Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $71.2800 (-6.75%) ($68.5200 - $75.8900) on Tue. Jul. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.62% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $71.2800(-6.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 6.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(12%)    XHB(12%)    DIA(10%)    MCHI(10%)    XME(10%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    XLU(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    UNG(-2%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.31% (StdDev 4.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.49(-3.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.29(2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.11(1.67%)
To recent high   -31%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $23.738b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 11.03% (three month std-dev: 4.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2016	76.08	70.11	69.29	73.49	73.91	74.24	71.28(-6.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	50	6	91	0.06	51%	0.18	-64.6	4.62%	0	0.2	61	0
2	Jul_1_2016	75.94	71.54	68.73	72.31	72.65	75.06	76.44(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	250	55	103	0.04	54%	0.28	-38.2	4.51%	0	0.4	69	0
3	Jun_30_2016	75.73	72.48	67.65	69.5	69.55	73.58	74.64(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	410	67	68	0.04	54%	0.22	-33.8	4.48%	0	0.2	54	0
4	Jun_29_2016	75.56	73.54	66.52	67.78	66.73	70.25	75.6(8.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	70	320	81	37	0.09	54%	0.25	-29	4.51%	0	0.1	50	0
5	Jun_28_2016	75.37	74.44	65.37	65.45	64.81	65.52	69.48(6.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	17	50	38	-47	0.05	51%	0.13	-26.2	4.39%	0	-0.3	28	0

6	Jun_27_2016	75.27	75.5	64.86	64.58	63.96	63.21	65.4(4.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-110	-14	-125	0.06	48%	0.07	-22.5	4.32%	0	-0.7	20	0
7	Jun_24_2016	75.22	76.34	64.81	64.63	64.5	64.1	62.4(-5.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-61	-50	-19	-188	0.08	45%	0	-20.8	4.31%	0	-1	11	0
8	Jun_23_2016	75.22	77.15	65.62	65.42	65.47	64.71	66(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-55	-80	-1	-217	0.04	44%	0.07	-18.5	4.27%	0	-0.8	19	0
9	Jun_22_2016	75.17	77.78	66.28	64.99	65.74	64.91	63.96(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-77	-50	-16	-258	0.04	44%	0.04	-18.7	4.35%	0	-1	16	0
10	Jun_21_2016	75.14	78.37	68.51	65.23	65.64	66.23	65.16(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-69	80	-5	-259	0.05	42%	0.03	-19.4	4.35%	0	-1	20	0

11	Jun_20_2016	75.12	78.91	70.95	65.16	65.8	66.57	65.64(-1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-45	110	21	-244	0.07	42%	0.03	-20.4	4.4%	0	-1	27	0
12	Jun_17_2016	75.1	79.44	74.48	65.02	65.41	65.06	66.36(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-63	-20	-9	-226	0.08	45%	0.05	-20.6	4.42%	0	-1	41	0
13	Jun_16_2016	75.06	79.82	77.58	65.9	65.84	65.03	63.84(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-75	-90	-34	-198	0.06	45%	0.01	-18.9	4.49%	0	-1.3	44	0
14	Jun_15_2016	75.05	80.41	81.05	67.82	67.87	65.77	65.16(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-85	-210	-58	-165	0.06	45%	0.03	-14.4	4.5%	0	-1.3	45	0
15	Jun_14_2016	75.03	81.04	84.2	72.41	70.79	66.66	64.8(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-113	-480	-110	-123	0.07	51%	0.07	-2.9	4.5%	0	-1.4	48	0

16	Jun_13_2016	74.98	81.66	87.07	77.74	77.15	69.97	64.92(-8.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-118	-670	-135	-65	0.11	51%	0.01	13.3	4.83%	0	-1.5	48	0
17	Jun_10_2016	74.97	82.14	89.07	85.42	84.66	74.91	70.8(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-131	-830	-172	-6	0.09	50%	0.15	37.1	4.73%	0	-1.1	53	0
18	Jun_9_2016	74.86	82.24	90.03	90.98	92.06	84.34	73.44(-16.62%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.6	-102	-550	-154	56	0.2	53%	0.19	53.6	4.95%	0	-0.8	58	0
19	Jun_8_2016	74.72	82.19	90.71	96.05	97.14	94.4	88.08(-3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-17	-160	-74	154	0.13	58%	0.4	70.3	4.66%	0	0.5	70	0
20	Jun_7_2016	74.42	81.37	89.47	97.63	98.63	99.78	91.44(-11.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	55	110	5	206	0.12	60%	0.23	77	4.7%	0	0.9	69	0

21	Jun_6_2016	74.25	80.2	87.82	97.7	97.63	99.89	103.32(4.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	116	160	71	250	0.04	65%	0.62	75.4	4.52%	0	2.1	85	0
22	Jun_3_2016	73.79	78.37	84.84	93.34	94.07	97.49	98.64(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	113	280	77	221	0.04	66%	0.52	69	4.49%	0	2.1	85	0
23	Jun_2_2016	73.41	76.89	82.08	88.99	89.36	95.37	98.76(2.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	127	480	105	193	0.07	67%	0.52	59.5	4.56%	0	2.5	86	0
24	Jun_1_2016	73.03	75.22	79.38	84.65	84.62	90.66	96(4.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	142	500	133	169	0.09	67%	0.43	45.7	4.62%	0	2.9	85	0
25	May_31_2016	72.72	73.74	77.16	80.18	80.04	83.34	91.8(12.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	100	280	94	118	0.13	67%		26.5	4.6%	0	3.3	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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