	23.61	23.06	22.8(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-180	-13	-140	0.04	22%	-0.82	-54.6	5.61%	0	-1.1	26	INF
17	Dec_13_2016	52.46	29.45	24.68	24.24	24.09	23.44	23.4(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-210	-13	-157	0.04	22%	-0.81	-50.9	5.61%	0	-1.1	25	INF
18	Dec_12_2016	52.89	30.16	24.98	24.48	24.64	24.15	22.8(-9.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-60	-120	-18	-185	0.05	22%	-0.81	-48.4	5.58%	0	-1.3	22	INF
19	Dec_9_2016	53.32	30.89	25.94	25.2	25.16	24.75	25.2(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-45	-120	-0	-178	0.05	24%	-0.76	-45.8	5.49%	0	-1	24	INF
20	Dec_8_2016	53.73	31.41	26.83	24.96	25.24	25.13	24.6(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	0	-1	-184	0.03	24%	-0.76	-47	5.47%	0	-1.3	26	INF

21	Dec_7_2016	54.14	32.03	27.77	24.84	24.99	25.58	25.2(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-48	180	-1	-189	0.03	24%	-0.73	-49.9	5.47%	0	-1.3	26	INF
22	Dec_6_2016	54.54	32.59	28.75	25.2	24.66	25.35	24.6(-6.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-45	130	2	-187	0.05	24%	-0.73	-50.8	5.45%	0	-1.6	22	INF
23	Dec_5_2016	54.94	33.16	29.93	25.56	24.92	24.41	26.4(10%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-63	-220	-20	-192	0.09	25%	-0.67	-57.2	5.41%	0	-1.4	24	INF
24	Dec_2_2016	55.31	33.65	30.99	26.88	26.02	23.96	24(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-90	-650	-56	-190	0.05	19%	-0.74	-60.5	5.27%	0	-2.2	15	INF
25	Dec_1_2016	55.72	34.18	32.23	29.04	28.47	25.43	24(-11.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-88	-810	-65	-156	0.14	19%		-67.7	5.29%	0	-2.7	24	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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