Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $175.6800 (1.67%) ($168.4800 - $177.1200) on Thu. May. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.55% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $175.6800(1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(14%)    XOP(14%)    DIA(12%)    EEM(12%)    FXI(12%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    XLU(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.275% (StdDev 2.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $166.86(-5.02%)
5 Day Moving Average   $170.21(3.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $172.35(1.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $174.99(0.39%)
To recent high   -13.5%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $58.505b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 2.62% (three month std-dev: 2.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.68%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.69%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2015	181.77	174.99	172.35	170.21	169.47	171.72	175.68(1.67%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	89	80	119	-3	0.02	59%	-0.18	-78.6	2.55%	0	0.2	49	INF
2	May_27_2015	182.1	175.25	172.54	170.21	167.85	167.04	172.8(5.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-21	-40	-6	-66	0.03	63%	-0.2	-91.2	2.56%	0	-0.5	44	INF
3	May_26_2015	182.47	175.73	173.25	168.48	168.07	167.22	164.16(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-74	-40	-68	-92	0.02	58%	-0.56	-93	2.54%	0	-2.3	32	INF
4	May_22_2015	183.5	176.82	174.76	170.78	170.5	168.66	168.48(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-80	-35	-60	0.01	62%	-0.09	-86	2.5%	0	-1.7	43	INF
5	May_21_2015	183.66	177.76	175.42	172.51	172.3	168.93	169.92(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-106	-140	-113	-84	0.02	62%	-0.29	-74	2.52%	0	-1.5	41	INF

6	May_20_2015	184.19	178.68	176.13	174.82	175.23	172.35	167.04(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-100	-110	-111	-68	0.02	62%	-0.35	-58.1	2.53%	0	-2.3	40	INF
7	May_19_2015	184.83	179.72	177.37	177.12	178.16	175.68	172.8(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-63	-80	-71	-38	0.01	67%	-0.32	-47.9	2.53%	0	-1.5	40	INF
8	May_18_2015	185.43	180.5	178.12	178.7	179.51	178.11	175.68(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-40	-60	-26	0.01	67%	-0.31	-34.4	2.53%	0	-1	40	INF
9	May_15_2015	186	181.27	178.17	179.28	180.18	180.63	177.12(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	2	30	5	-8	0.02	67%	-0.05	-25.7	2.52%	0	-0.9	38	INF
10	May_14_2015	186.1	181.64	178.32	178.7	179.51	180.9	181.44(1.61%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	32	70	45	-6	0.03	67%	-0.29	-30.2	2.53%	0	-0	40	INF

11	May_13_2015	186.65	181.68	177.87	178.7	178.07	179.73	178.56(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	21	70	38	-30	0.03	67%	-0.28	-40.8	2.54%	0	-0.7	34	INF
12	May_12_2015	187.18	181.97	178.11	177.7	177.57	178.11	180.72(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	18	20	37	-39	0.02	67%	-0.27	-45.2	2.53%	0	-0.3	39	INF
13	May_11_2015	187.68	182.21	178.25	177.55	177.35	176.4	178.56(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-40	-26	-72	0.01	71%	-0.28	-46.3	2.54%	0	-0.8	34	INF
14	May_8_2015	188.21	182.51	178.89	176.98	178.7	177.03	174.24(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-46	-40	-32	-86	0.02	71%	-0.32	-57.9	2.56%	0	-1.8	23	INF
15	May_7_2015	188.82	183.06	180.16	177.84	178.97	178.29	176.4(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-10	-38	-79	0.03	71%	-0.37	-56.2	2.58%	0	-1.5	41	INF

16	May_6_2015	189.53	183.62	181.35	177.98	178.74	180.36	178.56(-0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	80	9	-53	0.02	71%	-0.28	-50.4	2.6%	0	-1.2	47	INF
17	May_5_2015	190.06	184.13	182.2	178.56	178.92	179.64	180(2.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	27	30	47	-32	0.03	71%	-0.23	-39.4	2.6%	0	-1	45	INF
18	May_4_2015	190.49	184.43	183.03	179.14	178.83	177.12	175.68(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-70	-49	-64	0.01	71%	-0.31	-25.4	2.59%	0	-2.1	37	INF
19	May_1_2015	191.09	185.24	184.63	181.15	180.54	178.2	178.56(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-70	-100	-76	-53	0.01	75%	-0.28	2	2.7%	0	-1.8	43	INF
20	Apr_30_2015	191.62	185.51	185.29	182.88	182.88	180.54	177.12(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-68	-90	-77	-42	0.02	75%	-0.32	22.5	2.72%	0	-2.5	41	INF

21	Apr_29_2015	192.23	185.73	185.92	185.18	185.13	182.88	181.44(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-54	-90	-63	-27	0.01	75%	-0.36	48.5	2.73%	0	-1.4	42	INF
22	Apr_28_2015	192.92	185.71	186.28	186.34	186.57	185.22	182.88(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-48	-50	-57	-21	0.03	65%	-0.25	49.7	2.73%	0	-0.9	41	INF
23	Apr_27_2015	193.4	185.49	186.62	187.49	187.74	187.38	185.76(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10	-27	-2	0.01	68%	-0.31	38.3	2.89%	0	0.1	51	INF
24	Apr_24_2015	194	185.16	186.5	188.64	189	187.92	187.2(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-30	-4	6	0.01	74%	-0.3	34.4	3.38%	0	0.5	43	INF
25	Apr_23_2015	194.59	184.75	186.23	188.06	189.36	188.1	188.64(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-30	-20	-2	0.01	74%		17.9	3.41%	0	0.9	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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