Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $352.8000 (2.51%) ($339.8400 - $352.8000) on Thu. Apr. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.2% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $352.8000(2.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(16%)    XOP(16%)    IWM(15%)    XBI(14%)    OIH(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -3.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.6% (StdDev 7.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $333.36(-5.51%)
5 Day Moving Average   $339.84(3.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $341.32(3.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $350.9(0.54%)
To recent high   -37.7%
To recent low   80.1%
Market Cap   $117.489b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.54% (three month std-dev: 7.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2014	280.99	350.9	341.32	339.84	338.58	342.36	352.8(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	70	75	10	0.06	67%	0.58	-62.8	7.2%	0	0.1	59	0
2	Apr_16_2014	279.38	350.62	341.84	336.96	334.98	334.08	344.16(3.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-40	-17	-27	0.06	67%	0.55	-90.7	7.47%	0	-0.3	50	0
3	Apr_15_2014	277.84	352.31	344	339.55	337.5	334.8	331.2(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-70	-30	-25	0.1	67%	0.5	-99.8	7.47%	0	-0.9	48	0
4	Apr_14_2014	276.46	355.45	347.54	341.86	342.72	335.88	334.08(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-130	-27	-31	0.07	67%	0.51	-103.4	7.47%	0	-0.9	33	0
5	Apr_11_2014	275.05	358.92	349.93	340.7	342.36	340.2	336.96(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-30	-63	-46	0.09	67%	0.52	-111.1	7.41%	0	-0.8	51	0

6	Apr_10_2014	273.62	363.56	349.58	342.72	341.91	349.56	338.4(-5.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	16	150	26	-16	0.07	67%	0.54	-92.4	7.47%	0	-0.7	48	0
7	Apr_9_2014	272.14	370.16	350.74	347.33	342.99	344.52	357.12(4.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	38	-10	51	-1	0.1	67%	0.61	-72.8	7.42%	0	-0.3	55	0
8	Apr_8_2014	270.49	376.06	349.56	349.63	347.13	334.26	342.72(4.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-86	-280	-94	-63	0.08	65%	0.51	-63.3	7.43%	0	-0.7	47	0
9	Apr_7_2014	269.11	382.25	356.59	354.53	357.39	341.46	328.32(-5.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-137	-290	-156	-78	0.1	67%	0.45	-43.3	7.52%	0	-0.9	43	0
10	Apr_4_2014	267.91	393.51	359.17	360.29	364.59	360	347.04(-3.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-75	-50	-83	-52	0.08	67%	0.53	-23.6	7.67%	0	-0.7	44	0

11	Apr_3_2014	266.49	401.27	361.52	356.83	364.23	373.32	361.44(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	38	240	55	-13	0.12	69%	0.6	-10.2	7.71%	0	-0.6	41	0
12	Apr_2_2014	264.9	404.84	360.23	354.24	357.48	369.18	368.64(0.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	89	260	122	-10	0.21	69%	0.69	-0.6	7.97%	0	-0.6	38	0
13	Apr_1_2014	263.08	408.95	361.08	349.63	349.47	355.14	367.2(2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	110	41	-65	0.11	69%	0.7	11.2	7.97%	0	-0.7	37	0
14	Mar_31_2014	261.26	410.48	363.55	360	352.35	345.78	357.12(8.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-190	-20	-91	0.15	69%	0.67	26.5	8.03%	0	-0.8	37	0
15	Mar_28_2014	259.53	409.1	368.12	358.56	361.26	343.8	329.76(-5.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-132	-320	-123	-158	0.12	68%	0.55	29.2	7.92%	0	-1.1	27	0

16	Mar_27_2014	258.11	407.81	378.46	366.62	367.02	358.92	348.48(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-138	-150	-130	-163	0.13	68%	0.63	34.3	7.94%	0	-0.8	36	0
17	Mar_26_2014	256.5	405.26	390.96	366.34	368.46	378.72	345.6(-17.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	210	29	-93	0.29	68%	0.61	34.2	7.94%	0	-0.8	46	0
18	Mar_25_2014	254.94	402.11	404.58	373.25	365.58	375.12	419.04(19.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	70	120	111	-54	0.3	74%	0.89	35.8	7.56%	0	0.2	50	0
19	Mar_24_2014	252.68	393.98	409.11	368.64	366.57	358.2	349.92(-5.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-180	-28	-107	0.2	71%	0.66	32.1	7.25%	0	-0.5	50	0
20	Mar_21_2014	251.02	389.74	429.94	379.87	375.03	356.04	370.08(6.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-200	-390	-222	-135	0.21	69%	0.74	35.6	7.18%	0	-0.2	62	0

21	Mar_20_2014	249.18	384.19	443.8	392.83	394.47	374.94	347.04(-8.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-201	-330	-238	-91	0.17	69%	0.61	40	7.21%	0	-0.4	65	0
22	Mar_19_2014	247.67	380.05	453.53	419.33	415.62	394.02	380.16(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-212	-390	-267	-45	0.16	72%	0.76	49.6	7.11%	0	0	69	0
23	Mar_18_2014	245.81	373.94	461.56	440.35	442.53	414	396(-2.48%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-163	-440	-229	36	0.21	73%	0.83	58	7.11%	0	0.2	72	0
24	Mar_17_2014	243.79	367	462.51	455.62	455.85	437.22	406.08(-6.62%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-292	-280	-399	28	0.24	65%	0.84	65.2	7.12%	0	0.4	75	0
25	Mar_14_2014	241.75	358.64	455.31	487.58	489.69	471.06	434.88(-9.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-67	-250	-152	187	0.28	66%		78.1	7.72%	0	0.7	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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