Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $71.7600 (2.05%) ($68.4000 - $72.0000) on Fri. May. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.52% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $71.7600(2.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(13%)    XHB(13%)    MCHI(12%)    DIA(11%)    XME(11%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    XLU(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    TLT(-3%)    UNG(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.26% (StdDev 4.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

Resistance Level   $74.33
5 Day Moving Average   $70.32(2.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.89(2.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.33(-3.46%)
To recent high   -25.2%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $23.897b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 7.61% (three month std-dev: 4.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2016	71.64	74.33	69.89	70.32	70.3	70.28	71.76(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-0	4	-53	0.04	65%	0.08	-58.3	4.52%	0	-0.5	38	INF
2	May_12_2016	71.58	74.89	69.83	69.62	69.86	70.56	70.32(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	80	2	-78	0.03	65%	0.06	-54.3	4.55%	0	-0.8	32	INF
3	May_11_2016	71.54	75.61	70.34	69.7	69.87	70.32	70.08(-2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	50	9	-82	0.03	65%	0.07	-46.5	4.55%	0	-0.9	34	INF
4	May_10_2016	71.49	76.44	71.1	69.07	70.98	69.16	71.52(5.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-100	6	-94	0.04	65%	0.06	-44.1	4.55%	0	-0.8	34	INF
5	May_9_2016	71.45	77.11	71.83	68.4	70.33	69.43	67.92(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-0	-46	-126	0.03	63%	0.01	-43.6	4.51%	0	-1.4	26	INF

6	May_6_2016	71.44	77.78	72.91	69.41	70.73	72.8	68.28(-3.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-19	260	9	-103	0.05	63%	0	-41.3	4.5%	0	-1.6	24	INF
7	May_5_2016	71.44	78.3	74.24	70.06	71.42	71.24	70.68(5.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	40	24	-93	0.17	63%	0.07	-42.7	4.51%	0	-1.4	26	INF
8	May_4_2016	71.39	78.68	75.24	71.16	70.99	68.67	66.96(-1.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-80	-240	-64	-127	0.05	62%	0.01	-43	4.47%	0	-2.2	13	INF
9	May_3_2016	71.38	79.38	76.72	73.44	73.5	71.61	68.16(-6.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-63	-180	-48	-109	0.05	62%	-0.13	-38	4.47%	0	-2.5	13	INF
10	May_2_2016	71.47	79.98	78.15	75.74	75.72	73.31	72.96(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-220	-42	-94	0.06	65%	-0.07	-36	4.38%	0	-1.9	23	INF

11	Apr_29_2016	71.52	80.32	79.22	76.94	77.38	75.39	71.52(-6.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-63	-160	-55	-85	0.06	65%	-0.15	-33.3	4.38%	0	-2.6	36	INF
12	Apr_28_2016	71.63	80.74	80.47	79.01	79.01	78.14	76.2(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-80	-27	-48	0.02	69%	-0.13	-28.1	4.31%	0	-1.6	52	INF
13	Apr_27_2016	71.72	81.01	81.39	79.92	80.06	79.37	78.36(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-60	-14	-22	0.03	69%	-0.03	-22.5	4.3%	0	-1	56	INF
14	Apr_26_2016	71.74	81.14	82.24	80.52	80.65	79.89	79.68(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-60	-16	-7	0.02	69%	-0.21	-31.2	4.29%	0	-0.6	52	INF
15	Apr_25_2016	71.89	81.35	82.81	80.95	81.17	80.76	78.96(-3.52%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-12	-30	-18	7	0.03	69%	-0.25	-38.6	4.3%	0	-0.9	54	INF

16	Apr_22_2016	72.07	81.48	83.04	81.86	81.89	81.41	81.84(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-40	-7	23	0.02	69%	-0.51	-53.7	4.32%	0	0.1	59	INF
17	Apr_21_2016	72.44	81.54	82.66	82.2	82.34	81.57	80.76(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-60	-18	20	0.03	69%	-0.63	-65.5	4.37%	0	-0.3	57	INF
18	Apr_20_2016	72.9	81.61	82.39	83.11	82.94	82.37	81.36(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-50	-21	23	0.03	69%	-0.63	-64	4.37%	0	-0.1	51	INF
19	Apr_19_2016	73.36	81.98	82.26	84.24	83.84	83.1	81.84(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-80	-13	36	0.04	69%	-0.61	-38.4	4.37%	0	-0	54	INF
20	Apr_18_2016	73.81	82.37	81.98	84.94	84.56	83.51	83.52(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-100	-9	37	0.03	69%	-0.54	-23.7	4.36%	0	0.3	48	INF

21	Apr_15_2016	74.21	82.91	81.52	84.34	84.58	84.59	83.52(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	10	1	32	0.02	69%	0.13	-4.1	4.39%	0	0.1	54	INF
22	Apr_14_2016	74.11	83.31	81.04	83.11	83.68	85.61	85.32(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	180	33	27	0.03	69%	-0.51	5.3	4.41%	0	0.4	53	INF
23	Apr_13_2016	74.49	83.34	80.57	81.5	81.89	84.57	87(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	240	53	18	0.04	69%	-0.49	-1.9	4.41%	0	0.7	57	INF
24	Apr_12_2016	74.86	83.21	79.85	80.04	79.95	81.75	85.32(5.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	30	150	44	-12	0.06	65%	-0.45	-2.9	4.47%	0	0.4	41	INF
25	Apr_11_2016	75.2	83.26	79.6	78.7	78.82	79.2	80.52(4.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	40	17	-45	0.05	63%		-5.6	4.5%	0	-0.5	31	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.