Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $158.4000 (-12.35%) ($151.2000 - $187.2000) on Thu. Jan. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.26% (three month average)
RSI   11
Latest Price   $158.4000(-12.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -5.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -9.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(15%)    XOP(15%)    IWM(13%)    DIA(12%)    EEM(12%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    XLU(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.13% (StdDev 4.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -14.7%

Resistance Level   $215.39
5 Day Moving Average   $188.5(-15.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $200.73(-21.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $215.39(-26.46%)
To recent high   -49.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $52.75b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 9.14% (three month std-dev: 4.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 12.37%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.06%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 14.42%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -5.45%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 14.99%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.31%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2015	268.44	215.39	200.73	188.5	189.5	178.11	158.4(-12.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-253	-400	-258	-237	0.08	41%	-0.78	-53.5	4.26%	0	-2.9	11	0
2	Jan_14_2015	270.56	219.19	207.39	199.15	199.22	192.15	180.72(-7.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-169	-250	-167	-175	0.06	49%	-0.69	-55.6	4.02%	0	-2.5	21	0
3	Jan_13_2015	272.45	221.47	212.34	204.48	205.29	200.88	195.84(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-99	-140	-90	-124	0.02	49%	-0.66	-60.3	4.07%	0	-2	26	0
4	Jan_12_2015	274.25	223.43	215.84	207.07	207.63	206.28	201.6(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-77	-40	-68	-105	0.03	49%	-0.65	-67.3	4.12%	0	-2	28	0
5	Jan_9_2015	276.04	224.9	218.89	210.82	210.15	209.7	205.92(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-20	-25	-77	0.01	46%	-0.61	-71.6	4.14%	0	-1.9	28	0

6	Jan_8_2015	277.73	226.47	221.78	215.14	213.48	208.98	211.68(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-170	-48	-76	0.01	48%	-0.61	-70.3	4.19%	0	-1.6	24	0
7	Jan_7_2015	279.43	228.25	223.57	217.15	216.81	210.6	207.36(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-121	-210	-127	-102	0.02	46%	-0.72	-62.9	4.22%	0	-2.4	39	0
8	Jan_6_2015	281.46	229.45	225.88	221.47	221.04	217.98	208.8(-5.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-90	-100	-96	-71	0.04	44%	-0.61	-49.7	4.28%	0	-2.5	46	0
9	Jan_5_2015	283.2	231.23	228.08	225.79	225	223.02	220.32(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-70	-31	-34	0.02	46%	-0.52	-43.1	4.28%	0	-1.6	44	0
10	Jan_2_2015	284.68	232.39	229.43	228.1	226.98	224.1	227.52(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-100	-56	-34	0.02	46%	-0.69	-41.4	4.26%	0	-0.7	51	0

11	Dec_31_2014	286.67	233.02	231.03	229.54	229.68	226.98	221.76(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-80	-49	-22	0.03	46%	-0.37	-44.6	4.25%	0	-1.6	43	0
12	Dec_30_2014	287.74	233.79	231.88	229.54	231.39	229.86	228.96(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-40	-29	-19	0.02	46%	-0.37	-54.1	4.25%	0	-0.7	40	0
13	Dec_29_2014	288.82	233.66	231.3	230.98	231.3	232.38	230.4(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	40	-4	-13	0.03	46%	-0.35	-70	4.25%	0	-0.5	52	0
14	Dec_26_2014	289.84	234.14	231.58	230.69	230.99	232.92	231.84(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	26	60	36	-4	0.02	46%	-0.46	-80.5	4.26%	0	-0.3	46	0
15	Dec_24_2014	291.18	235.2	231.31	230.98	230.36	230.22	234.72(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-10	-6	-28	0.01	46%	-0.33	-62.6	4.24%	0	-0.1	47	0

16	Dec_23_2014	292.14	236.24	231.37	230.98	232.56	229.05	228.96(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-33	-110	-32	-34	0.02	46%	-0.38	-47.7	4.23%	0	-0.8	46	0
17	Dec_22_2014	293.24	237.42	233.11	232.99	234.72	230.49	228.96(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-57	-100	-62	-40	0.02	45%	-0.38	-39.6	4.25%	0	-0.8	48	0
18	Dec_19_2014	294.36	238.55	233.2	231.55	234.68	236.07	228.96(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	80	-25	-28	0.03	45%	-0.44	-42.4	4.28%	0	-0.9	54	0
19	Dec_18_2014	295.66	239.88	234.6	232.42	233.15	238.95	233.28(-4.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	180	87	21	0.03	45%	-0.36	-43	4.28%	0	-0.6	49	0
20	Dec_17_2014	296.73	240.48	235.54	231.55	230.4	233.28	244.8(6.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	61	70	78	8	0.05	46%	-0.34	-57.1	4.25%	0	0.4	46	0

21	Dec_16_2014	297.74	240.89	234.95	229.82	229.82	227.34	228.96(3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-80	-29	-51	0.03	44%	-0.38	-73.7	4.15%	0	-1.1	39	0
22	Dec_15_2014	298.89	241.48	235.74	233.57	232.43	227.52	221.76(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-78	-160	-81	-70	0.04	42%	-0.4	-90.9	4.12%	0	-1.9	39	0
23	Dec_12_2014	300.09	242.99	236.31	235.01	235.13	232.29	233.28(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-77	-80	-76	-78	0.02	44%	-0.37	-119.5	4.11%	0	-1	43	0
24	Dec_11_2014	301.2	244.58	237.02	237.02	236.57	237.33	228.96(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	20	-27	-61	0.02	45%	-0.44	-114.9	4.11%	0	-1.5	39	0
25	Dec_10_2014	302.54	246.69	239.54	239.9	238.41	237.96	236.16(-4.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-30	11	-32	0.02	45%		-107.1	4.13%	0	-0.9	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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