Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $228.9600 (-5.92%) ($226.0800 - $244.8000) on Mon. Dec. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.1% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $228.9600(-5.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(15%)    XOP(15%)    IWM(14%)    DIA(13%)    XBI(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    XLU(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.05% (StdDev 4.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.4%

Resistance Level   $251.57
5 Day Moving Average   $238.46(-3.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $241.95(-5.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $251.57(-8.99%)
To recent high   -40.4%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $76.248b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 7.19% (three month std-dev: 4.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 4.58%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.77%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.13%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -9.08%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 10.7%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.46%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2014	304.46	251.57	241.95	238.46	240.75	238.86	228.96(-5.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-66	-30	-68	-61	0.02	41%	-0.25	-79	4.1%	0	-1.3	48	INF
2	Dec_5_2014	305.23	255.19	244.32	237.6	240.39	244.8	243.36(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	33	160	49	-17	0.02	42%	-0.17	-69.3	4.07%	0	-0.6	48	INF
3	Dec_4_2014	305.75	257.45	245.52	237.02	237.51	242.64	243.36(1.2%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	56	160	79	-12	0.03	42%	-0.21	-62.1	4.08%	0	-0.7	42	INF
4	Dec_3_2014	306.39	259.68	245.7	239.33	237.24	235.98	240.48(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-60	2	-50	0.01	42%	-0.26	-51.9	4.08%	0	-0.9	39	INF
5	Dec_2_2014	307.19	262.87	247.12	242.78	242.01	232.38	236.16(5.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-120	-290	-124	-109	0.02	42%	-0.24	-37	4.08%	0	-1.1	32	INF

6	Dec_1_2014	307.93	266.73	247.63	246.24	247.68	238.5	224.64(-6.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-204	-240	-216	-166	0.05	40%	-0.27	-20.6	4.05%	0	-1.7	25	INF
7	Nov_28_2014	308.77	270.17	250.48	251.71	253.44	251.64	240.48(-5.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-98	-30	-89	-126	0.02	42%	-0.24	-9.7	3.99%	0	-1.3	27	INF
8	Nov_26_2014	309.5	271.55	253.03	254.88	255.78	256.86	254.88(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	11	40	41	-79	0.01	44%	-0.17	-4.6	3.92%	0	-0.7	37	INF
9	Nov_25_2014	310.03	271.74	254.55	252.86	253.71	255.24	257.76(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	50	18	-104	0.01	44%	-0.2	-6.9	3.92%	0	-0.6	38	INF
10	Nov_24_2014	310.65	271.97	257.53	252.29	252.36	254.7	253.44(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	11	70	48	-102	0.02	44%	-0.19	-6.7	3.91%	0	-0.8	32	INF

11	Nov_21_2014	311.23	272.06	261.66	249.41	251.1	252.18	252(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	9	50	51	-117	0.02	44%	-0.26	-13	3.92%	0	-0.9	29	INF
12	Nov_20_2014	312.04	272.48	266.56	249.12	248.13	252.18	256.32(4.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-49	40	-18	-140	0.02	42%	-0.25	-14.1	3.92%	0	-0.7	41	INF
13	Nov_19_2014	312.81	272.59	269.93	251.14	249.93	250.02	244.8(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10	-1	-117	0.02	43%	-0.32	-13.9	3.94%	0	-1.2	48	INF
14	Nov_18_2014	313.82	273.29	274.53	256.61	254.88	246.24	254.88(6.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-115	-260	-110	-129	0.03	46%	-0.29	-7.8	4.04%	0	-0.8	54	INF
15	Nov_17_2014	314.73	273.49	279.66	263.95	261.9	249.84	239.04(-4.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-259	-350	-292	-161	0.04	43%	-0.35	2.9	3.98%	0	-1.6	48	INF

16	Nov_14_2014	315.84	275.03	287.45	275.76	275	263.52	250.56(-5.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-194	-300	-234	-73	0.06	47%	-0.31	27.7	3.94%	0	-1.2	55	INF
17	Nov_13_2014	316.83	275.68	291.92	286.42	285.89	273.96	266.4(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-164	-300	-213	-15	0.02	51%	-0.24	48.6	4%	0	-0.5	57	INF
18	Nov_12_2014	317.6	275.77	292.24	291.31	292.37	286.47	272.16(-6.67%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-120	-130	-168	24	0.04	51%	-0.2	58.8	4.03%	0	-0.2	60	INF
19	Nov_11_2014	318.24	275.03	291.12	294.77	295.25	297.81	291.6(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	70	-14	102	0.01	54%	-0.18	59.3	3.96%	0	0.8	67	INF
20	Nov_10_2014	318.81	272.87	288.18	297.79	295.65	298.26	298.08(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	59	40	33	138	0.02	54%	-0.17	58.1	3.95%	0	1.1	69	INF

21	Nov_7_2014	319.34	269.42	283.66	301.25	299.88	292.68	303.84(4.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-180	-23	125	0.02	54%	-0.16	54.2	3.95%	0	1.5	65	INF
22	Nov_6_2014	319.86	266.26	278.91	298.66	302.94	293.04	290.88(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-99	-190	-155	68	0.03	52%	-0.21	44.4	3.91%	0	1.2	64	INF
23	Nov_5_2014	320.54	264.23	275.38	293.18	300.96	307.08	289.44(-5.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	220	13	113	0.05	52%	-0.16	30.3	3.91%	0	1.2	59	INF
24	Nov_4_2014	321.04	262.98	271.8	286.27	291.33	312.84	306.72(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	337	570	371	236	0.05	55%	-0.04	16.2	3.86%	0	2.2	70	INF
25	Nov_3_2014	321.18	260.23	266.33	276.77	275.94	294.84	315.36(8.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	406	470	460	245	0.08	55%		-8.6	3.85%	0	3.2	75	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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