Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $319.6800 (3.26%) ($316.8000 - $328.3200) on Tue. Jul. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.41% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $319.6800(3.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(16%)    XOP(16%)    IWM(15%)    XBI(14%)    DIA(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    XLU(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.705% (StdDev 3.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $332.45
5 Day Moving Average   $311.7(2.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $318.99(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $332.45(-3.84%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $106.459b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.1% (three month std-dev: 3.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2014	343.03	332.45	318.99	311.7	311.7	316.26	319.68(3.26%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	87	100	127	-34	0.05	69%	0.22	-13.5	3.41%	0	-0.8	40	INF
2	Jul_14_2014	342.27	332.67	321.32	309.4	309.36	309.29	309.6(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	-0	23	-86	0.02	69%	0.2	-15.6	3.38%	0	-1.4	27	INF
3	Jul_11_2014	341.58	333.77	325.1	311.41	309.99	307.13	307.15(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-93	-80	-82	-124	0.01	69%	0.18	-12.3	3.38%	0	-1.7	24	INF
4	Jul_10_2014	340.96	334.24	329.24	316.51	314.37	309.42	308.16(-1.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-121	-130	-119	-128	0.02	69%	0.19	-8.9	3.38%	0	-1.7	23	INF
5	Jul_9_2014	340.31	334.53	332.84	321.41	321.12	312.84	313.92(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-155	-180	-161	-138	0.02	69%	0.2	-2.3	3.44%	0	-1.3	23	INF

6	Jul_8_2014	339.63	334.76	335.22	327.46	327.51	319.32	308.16(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-210	-170	-229	-151	0.03	69%	-0.1	0.6	3.47%	0	-1.7	38	INF
7	Jul_7_2014	339.96	335.31	339.46	334.94	335.7	329.4	319.68(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-128	-120	-142	-84	0.02	75%	0.62	4.8	3.49%	0	-1	54	INF
8	Jul_3_2014	337.86	335.74	342.63	340.7	340.56	335.7	332.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-106	-100	-124	-52	0.02	82%	0.34	12.5	3.53%	0	-0.2	55	INF
9	Jul_2_2014	336.71	335.64	344.93	343.87	344.07	342	332.64(-3.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-49	-40	-66	1	0.02	82%	0.36	14	3.54%	0	-0.2	63	INF
10	Jul_1_2014	335.49	334.89	347.54	345.89	345.78	345.42	344.16(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10	13	62	0.03	82%	0.41	7.4	3.51%	0	0.6	70	INF

11	Jun_30_2014	334.13	334.65	347.1	344.16	343.35	345.42	345.6(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	50	7	65	0.02	85%	0.43	9.9	3.65%	0	0.7	66	INF
12	Jun_27_2014	332.69	334.59	344.93	344.74	342.36	346.14	348.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	79	60	73	98	0.04	85%	0.45	23.1	3.71%	0	0.9	68	INF
13	Jun_26_2014	331.21	333.91	343.03	345.02	342.54	340.56	348.48(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-60	-4	71	0.04	63%	0.46	35	3.71%	0	1	60	INF
14	Jun_25_2014	329.68	333.49	339.53	346.46	346.05	338.58	342.72(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-86	-150	-119	13	0.02	71%	0.44	49	4.3%	0	0.6	56	INF
15	Jun_24_2014	328.24	333.77	336.33	349.63	352.62	344.52	335.52(-3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-77	-140	-108	16	0.03	71%	0.41	69.6	4.96%	0	0.1	60	INF

16	Jun_23_2014	326.89	333.1	334.39	350.21	355.32	353.52	348.48(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-15	10	-33	39	0.03	71%	0.45	72	4.98%	0	1	52	INF
17	Jun_20_2014	325.43	331.06	330.94	344.74	349.92	360.72	349.92(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	87	260	94	67	0.06	65%	0.46	58.7	5.05%	0	1.2	50	INF
18	Jun_19_2014	323.95	328.73	328.29	340.42	340.92	357.12	355.68(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	217	340	250	117	0.09	65%	0.49	51.3	5.16%	0	1.6	55	INF
19	Jun_18_2014	322.38	326.17	325.34	331.49	329.76	339.12	358.56(5.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	180	180	213	80	0.12	65%	0.49	40.5	5.19%	0	2	54	INF
20	Jun_17_2014	320.8	323.43	320.71	321.41	318.96	324.72	338.4(5.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	54	100	74	-7	0.05	63%	0.45	23.2	5.14%	0	1	44	INF

21	Jun_16_2014	319.35	322.16	320.57	316.51	314.55	320.4	321.12(-2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	62	110	85	-6	0.02	60%	0.38	22.5	5.15%	0	-0.1	52	INF
22	Jun_13_2014	318.13	321.75	322.9	315.07	312.29	313.2	328.32(5.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	28	-10	42	-14	0.04	54%	0.38	31.5	5.27%	0	0.4	59	INF
23	Jun_12_2014	316.92	320.33	323.57	314.5	312.56	308.7	311.04(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-100	-59	-46	0.02	51%	0.3	34.6	5.21%	0	-0.6	57	INF
24	Jun_11_2014	315.96	319.72	326.72	318.24	317.6	311.39	308.16(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-60	-140	-70	-31	0.03	43%	0.3	40.5	5.23%	0	-0.7	55	INF
25	Jun_10_2014	315.01	319.97	331.04	319.68	321.02	316.43	313.92(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-49	-90	-61	-11	0.02	49%		46.4	5.59%	0	-0.4	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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