Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $140.6700 (-3.28%) ($139.6800 - $148.3200) on Tue. Jun. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $140.6700(-3.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(14%)    XOP(14%)    DIA(12%)    EEM(12%)    FXI(12%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    XLU(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $131.14(-6.77%)
Resistance Level   $154.18
5 Day Moving Average   $142.97(-1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $144.33(-2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $154.18(-8.76%)
To recent high   -26.6%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $46.846b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 8.79% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.02%(29%) Average negative next day return: -2.28%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 4.58%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -4.53%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 5.3%(86%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.9%(14%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2015	176.79	154.18	144.33	142.97	143.76	143.94	140.67(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	30	-11	-117	0.02	42%	-0.22	-55.4	2.39%	0	-1	31	INF
2	Jun_29_2015	177.18	155.97	145.36	142.49	142.05	145.62	145.44(-1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	38	170	86	-106	0.04	44%	-0.19	-53.7	2.36%	0	-0.8	30	INF
3	Jun_26_2015	177.51	157.19	146.21	142.49	139.53	143.57	148.32(3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	57	180	121	-136	0.04	44%	-0.19	-55.5	2.35%	0	-0.6	27	INF
4	Jun_25_2015	177.84	158.58	147.08	140.76	138.54	138.47	143.96(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-40	-50	16	-207	0.02	41%	-0.19	-53.2	2.32%	0	-1	21	INF
5	Jun_24_2015	178.17	160.17	148.59	142.78	141.36	135.48	136.48(-1.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-180	-320	-145	-286	0.02	35%	-0.26	-48.4	2.24%	0	-1.7	9	INF

6	Jun_23_2015	178.63	162.07	151.1	146.01	145.53	138.6	138.23(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-280	-340	-264	-329	0.06	35%	-0.18	-46.9	2.24%	0	-1.9	9	INF
7	Jun_22_2015	178.96	163.5	153.86	148.61	149.67	147.24	136.8(-7.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-197	-90	-168	-285	0.05	35%	-0.2	-49.7	2.24%	0	-2.3	6	INF
8	Jun_19_2015	179.32	165.22	157.62	152.21	151.92	152.46	148.32(-3.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-68	20	-21	-208	0.02	48%	-0.17	-53.7	2.04%	0	-1.7	26	INF
9	Jun_18_2015	179.63	166.38	160.29	154.22	153.05	152.1	154.08(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-52	-70	-9	-181	0.01	52%	-0.14	-59	2.13%	0	-1.4	24	INF
10	Jun_17_2015	179.88	167.1	162.39	155.38	154.4	151.38	152.64(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-127	-160	-100	-208	0.01	47%	-0.23	-65.1	2.14%	0	-1.7	25	INF

11	Jun_16_2015	180.29	168.17	164.82	157.1	156.47	153.99	151.2(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-151	-120	-135	-198	0.03	47%	-0.18	-70	2.2%	0	-2.2	28	INF
12	Jun_15_2015	180.62	169.45	167.47	159.98	159.44	157.41	154.8(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-89	-100	-74	-132	0.01	49%	-0.03	-71.1	2.23%	0	-2.2	45	INF
13	Jun_12_2015	180.68	170.62	169.12	163.87	160.83	158.94	158.4(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-130	-140	-133	-121	0.02	52%	-0.02	-61.7	2.25%	0	-2	43	INF
14	Jun_11_2015	180.71	171.78	171.05	167.33	165.24	161.46	159.84(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-89	-200	-96	-68	0.02	52%	-0.01	-45.5	2.26%	0	-2.1	43	INF
15	Jun_10_2015	180.73	172.76	172.73	170.5	169.11	162.72	161.28(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-165	-290	-197	-70	0.02	52%	0.03	-34.4	2.28%	0	-2.2	48	INF

16	Jun_9_2015	180.68	173.75	174.02	173.66	172.35	169.02	165.6(-4.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-163	-160	-203	-44	0.04	46%	-0.09	-19	2.27%	0	-1.7	45	INF
17	Jun_8_2015	180.84	173.75	174.08	175.97	176.04	175.5	174.24(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-20	5	42	0.02	51%	0.06	-3.5	2.38%	0	-0	49	INF
18	Jun_5_2015	180.73	174.43	173.56	175.1	175.68	175.68	175.68(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-8	10	-15	14	0.01	58%	0.1	-13.3	2.54%	0	0.3	48	INF
19	Jun_4_2015	180.55	174.45	172.99	175.1	175.32	176.58	175.68(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	50	16	15	0.01	58%	-0.03	-12.1	2.57%	0	0.3	44	INF
20	Jun_3_2015	180.6	174.56	172.14	175.39	175.41	175.68	177.12(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	35	10	43	12	0.02	58%	-0.11	-14.9	2.57%	0	0.6	48	INF

21	Jun_2_2015	180.79	174.67	171.64	174.53	174.78	174.06	177.12(4.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-20	6	-19	0.02	58%	-0.14	-22.4	2.61%	0	0.5	46	INF
22	Jun_1_2015	181.05	174.58	171.39	171.94	173.43	175.14	169.92(-4.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	6	100	20	-37	0.01	54%	-0.2	-47.6	2.56%	0	-1	42	INF
23	May_29_2015	181.42	175.02	172.07	171.65	171.27	175.5	177.12(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	76	170	103	-4	0.01	59%	-0.19	-58.8	2.53%	0	0.5	53	INF
24	May_28_2015	181.77	174.99	172.35	170.21	169.47	171.72	175.68(1.67%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	89	80	119	-3	0.02	59%	-0.18	-78.6	2.55%	0	0.2	49	INF
25	May_27_2015	182.1	175.25	172.54	168.48	167.85	167.04	172.8(5.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-21	-40	-6	-66	0.03	63%		-91.2	2.56%	0	-0.5	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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